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Caimanes del Llano vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-96
22-19 27-23 24-23 25-31
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game75.7
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Alvaro Mesa Amaya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caimanes del Llano v Cimarrones del Choco
17 Apr 2026
CAIM98
CIMA96
16 Apr 2026
CAIM69
CIMA36
21 Jun 2025
CAIM99
CIMA89
20 Jun 2025
CAIM75
CIMA30
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caimanes del Llano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H08/11
LBP
Paisas
#8
L
62-109
62
109
-47
48avg 69
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
70-123
70
123
-53
54avg 69
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
69-131
69
131
-62
55avg 69
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
78avg 69
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
75-98
75
98
-23
61avg 69
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
69-140
69
140
-71
49avg 69
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 69
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 69
A13/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
69-36
69
36
+33
71avg 69
H16/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
17-24
15-26
9-29
21-30
16-35
13-29
23-29
18-30
13-28
20-38
13-36
23-29
17-28
25-28
22-20
27-31
16-29
16-22
24-23
19-24
24-24
19-39
9-36
17-41
24-19
17-22
24-19
16-16
13-18
22-23
19-17
24-22
17-9
27-7
15-7
10-13
158.4Avg total
66.4Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.064.0140.0+12.067%
Season at home (1)69.036.0105.0+33.0100%
Season away (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)66.492.0158.4-25.620%
Last 5 (5)74.486.0160.4-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.1106.0183.1-28.90%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.572.4152.9+8.175%
vs Weaker (7)68.764.4133.1+4.357%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 61
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
54-76
54
76
-22
44avg 61
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
67avg 61
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 61
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 61
A06/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
59avg 61
H10/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
78avg 61
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 61
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
36-69
36
69
-33
22avg 61
A16/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
15-21
21-18
18-19
13-27
25-22
12-14
4-13
24-13
22-23
15-23
20-20
19-25
14-10
26-15
20-18
9-19
14-31
22-19
16-16
19-28
16-24
20-23
30-18
19-13
25-21
16-18
9-29
18-15
15-13
22-15
10-22
21-12
14-22
18-26
27-14
9-17
7-27
7-15
13-10
148.8Avg total
70.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.375.7141.0-10.333%
Season at home (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season away (1)36.069.0105.0-33.00%
Last 10 (10)70.478.4148.8-8.040%
Last 5 (5)70.080.2150.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)69.181.7150.7-12.630%
vs Similar ◀ (3)65.375.7141.0-10.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Caimanes del LlanoCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
29-64
29
64
-35
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/02
Champions League Americas
Piratas de Bogota
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H16/04
LBP
86.6Avg total
36.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.941.780.6-2.848%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.640.479.0-1.971%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.982.1-3.727%-
Last 10 (9)36.849.886.6-13.011%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.750.388.0-12.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.538.377.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)39.832.772.5+7.2100%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A06/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H10/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A16/04
LBP
74.3Avg total
34.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.541.775.3-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.639.475.0-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)31.144.475.6-13.321%-
Last 10 (10)34.340.074.3-5.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.471.0-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)34.142.476.6-8.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)28.035.363.3-7.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.1
56.0%
50.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.48.6
25.7%
30.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.19.8
64.9%
66.5%9.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.8
46.4%
50.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.9
29.0%
30.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.910.9
60.9%
66.5%10.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caimanes del Llano
WLWLLLLLLL
Cimarrones del Choco
LWLLLLWWLW
#5
League position
#6
-31.7
Net rating
-9.0
74.6
Offensive rating
84.8
106.4
Defensive rating
93.7
47.2%
Effective FG%
45.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.6%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.7%
3-point %
29.0%
64.4%
Assist %
55.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence74.6 · 84.8Defence106.4 · 93.7Shooting47.2% · 45.3%3-point %25.7% · 29.0%Ball care18.5% · 22.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Caimanes del Llano   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26HCimarrones del Choco69-36
13/04/26APiratas de Bogota78-80
12/04/26APiratas de Bogota81-76
13/02/26AAstros69-140
12/02/26APaisas75-98
04/02/26HPaisas91-107
02/02/26HAstros69-131
29/01/26HAstros70-123
28/01/26APaisas62-109
08/11/25HSabios de Manizales0-20
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26ACaimanes del Llano36-69
14/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-74
12/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-84 OT
10/12/25HPaisas69-81
06/12/25APaisas85-93
05/12/25APaisas61-85
23/11/25HToros del Valle79-68
22/11/25HToros del Valle81-79
20/11/25AToros del Valle54-76
19/11/25AToros del Valle79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.069.079.5
Allowed / game64.036.078.0
Point differential+12.0+33.0+1.5
Avg total140.0105.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game65.380.036.0
Allowed / game75.779.069.0
Point differential-10.3+1.0-33.0
Avg total141.0159.0105.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle440100%75.848.0+27.8
2 Paisas43175%74.268.2+6.0
3 Piratas de Bogota43175%78.874.5+4.2
4 Caimanes del Llano32167%76.064.0+12.0
5 Cimarrones del Choco31233%65.375.7-10.3
6 Motilones del Norte41325%74.279.8-5.5
7 Sabios Baloncesto41325%64.070.0-6.0
8 Caribbean Storm Islands4040%52.280.0-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caimanes del Llano2227242598
Cimarrones del Choco1923233196
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