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Valencia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-79
19-11 19-23 25-23 18-22
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.0
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#16
Record8-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game83.2
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Valencia v Basket Zaragoza
14 Feb 2027
VAL v ZAR
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
VAL115
ZAR73
15 Nov 2024
VAL111
ZAR82
12 Nov 2023
VAL76
ZAR69
22 Jan 2023
VAL88
ZAR76
20 Mar 2022
VAL81
ZAR79
24 Oct 2020
VAL93
ZAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
A01/02
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
94-93
94
93
+1
87avg 80
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 80
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
66avg 80
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 80
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
93avg 80
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 80
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 80
H16/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-18
21-19
24-24
31-30
20-18
23-23
20-22
24-17
16-21
12-25
31-14
16-20
27-21
22-35
17-23
14-28
19-24
31-9
19-25
21-21
19-21
24-19
22-15
26-22
16-16
16-25
30-14
17-16
17-21
9-21
25-18
22-18
28-28
16-15
24-24
11-22
26-20
27-22
22-16
169.0Avg total
85.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.480.0163.4+3.464%
Season at home (11)85.480.5165.9+4.855%
Season away (11)81.479.5160.8+1.973%
Last 10 (10)85.084.0169.0+1.060%
Last 5 (5)83.678.8162.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)85.185.3170.4-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.475.8162.1+10.679%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 72
A18/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
97-79
97
79
+18
93avg 72
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
72-112
72
112
-40
58avg 72
A04/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-94
69
94
-25
57avg 72
A16/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
75avg 72
H26/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
55-77
55
77
-22
38avg 72
A31/01
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 72
H05/02
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
73-94
73
94
-21
63avg 72
A12/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 72
H06/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H12/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-12
22-19
28-29
28-15
24-11
18-24
27-29
20-19
18-29
12-26
22-38
7-28
26-25
17-21
19-20
13-22
25-26
28-12
25-18
11-26
12-9
20-23
12-19
26-21
27-17
26-22
14-22
15-17
10-23
25-26
23-28
22-19
14-27
22-22
18-18
12-11
15-27
19-19
16-20
164.2Avg total
78.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.883.2160.0-6.435%
Season at home (12)78.480.2158.6-1.850%
Season away (11)75.086.5161.5-11.518%
Last 10 (10)78.086.2164.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)71.883.2155.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.185.2162.3-8.130%
vs Similar (8)75.980.8156.6-4.938%
vs Weaker (2)84.585.0169.5-0.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
ValenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/02
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/03
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
40.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.981.5-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.983.2-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.779.6+0.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.282.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.048.099.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)40.342.182.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.938.379.1+2.664%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A16/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H26/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A31/01
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H05/02
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A12/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H12/03
ACB
77.4Avg total
36.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.775.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.175.7-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)34.941.376.2-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.777.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.472.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.440.376.7-3.930%-
vs Similar (8)35.238.273.5-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)38.540.078.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
75.5%15.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.2
55.1%
52.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.1
27.1%
35.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
75.5%17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWLLWWL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLWLWLLWW
#3
League position
#16
+6.1
Net rating
-9.9
114.0
Offensive rating
102.3
107.9
Defensive rating
112.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.8%
3-point %
27.1%
62.7%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 102.3Defence107.9 · 112.2Shooting52.9% · 49.8%3-point %33.8% · 27.1%Ball care17.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds38.0% · 25.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
0
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
02/10/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia70-76
11/04/21Basket Zaragoza v Valencia76-85
24/10/20Valencia v Basket Zaragoza93-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22HVenezia86-80
14/03/22HManresa90-85
12/03/22AJoventut Badalona68-76
08/03/22AJL Bourg88-77
05/03/22HBarcelona86-76
18/02/22HMurcia83-86
13/02/22ABreogan82-99
09/02/22HVirtus Bologna83-77
06/02/22AReal Madrid94-93
01/02/22AGran Canaria90-91 OT
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22HTenerife62-77
06/03/22HGran Canaria76-86
12/02/22AManresa73-94
05/02/22HUnicaja93-82
31/01/22AFuenlabrada55-77
26/01/22HMurcia91-78
16/01/22AReal Madrid69-94
04/01/22AUnicaja72-112
28/12/21HBaskonia97-79
18/12/21AMoraBanc Andorra92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWWWLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%55%73%
Points / game83.485.481.4
Allowed / game80.080.579.5
Point differential+3.4+4.8+1.9
Avg total163.4165.9160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)33% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%50%18%
Points / game76.878.475.0
Allowed / game83.280.286.5
Point differential-6.4-1.8-11.5
Avg total160.0158.6161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2218482%83.773.7+10.0
2 Real Madrid2418675%83.174.2+8.9
3 Manresa2416867%86.482.2+4.2
4 Joventut Badalona2416867%80.977.7+3.2
5 Tenerife2214864%82.378.5+3.8
6 Valencia2214864%83.480.0+3.4
7 Murcia22121055%86.883.0+3.8
8 Baskonia23121152%80.179.9+0.3
9 Breogan22111150%84.181.8+2.3
10 Gran Canaria22111150%78.380.3-2.0
11 Bilbao23111248%82.385.5-3.2
12 Unicaja2391439%81.379.6+1.7
13 Basket Zaragoza2381535%76.883.2-6.4
14 MoraBanc Andorra2481633%79.382.7-3.4
15 Fuenlabrada2481633%82.987.1-4.2
16 Obradoiro CAB2481633%80.385.8-5.5
17 San Pablo Burgos2371630%77.683.6-6.0
18 Real Betis2361726%74.885.0-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1919251881
Basket Zaragoza1123232279
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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