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Cafeteros vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-71
21-22 20-21 18-15 22-13
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game68.1
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
Position#7
Record7-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game73.7
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora (Cali)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco
09 Oct 2023
CAFE81
CIMA71
08 Jun 2023
CAFE69
CIMA67
07 Jun 2023
CAFE99
CIMA73
20 Nov 2021
CAFE75
CIMA80
17 Nov 2021
CAFE57
CIMA71
03 Nov 2021
CAFE69
CIMA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
65-64
65
64
+1
52avg 69
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
61-65
61
65
-4
50avg 69
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
39avg 69
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 69
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 69
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 69
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 69
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 69
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 69
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 69
A05/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
23-18
17-11
12-18
20-25
11-13
15-16
15-11
20-21
10-27
12-19
12-15
12-21
22-18
27-14
21-20
17-26
12-30
21-18
20-18
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
139.7Avg total
74.5Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.468.1147.6+11.374%
Season at home (14)82.968.4151.2+14.586%
Season away (13)75.867.9143.7+7.862%
Last 10 (10)74.565.2139.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)82.655.2137.8+27.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.00%
vs Similar (12)74.274.3148.5-0.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.763.2146.9+20.587%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
45avg 56
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 56
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 56
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
37avg 56
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
67avg 56
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 56
A27/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
34avg 56
H29/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
60avg 56
A30/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 56
H02/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 56
H07/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
27-25
14-23
17-16
16-18
16-16
16-22
19-13
15-11
14-28
16-14
36-21
14-18
8-19
15-15
22-15
15-29
25-26
25-14
21-25
25-13
21-23
14-23
12-21
7-21
12-28
14-17
13-14
19-30
21-20
22-23
13-24
18-18
14-21
21-16
27-20
27-18
16-17
19-16
23-14
152.4Avg total
72.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.573.7142.2-5.135%
Season at home (10)65.766.9132.6-1.260%
Season away (10)71.480.4151.8-9.010%
Last 10 (10)72.480.0152.4-7.630%
Last 5 (5)71.679.4151.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.174.7136.8-12.615%
vs Similar (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (16)78.266.9145.1+11.269%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
CafeterosCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
74.8Avg total
37.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.176.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.780.7+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)37.135.472.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.174.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.431.074.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.782.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (12)35.340.776.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.532.876.3+10.793%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H29/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A30/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H02/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/10
LBP
77.9Avg total
34.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.970.5-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.234.268.4+0.047%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.173.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.543.477.9-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.540.468.8-11.90%-
vs Similar (1)32.039.071.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (16)39.932.071.9+7.975%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.7
50.7%
48.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.8%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.010.2
63.7%
66.7%10.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.619.6
43.9%
48.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.7
30.5%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.112.1
66.9%
66.7%12.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWWWWLWLLW
Cimarrones del Choco
WWLLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#7
+12.6
Net rating
-10.1
98.1
Offensive rating
92.6
85.5
Defensive rating
102.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
44.5%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.8%
3-point %
30.5%
58.4%
Assist %
42.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 92.6Defence85.5 · 102.7Shooting48.0% · 44.5%3-point %29.8% · 30.5%Ball care17.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cafeteros wins
3
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateGameScore
29/09/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros46-80
09/06/23Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco99-73
18/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros63-55
17/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros50-65
20/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco75-80
19/11/21Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros68-73
17/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco57-71
03/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco69-66
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52
02/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands70-92
01/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands82-73
28/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-82
27/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands61-65
24/06/23HPiratas de Bogota65-64
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HSabios de Manizales85-65
02/10/23HTigrillos de Antioqui80-75
30/09/23ACaribbean Storm Islands75-97
29/09/23HCafeteros46-80
27/09/23ASabios de Manizales72-80
17/06/23APiratas de Bogota86-94
16/06/23APiratas de Bogota59-67
11/06/23HPiratas de Bogota81-74
09/06/23ACafeteros67-69
07/06/23ACafeteros73-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game79.482.975.8
Allowed / game68.168.467.9
Point differential+11.3+14.5+7.8
Avg total147.6151.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%60%10%
Points / game68.565.771.4
Allowed / game73.766.980.4
Point differential-5.1-1.2-9.0
Avg total142.2132.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla2621581%87.872.7+15.2
2 Caribbean Storm Islands2621581%79.866.1+13.7
3 Cafeteros2720774%79.468.1+11.3
4 Piratas de Bogota30201067%81.975.1+6.8
5 Bucaros26131350%76.874.7+2.1
6 Motilones del Norte27111641%77.476.7+0.7
7 Cimarrones del Choco2071335%68.573.7-5.1
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui72529%71.682.4-10.9
9 Sabios de Manizales1921711%66.587.6-21.1
10 Corsarios Cartagena232219%61.485.6-24.2
11 Condores de Cundinamarca7070%71.199.6-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros2120182281
Cimarrones del Choco2221151371
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