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Stanford vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 50-80
19-35 31-45
Position#103
Record14-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game71.7
Stanford
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record16-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
35-37
44-36
42-46
40-25
36-35
33-35
44-33
33-38
55-42
17-22
23-25
35-34
45-42
24-31
45-37
34-41
21-29
45-47
50-43
145.6Avg total
74.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.971.7149.7+6.278%
Season at home (12)80.571.5152.0+9.075%
Season away (6)72.872.2145.0+0.783%
Last 10 (10)74.071.6145.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)67.870.2138.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.578.8150.2-7.250%
vs Similar (16)73.869.4143.2+4.469%
vs Weaker (5)78.265.4143.6+12.880%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
39-36
36-24
31-42
31-34
35-26
48-45
49-28
46-36
35-46
39-43
46-36
42-42
49-45
38-47
46-26
41-35
41-40
37-30
34-26
152.6Avg total
80.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.865.9151.8+19.994%
Season at home (11)86.665.0151.6+21.691%
Season away (6)84.367.7152.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)80.472.2152.6+8.290%
Last 5 (5)82.674.0156.6+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.366.3153.6+21.193%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
StanfordDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.167.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.231.668.7+5.674%-
Last 30 away (11)30.135.665.7-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.769.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.066.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.040.075.0-5.038%-
vs Similar (16)32.631.964.5+0.856%-
vs Weaker (5)37.826.664.4+11.280%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/01
NCAA
77.0Avg total
39.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.732.875.4+9.977%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.831.173.9+11.681%-
Last 30 away (9)42.436.679.0+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.177.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.933.176.0+9.876%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stanford wins
1
Duke wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Duke v Stanford106-70
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HNorth Carolina95-90
10/01/26AVirginia55-70
08/01/26AVirginia Tech69-68
03/01/26HLouisville80-76
31/12/25HNotre Dame40-47
28/12/25HCS Northridge88-80
21/12/25AColorado77-68
18/12/25HUT Arlington76-60
14/12/25ASan Jose State86-82
07/12/25HUNLV74-75
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ACalifornia71-56
10/01/26HSMU Mustangs82-75
07/01/26ALouisville84-73
03/01/26AFlorida State91-87
31/12/25HGeorgia Tech85-79
21/12/25HTexas Tech81-82
16/12/25HLipscomb97-73
06/12/25AMichigan State66-60
03/12/25HFlorida67-66
28/11/25AArkansas80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %78%75%83%
Points / game77.980.572.8
Allowed / game71.771.572.2
Point differential+6.2+9.0+0.7
Avg total149.7152.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %94%91%100%
Points / game85.886.684.3
Allowed / game65.965.067.7
Point differential+19.9+21.6+16.7
Avg total151.8151.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1716194%85.865.9+19.9
2 Virginia1916384%82.469.1+13.3
3 Clemson1916384%77.264.5+12.7
4 Miami (FL)1815383%86.269.2+17.0
5 North Carolina1814478%81.969.6+12.4
6 Stanford1814478%77.971.7+6.2
7 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
8 Virginia Tech1914574%82.374.1+8.3
9 SMU Mustangs1813572%87.376.7+10.6
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1812667%85.871.6+14.2
12 Syracuse1812667%75.767.7+8.1
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Georgia Tech1911858%75.673.1+2.5
15 Notre Dame1810856%73.469.3+4.1
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Boston College1881044%68.668.5+0.1
18 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford193150
Duke354580
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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