Cairns vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 06:20

Final 89-99 (OT)

25-18 21-14 26-27 9-22 8-18

Position#8

Record3-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game90.7

Cairns

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#2

Record11-7

FormLWWLL

Points / game90.2

Allowed / game88.6

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Cairns v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

95-109

109

-14

A23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-95

-11

H07/12

NBL

Perth

72-94

-22

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-89

-11

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

70-81

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

82-87

-5

A22/12

NBL

Perth

78-93

-15

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

109-80

109

+29

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

82-86

-4

H07/01

NBL

Perth

81-79

A11/01

NBL

29-23

20-31

23-32

23-23

15-20

26-29

23-22

20-24

17-31

21-21

20-19

14-23

20-19

19-26

26-17

13-27

20-15

14-30

15-15

21-21

26-21

16-24

16-17

24-25

21-24

18-23

17-21

22-25

24-18

28-25

37-17

20-20

18-29

22-19

17-17

25-21

20-17

24-15

22-23

15-24

172.4Avg total

83.1Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	84.1	90.7	174.8	-6.6	17%
Season at home (10)	84.5	90.5	175.0	-6.0	10%
Season away (8)	83.6	91.0	174.6	-7.4	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	89.3	172.4	-6.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	85.0	171.4	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	82.0	88.3	170.3	-6.4	23%
vs Similar (8)	84.5	89.9	174.4	-5.4	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

87-80

H11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

108-101

108

101

A16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

102-94

102

H18/11

NBL

Sydney

84-82

H24/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-97

-3

A08/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-90

-16

H10/12

NBL

Perth

82-65

+17

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

75-70

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-103

101

103

-2

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-95

-9

A06/01

NBL

17-18

26-28

19-21

25-13

31-24

20-34

30-21

27-22

25-20

18-24

34-31

25-19

24-25

23-19

20-14

17-24

28-18

23-30

29-21

14-28

24-17

23-25

8-15

19-33

23-16

15-21

23-6

21-22

26-25

14-22

16-13

19-10

22-30

31-26

29-19

19-28

23-19

22-29

22-20

19-27

177.0Avg total

89.3Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	90.2	88.6	178.8	+1.6	61%
Season at home (10)	86.2	83.7	169.9	+2.5	70%
Season away (8)	95.1	94.8	189.9	+0.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	87.7	177.0	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	84.6	168.2	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	90.3	88.9	179.2	+1.4	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	91.5	86.4	177.8	+5.1	82%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.1	43.1	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.6	42.4	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.9	21.7	42.5	-0.8	59%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	23.4	44.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.4	20.2	43.7	+3.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.3	74%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	22.9	42.6	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.6	45.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.6	23.4	46.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	23.8	43.7	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	25.8	47.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.6	45.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	20.6	25.1	45.6	-4.5	26%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	64%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

49-54

-5

A23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-49

-8

H07/12

NBL

Perth

38-52

-14

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-45

-6

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

34-45

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-45

-3

A22/12

NBL

Perth

39-47

-8

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-43

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

40-48

-8

H07/01

NBL

Perth

44-32

+12

A11/01

NBL

87.8Avg total

41.8Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	44.9	85.5	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	45.2	86.0	-4.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	46.0	87.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.3	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.5	46.8	89.2	-4.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

43-46

-3

H11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-58

-7

A16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-44

-1

H18/11

NBL

Sydney

47-44

H24/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

51-48

A08/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-42

H10/12

NBL

Perth

38-37

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

40-47

-7

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

53-56

-3

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A06/01

NBL

92.8Avg total

45.8Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	45.2	90.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.1	43.7	89.7	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.9	47.5	90.4	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	47.0	92.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	46.0	90.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	45.2	46.4	91.6	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.1	43.1	87.2	+1.0	36%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.6	39.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.1	41.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.6	34.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.6	74%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.0	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	23.9	45.2	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.9	23.8	44.7	-3.0	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.0	43.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.9	84.5	-1.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	42.6	84.6	-0.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	43.2	84.4	-2.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	43.3	84.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	41.4	42.9	84.2	-1.5	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.0	43.1	85.1	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.8	84.8	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	46.1	41.4	87.5	+4.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	40.7	84.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.6	77.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	44.5	41.6	86.1	+2.9	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.3	39.5	82.7	+3.8	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-80
03/11/18	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-98
24/01/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	79-68
09/12/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-70
09/11/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	92-69
02/11/17	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-65
15/01/16	Melbourne United v Cairns	98-68
13/01/16	Cairns v Melbourne United	65-83
13/11/15	Cairns v Melbourne United	82-70
24/10/15	Melbourne United v Cairns	89-80

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/19	A	Perth	81-79
07/01/19	H	Sydney	82-86
03/01/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	109-80
31/12/18	H	Perth	78-93
22/12/18	A	Adelaide	82-87
20/12/18	H	Sydney	70-81
16/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-89
09/12/18	A	Perth	72-94
07/12/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	84-95
23/11/18	A	Adelaide	95-109

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	86-95
26/12/18	H	Adelaide	101-103
23/12/18	A	Sydney	75-70
17/12/18	H	Perth	82-65
10/12/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	74-90
08/12/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	94-97
24/11/18	H	Sydney	84-82
18/11/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	102-94
16/11/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	108-101
11/11/18	H	Cairns	87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	17%
Home	LLLWL	10%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	17%	10%	25%
Points / game	84.1	84.5	83.6
Allowed / game	90.7	90.5	91.0
Point differential	-6.6	-6.0	-7.4
Avg total	174.8	175.0	174.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	10%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	61%
Home	WWLWL	70%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	61%	70%	50%
Points / game	90.2	86.2	95.1
Allowed / game	88.6	83.7	94.8
Point differential	+1.6	+2.5	+0.4
Avg total	178.8	169.9	189.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	10%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	20	13	7	65%	85.5	82.2	+3.3
2	Melbourne United	18	11	7	61%	90.2	88.6	+1.6
3	Perth	20	12	8	60%	89.0	84.4	+4.7
4	Brisbane Bullets	20	11	9	55%	89.7	88.5	+1.1
5	Adelaide	20	10	10	50%	95.7	95.2	+0.5
6	Illawarra Hawks	20	9	11	45%	87.5	92.5	-5.0
7	New Zealand Breakers	18	8	10	44%	90.7	90.7	+0.0
8	Cairns	18	3	15	17%	84.1	90.7	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cairns	25	21	26	9	8	89
Melbourne United	18	14	27	22	18	99

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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