Cairns vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 82-70

30-18 13-27 18-7 21-18

Position#6

Record3-5

FormLLLWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game87.4

Cairns 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#2

Record9-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game79.7

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Cairns v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

71-86

-15

H06/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-83

-2

A08/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

79-74

H08/10

NBL

Sydney

63-87

-24

A10/10

NBL

Townsville

80-74

H17/10

NBL

Adelaide

79-88

-9

A22/10

NBL

Melbourne United

80-89

-9

A24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

67-90

-23

A28/10

NBL

Adelaide

104-101

104

101

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-96

-8

A06/11

NBL

17-28

17-22

26-11

11-25

17-23

22-21

20-14

22-25

25-16

13-22

14-12

27-24

15-29

17-28

15-17

16-13

19-21

21-19

18-21

22-13

23-28

20-26

22-13

14-21

27-31

11-15

20-22

22-21

16-21

21-21

12-20

18-28

26-25

23-18

27-25

28-33

22-22

26-20

15-40

25-14

166.0Avg total

79.2Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.0	87.4	167.4	-7.4	38%
Season at home (2)	79.5	74.0	153.5	+5.5	100%
Season away (6)	80.2	91.8	172.0	-11.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	86.8	166.0	-7.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	92.8	176.4	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	78.5	87.2	165.8	-8.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	78.3	77.0	155.3	+1.3	57%
vs Weaker (12)	82.7	76.2	158.8	+6.5	83%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

95-92

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

99-84

+15

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-81

+12

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

84-75

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

93-62

+31

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

89-80

H24/10

NBL

Perth

75-73

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

96-82

+14

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

105-94

105

+11

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-86

H08/11

NBL

22-20

26-31

28-19

19-22

28-19

15-23

29-21

27-21

27-22

26-23

16-18

24-18

21-22

23-20

22-17

18-16

25-13

30-15

24-17

14-17

31-27

15-11

22-20

21-22

25-19

17-25

23-15

10-14

34-17

16-20

26-20

20-25

22-16

24-25

34-26

25-27

22-25

26-18

14-25

25-18

172.5Avg total

91.6Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	91.2	79.7	170.9	+11.6	100%
Season at home (7)	88.1	77.0	165.1	+11.1	100%
Season away (2)	102.0	89.0	191.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	80.9	172.5	+10.7	100%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	83.0	173.4	+7.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.2	83.4	157.6	-9.2	20%
vs Similar (17)	87.8	84.8	172.6	+2.9	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	92.9	84.4	177.2	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.7	41.2	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	24.2	43.2	-5.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.4	45.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.4	48.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.8	45.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	21.6	46.6	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	21.9	44.2	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	20.0	45.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	20.8	47.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	23.6	22.4	46.1	+1.2	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	25.5	20.6	46.1	+4.9	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	18.8	39.8	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	19.5	37.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.4	17.2	38.7	+4.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	18.9	39.9	+2.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	24.2	43.0	-5.4	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	38%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

34-50

-16

H06/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-44

-5

A08/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-38

H08/10

NBL

Sydney

32-57

-25

A10/10

NBL

Townsville

40-40

H17/10

NBL

Adelaide

43-54

-11

A22/10

NBL

Melbourne United

38-46

-8

A24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-42

-5

A28/10

NBL

Adelaide

49-43

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-42

A06/11

NBL

85.4Avg total

39.8Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.4	80.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	37.5	78.3	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	45.6	85.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	45.4	88.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	41.4	80.6	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.1	58%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/02

NBL

Townsville

43-42

A09/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-45

H11/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-42

H16/10

NBL

Townsville

55-28

+27

H21/10

NBL

Cairns

46-38

H24/10

NBL

Perth

42-44

-2

H29/10

NBL

Sydney

50-37

+13

H01/11

NBL

Sydney

46-41

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-43

H08/11

NBL

88.6Avg total

47.5Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	42.4	86.5	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.9	40.6	86.5	+5.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.7	44.8	86.5	-3.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	41.1	88.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.6	87.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.2	45.6	85.8	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	45.6	42.9	88.5	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.9	75%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	17.1	34.9	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.3	37.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.2	23.5	38.8	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	20.1	40.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.8	21.8	46.5	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.2	42.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	17.9	39.1	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+1.0	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.2	76.7	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	33.4	72.5	+5.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.6	80.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	47.4	88.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.2	45.2	83.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	35.6	74.7	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	40.9	81.2	-0.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	41.2	84.3	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	39.8	83.9	+4.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.0	37.8	71.8	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.1	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	47.5	43.5	91.0	+4.0	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/15	Melbourne United v Cairns	89-80
13/02/15	Cairns v Melbourne United	84-62
12/11/14	Melbourne United v Cairns	91-76
17/10/14	Cairns v Melbourne United	88-73
12/10/14	Melbourne United v Cairns	61-89
14/03/14	Cairns v Melbourne United	66-73
05/01/14	Melbourne United v Cairns	76-66
16/11/13	Melbourne United v Cairns	88-85
02/11/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	74-86
22/03/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	64-66

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-96
31/10/15	A	Adelaide	104-101
28/10/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	67-90
24/10/15	A	Melbourne United	80-89
22/10/15	A	Adelaide	79-88
17/10/15	H	Townsville	80-74
10/10/15	A	Sydney	63-87
08/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	79-74
08/03/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-83
06/03/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	71-86

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-86
05/11/15	A	Sydney	105-94
01/11/15	H	Sydney	96-82
29/10/15	H	Perth	75-73
24/10/15	H	Cairns	89-80
21/10/15	H	Townsville	93-62
16/10/15	H	Adelaide	84-75
11/10/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-81
09/10/15	A	Townsville	99-84
22/02/15	H	Sydney	95-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	38%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	38%	100%	17%
Points / game	80.0	79.5	80.2
Allowed / game	87.4	74.0	91.8
Point differential	-7.4	+5.5	-11.7
Avg total	167.4	153.5	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	7	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.2	88.1	102.0
Allowed / game	79.7	77.0	89.0
Point differential	+11.6	+11.1	+13.0
Avg total	170.9	165.1	191.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	43%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	9	9	0	100%	91.2	79.7	+11.6
2	Perth	10	6	4	60%	83.6	79.8	+3.8
3	New Zealand Breakers	9	5	4	56%	83.4	81.6	+1.9
4	Illawarra Hawks	9	4	5	44%	88.9	89.4	-0.6
5	Adelaide	9	4	5	44%	86.9	88.8	-1.9
6	Cairns	8	3	5	38%	80.0	87.4	-7.4
7	Sydney	10	3	7	30%	85.9	87.0	-1.1
8	Townsville	10	3	7	30%	77.9	84.6	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	30	13	18	21	82
Melbourne United	18	27	7	18	70

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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