Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 85-74

30-16 17-15 16-22 22-21

Position#3

Record16-13

FormWWLLL

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game91.6

Cairns 🏆

Perth

Position#2

Record20-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game86.8

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2019-20

Meetings · Cairns v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

91-89

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-79

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

83-92

-9

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

108-91

108

+17

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

103-102

103

102

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-75

+24

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

99-80

+19

A08/02

NBL

Melbourne United

83-99

-16

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-124

124

-36

A15/02

NBL

Perth

107-108 OT

107

108

-1

A28/02

NBL

23-19

25-24

29-16

14-30

20-25

30-19

14-20

21-15

16-23

21-21

23-24

30-18

24-25

31-28

23-20

31-31

24-20

31-21

17-30

23-17

34-23

28-17

14-18

27-20

30-25

17-16

25-19

18-20

24-25

25-23

16-31

15-39

30-24

24-35

19-26

20-29

34-16

17-23

22-25

188.5Avg total

94.6Scored

93.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	92.9	91.6	184.4	+1.3	55%
Season at home (14)	92.2	85.9	178.1	+6.4	79%
Season away (15)	93.5	96.9	190.4	-3.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	94.6	93.9	188.5	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	97.2	192.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	84.0	89.0	173.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	89.6	90.0	179.6	-0.4	56%
vs Weaker (11)	98.4	94.1	192.5	+4.3	55%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

97-100

100

-3

A01/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-97

-12

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-77

+22

A10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

97-71

+26

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-79

H25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

67-77

-10

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

110-100

110

100

+10

H01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-72

+13

H09/02

NBL

Adelaide

94-79

+15

H15/02

NBL

Cairns

108-107 OT

108

107

H28/02

NBL

27-25

18-24

21-29

31-22

20-28

27-24

21-21

17-24

27-17

27-19

19-24

26-17

19-10

25-23

30-15

23-23

29-23

16-22

21-15

14-19

13-26

21-14

14-15

19-22

31-27

29-25

29-21

21-27

21-19

20-20

19-16

25-17

24-18

23-18

22-27

25-16

29-20

16-34

23-17

25-22

178.1Avg total

92.2Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	90.9	86.8	177.7	+4.2	69%
Season at home (15)	92.6	84.9	177.5	+7.7	80%
Season away (14)	89.1	88.8	177.9	+0.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	85.9	178.1	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	87.0	179.8	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	87.9	87.5	175.4	+0.4	65%
vs Weaker (10)	97.6	85.0	182.6	+12.6	80%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.7	45.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.9	46.6	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	24.1	46.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.3	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	21.3	46.0	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.3	45.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.3	45.3	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.2	21.7	46.9	+3.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.1	47.3	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	23.2	48.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	22.9	46.7	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	22.2	49.8	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	22.6	53.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	25.2	21.8	46.9	+3.4	61%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	25.6	48.7	-2.5	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	22.7	46.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.9	44.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.4	70%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

48-43

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-44

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

37-44

-7

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-43

+11

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-51

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-40

+17

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

57-45

+12

A08/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-45

-3

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-63

-18

A15/02

NBL

Perth

54-45

A28/02

NBL

96.2Avg total

49.9Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	45.7	93.1	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.4	44.4	92.9	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.4	46.9	93.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.9	46.3	96.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	47.6	98.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	47.0	90.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	46.1	44.3	90.4	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	49.7	48.0	97.7	+1.7	55%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

45-49

-4

A01/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-52

-5

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-36

+18

A10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

44-33

+11

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-45

H25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

34-40

-6

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

60-52

H01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

41-39

H09/02

NBL

Adelaide

47-36

+11

H15/02

NBL

Cairns

45-54

-9

H28/02

NBL

89.8Avg total

46.2Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	44.6	91.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	43.9	92.3	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	45.3	89.9	-0.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	43.6	89.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	45.8	45.4	91.2	+0.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.9	43.0	90.9	+4.9	50%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.3	44.2	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	21.6	46.2	+2.9	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	23.8	46.1	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	28%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	21.5	44.1	+1.0	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	21.8	42.8	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.7	20.2	45.9	+5.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	44.2	88.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	41.4	85.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	46.6	91.2	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	46.1	89.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.7	44.9	87.6	-2.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.1	43.2	90.3	+3.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	41.6	85.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	40.0	83.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	43.2	88.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	40.9	85.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	40.0	84.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.4	41.4	82.8	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	49.7	42.0	91.7	+7.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
28/02/20	Perth v Cairns	108-107 OT
12/12/19	Cairns v Perth	84-88
23/11/19	Cairns v Perth	91-84
18/10/19	Perth v Cairns	76-99
11/01/19	Perth v Cairns	79-81
31/12/18	Cairns v Perth	78-93
09/12/18	Perth v Cairns	94-72
17/11/18	Cairns v Perth	83-88 OT
18/02/18	Perth v Cairns	89-61
09/02/18	Perth v Cairns	83-85

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/20	A	Perth	107-108 OT
15/02/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	88-124
13/02/20	A	Melbourne United	83-99
08/02/20	A	Adelaide	99-80
31/01/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	99-75
26/01/20	A	South East Melbourne	103-102
18/01/20	H	Adelaide	108-91
11/01/20	A	Sydney	83-92
09/01/20	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-79
03/01/20	H	Brisbane Bullets	91-89

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/20	H	Cairns	108-107 OT
15/02/20	H	Adelaide	94-79
09/02/20	H	Brisbane Bullets	85-72
01/02/20	H	Sydney	110-100
29/01/20	A	Melbourne United	67-77
25/01/20	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-79
17/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	97-71
10/01/20	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-77
05/01/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	85-97
01/01/20	A	Adelaide	97-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	55%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	55%	79%	33%
Points / game	92.9	92.2	93.5
Allowed / game	91.6	85.9	96.9
Point differential	+1.3	+6.4	-3.3
Avg total	184.4	178.1	190.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	21%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Perth

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	WLLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	69%	80%	57%
Points / game	90.9	92.6	89.1
Allowed / game	86.8	84.9	88.8
Point differential	+4.2	+7.7	+0.4
Avg total	177.7	177.5	177.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	53%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	89% (9)	100% (3)	83% (6)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	29	21	8	72%	94.1	88.0	+6.1
2	Perth	29	20	9	69%	90.9	86.8	+4.2
3	Cairns	29	16	13	55%	92.9	91.6	+1.3
4	Brisbane Bullets	28	15	13	54%	93.1	91.3	+1.8
5	New Zealand Breakers	28	15	13	54%	89.8	88.1	+1.6
6	Melbourne United	29	15	14	52%	93.7	91.2	+2.5
7	Adelaide	28	12	16	43%	94.8	98.9	-4.1
8	South East Melbourne	28	9	19	32%	95.4	98.6	-3.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	28	5	23	18%	84.1	94.8	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	30	17	16	22	85
Perth	16	15	22	21	74

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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