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UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 96-77
47-42 49-35
Position#115
Record18-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game66.3
UC Santa Barbara 🏆
USA
vs
Cal Poly
USA
Position#235
Record11-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly
05 Dec 2026
UC S v CAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
UC S107
CAL 67
27 Feb 2025
UC S96
CAL 77
29 Feb 2024
UC S83
CAL 75
09 Mar 2023
UC S64
CAL 54
02 Feb 2023
UC S68
CAL 62
06 Mar 2021
UC S70
CAL 54
05 Mar 2021
UC S71
CAL 57
07 Mar 2020
UC S69
CAL 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A24/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A26/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H02/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H09/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A14/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H21/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
32-33
34-29
49-46
44-46
27-32
38-26
47-28
44-38
37-37
39-32
37-40
31-32
29-30
37-37
32-44
38-27
48-29
27-22
31-34
141.8Avg total
73.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.866.3140.1+7.564%
Season at home (15)78.765.7144.5+13.073%
Season away (13)68.166.9135.0+1.254%
Last 10 (10)73.268.6141.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.374.3140.7-8.00%
vs Similar (4)73.881.2155.0-7.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)73.164.6137.7+8.576%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#231
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
112-100 OT
112
100
+12
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
28-34
35-45
36-56
40-28
38-41
45-37
45-44
28-39
34-41
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
43-47
52-48
160.8Avg total
79.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.583.9164.4-3.339%
Season at home (12)82.880.2163.0+2.558%
Season away (16)78.986.6165.4-7.725%
Last 10 (10)79.681.2160.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)88.283.2171.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.487.7164.1-11.28%
vs Similar (14)80.282.7162.9-2.543%
vs Weaker (4)92.578.0170.5+14.5100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
UC Santa BarbaraCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A24/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A26/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H02/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A23/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
36.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.666.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.532.167.6+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)33.030.963.9+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)36.333.369.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.739.371.0-7.70%-
vs Similar (4)36.241.878.0-5.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)33.529.162.6+4.467%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#231
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H22/02
NCAA
76.1Avg total
37.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.375.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.238.073.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (18)36.140.276.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.676.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.281.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.942.678.5-6.725%-
vs Similar (14)35.337.973.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (4)37.034.871.8+2.275%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
UC Santa Barbara wins
0
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara72-75
01/03/24UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly83-75
07/01/24Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara52-61
10/03/23UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly64-54
03/02/23UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly68-62
07/01/23Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara57-62
13/02/22Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara64-69
07/03/21UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly70-54
06/03/21UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly71-57
08/03/20UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly69-67
UC Santa Barbaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ALong Beach State58-56
21/02/25HCS Fullerton86-56
16/02/25AUC Riverside69-81
14/02/25AUC Irvine60-62
09/02/25HHawaii76-72
07/02/25ACSU Bakersfield81-75
02/02/25HLong Beach State85-54
31/01/25HCS Northridge71-78
26/01/25ACS Fullerton83-75
24/01/25AUC San Diego63-77
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HUC Riverside112-100 OT
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63
02/02/25AUC Riverside62-80
31/01/25ACSU Bakersfield90-81
25/01/25HLong Beach State78-69
19/01/25AUC Irvine71-101
17/01/25HUC Davis54-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%73%54%
Points / game73.878.768.1
Allowed / game66.365.766.9
Point differential+7.5+13.0+1.2
Avg total140.1144.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%53%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW39%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %39%58%25%
Points / game80.582.878.9
Allowed / game83.980.286.6
Point differential-3.3+2.5-7.7
Avg total164.4163.0165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %14%25%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego2824486%80.562.0+18.4
2 UC Irvine2823582%74.765.7+9.0
3 CS Northridge2720774%80.571.1+9.4
4 UC Santa Barbara28181064%73.866.3+7.5
5 UC Riverside29181162%74.473.8+0.6
6 UC Davis28151354%68.368.9-0.6
7 Hawaii27141352%69.770.3-0.6
8 CSU Bakersfield29121741%73.572.8+0.7
9 Cal Poly28111739%80.583.9-3.3
10 Long Beach State2872125%66.973.7-6.8
11 CS Fullerton2862221%64.276.2-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Santa Barbara474996
Cal Poly423577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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