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CAB Madeira vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
CAB Madeira
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Benfica
Portugal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.6
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete
Other2026-27
Meetings · CAB Madeira v Benfica
20 Mar 2027
CAB v BEN
upcoming
28 Dec 2022
CAB 78
BEN107
23 Oct 2021
CAB 66
BEN84
11 Oct 2020
CAB 66
BEN92
27 Mar 2020
CAB v BEN
upcoming
17 May 2019
CAB 59
BEN80
10 Nov 2018
CAB 69
BEN89
13 Apr 2018
CAB 62
BEN78
26 Jan 2018
CAB 72
BEN76
14 May 2017
CAB 72
BEN86
13 May 2017
CAB 67
BEN75
11 Dec 2016
CAB 72
BEN90
23 Jan 2016
CAB 69
BEN88
14 Feb 2015
CAB 93
BEN105
23 Mar 2014
CAB 84
BEN91
20 Oct 2012
CAB 66
BEN68
23 Oct 2011
CAB 87
BEN92
22 Jan 2011
CAB 66
BEN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 77
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 77
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 77
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 77
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 77
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 77
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 77
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 77
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Denizli Basket
#31
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 86
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 86
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 86
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 86
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 86
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 86
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
112-78
112
78
+34
no box
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
33-28
22-22
14-19
21-24
16-19
27-19
14-16
29-18
25-18
30-21
24-17
18-20
23-20
25-14
27-28
37-16
26-20
24-22
24-24
20-13
11-18
29-13
12-14
17-17
169.6Avg total
92.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.373.6161.9+14.786%
Season at home (4)89.269.5158.8+19.8100%
Season away (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)92.377.3169.6+15.090%
Last 5 (5)91.673.4165.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.777.4168.1+13.378%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
CAB MadeiraBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denizli Basket
#31
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/11
LPB
88.3Avg total
47.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.185.6+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.137.785.8+10.489%-
Last 30 away (12)43.941.285.2+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.688.3+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.236.884.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.047.596.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.338.684.9+7.778%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.4
52.9%
51.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
71.1%18.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
Benfica
WWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+0.5
Net rating
+8.7
92.5
Offensive rating
96.7
92.1
Defensive rating
88.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.1%
3-point %
31.7%
64.9%
Assist %
54.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 96.7Defence92.1 · 88.0Shooting52.8% · 51.2%3-point %36.1% · 31.7%Ball care16.5% · 13.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ CAB Madeira   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CAB Madeira wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Benfica v CAB Madeira69-62
28/12/22CAB Madeira v Benfica78-107
08/10/22Benfica v CAB Madeira83-71
08/01/22Benfica v CAB Madeira99-66
23/10/21CAB Madeira v Benfica66-84
15/01/21Benfica v CAB Madeira104-67
11/10/20CAB Madeira v Benfica66-92
12/02/20Benfica v CAB Madeira96-76
07/12/19Benfica v CAB Madeira114-60
17/05/19CAB Madeira v Benfica59-80
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCAB Madeira69-62
11/11/26HBakken Bears94-79
07/11/26HEsgueira112-78
04/11/26HAbsheron Lions97-76
31/10/26APortimonense86-72
28/10/26AGeneva Lions90-93
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game88.389.287.0
Allowed / game73.669.579.0
Point differential+14.7+19.8+8.0
Avg total161.9158.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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