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Bydgoszcz vs Leszno Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-101
22-22 28-32 23-22 34-25
Position#1
Record13-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#12
Record8-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.6
Poland1 LigaRound 18· Sisu Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Leszno
11 Jan 2026
BYDG107
LESZ101
13 Feb 2019
BYDG94
LESZ84
17 Mar 2018
BYDG89
LESZ79
23 Sep 2016
BYDG76
LESZ80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 83
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 83
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
81avg 83
A15/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 83
A19/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
99-65
99
65
+34
97avg 83
H22/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
76avg 83
A29/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
79-60
79
60
+19
77avg 83
H06/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
84-65
84
65
+19
77avg 83
A14/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
70avg 83
H19/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
114avg 83
H03/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
9-23
25-29
18-15
17-18
23-16
20-24
24-23
14-20
19-15
31-14
21-19
28-11
20-24
24-21
20-19
24-19
23-13
30-18
22-15
12-21
27-22
19-17
16-14
13-8
23-15
22-14
21-23
21-9
22-20
17-23
24-13
24-13
16-19
18-23
13-24
27-23
34-20
27-19
25-19
163.9Avg total
87.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.175.8164.9+13.381%
Season at home (7)88.175.3163.4+12.971%
Season away (9)89.976.2166.1+13.789%
Last 10 (10)87.876.1163.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)88.877.4166.2+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.882.7164.5-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.375.2165.5+15.183%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 70
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 70
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 70
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
83-57
83
57
+26
76avg 70
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
78avg 70
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 70
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
79avg 70
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
56avg 70
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 70
H28/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 70
A04/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-15
25-11
21-23
16-20
10-25
19-23
19-19
19-23
27-22
27-23
22-18
29-9
11-21
20-16
23-11
28-24
21-31
21-21
21-25
17-21
17-14
16-19
14-20
15-15
26-21
27-23
20-28
12-15
16-21
19-16
23-15
26-18
16-23
19-14
25-18
24-15
20-23
19-16
20-22
158.7Avg total
81.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.980.6158.4-2.750%
Season at home (9)76.177.0153.1-0.956%
Season away (7)80.185.1165.3-5.043%
Last 10 (10)81.277.5158.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)78.275.4153.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.279.6161.8+2.658%
vs Similar (16)76.583.4159.9-6.931%
vs Weaker (2)92.089.0181.0+3.050%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
BydgoszczLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A19/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A14/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H03/01
1 Liga
76.5Avg total
41.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.682.3+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.482.9+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.938.981.7+4.060%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.776.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.077.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.743.884.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.537.381.8+7.171%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A04/01
1 Liga
78.6Avg total
39.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.978.5-1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.641.482.9+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.478.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.440.982.3+0.567%-
vs Similar (16)38.841.980.7-3.231%-
vs Weaker (2)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
52.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
31.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.919.0
73.4%
70.0%19.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.116.9
70.1%
70.0%16.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WLWWLWWWWL
Leszno
WWWWLLWWLW
#1
League position
#12
+14.7
Net rating
+5.3
111.1
Offensive rating
103.2
96.4
Defensive rating
98.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.6%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.6%
3-point %
30.0%
67.8%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 103.2Defence96.4 · 98.0Shooting51.5% · 48.6%3-point %34.6% · 30.0%Ball care16.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bydgoszcz wins
4
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
19/09/25Leszno v Bydgoszcz66-83
13/02/19Bydgoszcz v Leszno94-84
07/11/18Leszno v Bydgoszcz72-58
17/03/18Bydgoszcz v Leszno89-79
02/12/17Leszno v Bydgoszcz82-67
08/01/17Leszno v Bydgoszcz77-74
23/09/16Bydgoszcz v Leszno76-80
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HLancut113-81
19/12/25HStarogard Gdanski71-79
14/12/25AMiners Katowice84-65
06/12/25HR. Rzeszow79-60
29/11/25APoznan97-102 OT
22/11/25HZubry Bialystok99-65
19/11/25AGKS Tychy92-75
15/11/25APelplin85-68
08/11/25APoli. Opolska84-81
02/11/25HLKS Lodz74-85
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26APoli. Opolska83-76
28/12/25HLKS Lodz86-73
20/12/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-67
13/12/25HSpojnia Stargard88-87
30/11/25HWKK Wroclaw64-74
22/11/25AInowroclaw91-101
15/11/25HPolonia Warszawa83-57
09/11/25HPelplin95-86
02/11/25ALancut64-87
26/10/25HGKS Tychy88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW81%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %81%71%89%
Points / game89.188.189.9
Allowed / game75.875.376.2
Point differential+13.3+12.9+13.7
Avg total164.9163.4166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game77.976.180.1
Allowed / game80.677.085.1
Point differential-2.7-0.9-5.0
Avg total158.4153.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1613381%89.175.8+13.3
2 LKS Lodz1713476%86.877.2+9.6
3 Starogard Gdanski1713476%85.079.2+5.8
4 Pelplin1712571%87.481.9+5.4
5 Spojnia Stargard1610662%84.280.7+3.5
6 Lancut169756%84.887.2-2.4
7 GKS Tychy179853%83.184.8-1.7
8 Polonia Warszawa179853%80.484.2-3.8
9 Leszno168850%77.980.6-2.7
10 Poznan178947%80.779.4+1.3
11 R. Rzeszow178947%83.282.4+0.8
12 WKK Wroclaw178947%80.281.4-1.2
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1761135%78.278.6-0.5
14 Inowroclaw1761135%80.085.9-5.9
15 Poli. Opolska1751229%82.084.2-2.2
16 Miners Katowice1741324%80.286.8-6.6
17 Zubry Bialystok161156%76.889.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bydgoszcz22282334107
Leszno22322225101
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