Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 03:50

Final 84-82

24-25 23-19 20-14 17-24

Position#2

Record8-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game93.4

Allowed / game90.3

Melbourne United 🏆

Sydney

Position#3

Record5-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.5

Allowed / game86.5

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

81-88

-7

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

75-72

H21/10

NBL

Perth

96-101 OT

101

-5

A27/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-93

H29/10

NBL

Cairns

98-85

+13

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

77-70

H05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-87

-6

A08/11

NBL

Cairns

87-80

H11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

108-101

108

101

A16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

102-94

102

H18/11

NBL

28-19

14-28

24-24

15-17

15-19

29-25

17-15

14-13

22-20

20-21

26-25

16-18

29-16

27-23

26-33

17-21

29-19

22-21

15-21

32-24

17-11

18-18

24-23

20-25

22-26

17-21

22-15

17-18

26-28

19-21

25-13

31-24

20-34

30-21

27-22

25-20

18-24

34-31

25-19

177.5Avg total

90.4Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	93.4	90.3	183.6	+3.1	73%
Season at home (6)	86.8	82.8	169.7	+4.0	83%
Season away (5)	101.2	99.2	200.4	+2.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	87.1	177.5	+3.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	86.4	177.4	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	92.5	89.8	182.2	+2.7	69%
vs Weaker (17)	90.8	84.9	175.7	+5.9	82%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

90-73

+17

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-86

101

+15

H18/02

NBL

Adelaide

83-94

-11

H13/10

NBL

Adelaide

101-106

101

106

-5

A19/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-78

101

+23

A21/10

NBL

Cairns

98-90 OT

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-79

H02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

70-77

-7

A05/11

NBL

Adelaide

93-81

+12

A10/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

100-87

100

+13

H18/11

NBL

20-23

26-12

26-22

18-16

14-17

28-31

26-20

33-18

19-21

24-23

25-21

15-29

26-29

26-33

28-20

21-24

29-18

19-22

22-18

31-20

18-20

23-18

18-23

25-23

27-12

25-23

21-23

13-21

11-17

18-18

23-24

27-15

25-28

21-20

20-18

24-21

28-18

27-25

21-23

177.4Avg total

92.3Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	91.5	86.5	178.0	+5.0	62%
Season at home (4)	91.8	87.5	179.2	+4.2	75%
Season away (4)	91.2	85.5	176.8	+5.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	92.3	85.1	177.4	+7.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	82.8	172.2	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.3	91.3	172.6	-10.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	89.6	85.4	175.0	+4.2	56%
vs Weaker (2)	92.0	84.5	176.5	+7.5	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.3	42.6	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	24.3	46.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.1	42.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.9	21.3	46.2	+3.6	77%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.1	35%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.9	42.1	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.7	42.7	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	24.8	46.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	26.0	46.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	24.8	44.6	-5.1	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.8	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	19.9	43.5	+3.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	23.8	20.7	44.5	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	20.5	44.5	+3.5	100%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

42-47

-5

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-44

H21/10

NBL

Perth

42-41

A27/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-39

+17

H29/10

NBL

Cairns

51-40

+11

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

35-29

H05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-51

-9

A08/11

NBL

Cairns

43-46

-3

H11/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-58

-7

A16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-44

-1

H18/11

NBL

88.8Avg total

44.9Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	44.5	88.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	42.1	87.4	+3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	46.9	89.1	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	43.9	88.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	45.6	88.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.7	46.2	90.8	-1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.0	43.3	86.3	-0.3	35%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

46-35

+11

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-48

-6

H18/02

NBL

Adelaide

43-44

-1

H13/10

NBL

Adelaide

52-62

-10

A19/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-40

A21/10

NBL

Cairns

41-38

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-35

+17

H02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

29-35

-6

A05/11

NBL

Adelaide

52-43

A10/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-39

+13

H18/11

NBL

87.6Avg total

45.7Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	42.1	86.4	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	40.9	85.6	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	43.4	87.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	41.9	87.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.0	83.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.1	45.3	87.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	45.3	40.9	86.2	+4.4	72%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	36.5	83.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.9	44.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.1	44.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	19.8	44.7	+5.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	25.0	21.9	46.9	+3.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.6	42.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	22.1	43.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.6	43.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	22.5	42.9	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	24.8	45.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	40.5	86.4	+5.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.6	84.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.1	40.4	88.5	+7.7	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	41.5	85.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.8	89.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	46.8	42.3	89.2	+4.5	77%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.2	39.1	84.3	+6.1	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	44.5	86.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	44.1	85.5	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	44.9	87.1	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	42.6	87.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.6	85.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.2	46.0	85.2	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	43.6	43.6	87.2	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	45.0	83.5	-6.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	77-70
28/01/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-93
30/12/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	79-103
11/12/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-69
11/11/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	108-90
04/02/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-89
11/12/16	Sydney v Melbourne United	81-88
26/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92
12/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	71-87
30/12/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	90-100

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	102-94
16/11/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	108-101
11/11/18	H	Cairns	87-80
08/11/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	81-87
05/11/18	H	Sydney	77-70
03/11/18	A	Cairns	98-85
29/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	99-93
27/10/18	A	Perth	96-101 OT
21/10/18	H	Adelaide	75-72
14/10/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	81-88

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-87
10/11/18	A	Adelaide	93-81
05/11/18	A	Melbourne United	70-77
02/11/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-79
28/10/18	H	Cairns	98-90 OT
21/10/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	101-78
19/10/18	A	Adelaide	101-106
13/10/18	H	Adelaide	83-94
18/02/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	101-86
15/02/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	93.4	86.8	101.2
Allowed / game	90.3	82.8	99.2
Point differential	+3.1	+4.0	+2.0
Avg total	183.6	169.7	200.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	18%	0%	40%

Sydney

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	91.5	91.8	91.2
Allowed / game	86.5	87.5	85.5
Point differential	+5.0	+4.2	+5.8
Avg total	178.0	179.2	176.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	25%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	10	9	1	90%	94.3	84.3	+10.0
2	Melbourne United	11	8	3	73%	93.4	90.3	+3.1
3	Sydney	8	5	3	62%	91.5	86.5	+5.0
4	Adelaide	11	5	6	45%	93.6	93.0	+0.6
5	Brisbane Bullets	11	5	6	45%	88.8	89.2	-0.4
6	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	40%	90.1	92.5	-2.4
7	Illawarra Hawks	10	3	7	30%	87.7	95.9	-8.2
8	Cairns	9	1	8	11%	86.4	94.3	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	24	23	20	17	84
Sydney	25	19	14	24	82

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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