Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 99-83

20-18 25-24 23-25 31-16

Position#6

Record13-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game93.5

Allowed / game91.8

Melbourne United 🏆

Cairns

Position#3

Record16-10

FormLWWWW

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game89.4

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

87-74

+13

A21/12

NBL

Cairns

75-77

-2

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-102

102

-6

H29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

104-91

104

+13

A04/01

NBL

Adelaide

86-100

100

-14

A11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

68-90

-22

A19/01

NBL

Sydney

88-106

106

-18

A26/01

NBL

Perth

77-67

+10

H29/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

83-87

-4

A01/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-72

+23

H08/02

NBL

22-20

25-19

22-14

18-21

9-20

21-26

23-17

22-14

29-27

22-28

24-25

21-22

28-26

27-24

17-24

32-17

24-32

24-21

22-26

16-21

18-26

17-20

16-21

17-23

25-28

20-20

17-29

26-29

26-13

14-21

15-14

22-19

17-21

30-17

21-25

15-24

24-18

22-16

27-23

22-15

172.5Avg total

85.9Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	93.5	91.8	185.3	+1.7	50%
Season at home (13)	95.5	90.7	186.2	+4.8	62%
Season away (13)	91.5	92.9	184.4	-1.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	86.6	172.5	-0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	84.4	166.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	88.1	92.1	180.2	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker (9)	99.3	88.9	188.2	+10.4	78%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

94-86

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

77-75

A26/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-84

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

91-89

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-79

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

83-92

-9

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

108-91

108

+17

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

103-102

103

102

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-75

+24

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

99-80

+19

A08/02

NBL

31-17

26-27

17-21

20-21

20-9

26-21

17-23

14-22

26-22

11-21

32-19

23-22

23-19

25-24

29-16

14-30

20-25

30-19

14-20

21-15

16-23

21-21

23-24

30-18

24-25

31-28

23-20

31-31

24-20

31-21

17-30

23-17

34-23

28-17

14-18

27-20

30-25

17-16

25-19

178.4Avg total

93.1Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	92.9	89.4	182.3	+3.5	62%
Season at home (14)	92.2	85.9	178.1	+6.4	79%
Season away (12)	93.8	93.5	187.2	+0.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	85.3	178.4	+7.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.4	88.0	186.4	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.3	80.7	164.0	+2.7	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	89.3	87.4	176.8	+1.9	62%
vs Weaker (11)	98.4	94.1	192.5	+4.3	55%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	24.1	47.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	23.7	47.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	24.4	48.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.9	24.7	50.6	+1.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	22.9	46.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	20.1	44.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.8	47.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.1	44.2	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	23.3	45.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.4	22.9	44.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.2	47.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	23.1	47.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	23.3	46.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	22.6	47.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.8	49.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.7	21.9	46.6	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	25.6	48.7	-2.5	27%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

47-39

A21/12

NBL

Cairns

30-46

-16

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

51-55

-4

H29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-50

A04/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-53

-5

A11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-46

-11

A19/01

NBL

Sydney

45-48

-3

A26/01

NBL

Perth

40-34

H29/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-38

A01/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-34

+12

H08/02

NBL

88.7Avg total

44.4Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	46.2	91.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	47.0	92.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.6	45.4	91.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	44.3	88.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	44.0	46.7	90.6	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.7	45.1	94.8	+4.6	56%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

57-44

+13

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

46-30

+16

A26/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

37-43

-6

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-43

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-44

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

37-44

-7

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-43

+11

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-51

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-40

+17

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

57-45

+12

A08/02

NBL

92.5Avg total

49.8Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	44.9	92.4	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.8	43.6	91.4	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.2	46.2	93.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	42.7	92.5	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	44.6	96.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.0	40.3	84.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	46.6	43.6	90.2	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (11)	49.7	48.0	97.7	+1.7	55%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	23.7	44.4	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.5	44.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.2	47.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	21.6	46.2	+2.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	22.5	46.4	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	21.7	47.5	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker (9)	27.0	20.8	47.8	+6.2	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	23.1	45.6	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	21.5	44.1	+1.0	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	45.0	90.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.7	43.0	91.7	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	46.9	89.8	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.3	83.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	44.4	84.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	44.1	45.5	89.6	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.7	43.8	93.4	+5.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.1	84.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.4	45.4	89.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	42.6	85.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	43.4	89.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	40.3	79.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.7	43.8	86.5	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.1	43.2	90.3	+3.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
26/12/19	Melbourne United v Cairns	75-77
29/11/19	Cairns v Melbourne United	93-86
28/10/19	Cairns v Melbourne United	90-85
14/02/19	Melbourne United v Cairns	85-87
13/01/19	Cairns v Melbourne United	89-99 OT
11/11/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-80
03/11/18	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-98
24/01/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	79-68
09/12/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-70
09/11/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	92-69

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-72
01/02/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	83-87
29/01/20	H	Perth	77-67
26/01/20	A	Sydney	88-106
19/01/20	A	New Zealand Breakers	68-90
11/01/20	A	Adelaide	86-100
04/01/20	A	Illawarra Hawks	104-91
29/12/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	96-102
26/12/19	H	Cairns	75-77
21/12/19	A	Perth	87-74

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/20	A	Adelaide	99-80
31/01/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	99-75
26/01/20	A	South East Melbourne	103-102
18/01/20	H	Adelaide	108-91
11/01/20	A	Sydney	83-92
09/01/20	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-79
03/01/20	H	Brisbane Bullets	91-89
31/12/19	H	South East Melbourne	92-84
26/12/19	A	Melbourne United	77-75
22/12/19	H	Adelaide	94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	LLLWW	62%
Away	WLLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	50%	62%	38%
Points / game	93.5	95.5	91.5
Allowed / game	91.8	90.7	92.9
Point differential	+1.7	+4.8	-1.5
Avg total	185.3	186.2	184.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	38%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	40% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWLWW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	62%	79%	42%
Points / game	92.9	92.2	93.8
Allowed / game	89.4	85.9	93.5
Point differential	+3.5	+6.4	+0.2
Avg total	182.3	178.1	187.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	21%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	27	19	8	70%	94.2	88.5	+5.7
2	Perth	27	18	9	67%	90.2	86.3	+3.9
3	Cairns	26	16	10	62%	92.9	89.4	+3.5
4	New Zealand Breakers	27	14	13	52%	89.7	88.3	+1.4
5	Brisbane Bullets	27	14	13	52%	92.0	91.4	+0.5
6	Melbourne United	26	13	13	50%	93.5	91.8	+1.7
7	Adelaide	27	12	15	44%	95.4	99.0	-3.7
8	South East Melbourne	26	9	17	35%	96.1	98.5	-2.4
9	Illawarra Hawks	27	5	22	19%	84.1	94.7	-10.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	20	25	23	31	99
Cairns	18	24	25	16	83

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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