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California vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 55-59
22-25 33-34
Position#369
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#236
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#89
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
L
44-71
44
71
-27
A04/03
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A10/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H12/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
27-42
24-32
34-28
35-12
18-27
25-31
19-40
31-40
30-49
20-32
39-34
36-41
29-34
21-36
33-27
27-37
35-27
26-38
40-36
125.5Avg total
58.4Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.869.0130.8-7.20%
Season at home (3)61.770.7132.3-9.00%
Season away (1)62.064.0126.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)58.467.1125.5-8.710%
Last 5 (5)61.268.4129.6-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.571.1134.6-7.518%
vs Similar (10)58.759.9118.6-1.240%
vs Weaker (3)69.356.0125.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#101
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-29
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-26
0-0
37-24
0-0
25-25
0-0
30-27
0-0
29-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-30
130.5Avg total
66.6Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.565.8130.2-1.250%
Season at home (1)71.053.0124.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)62.370.0132.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)66.663.9130.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)64.266.0130.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)73.760.4134.1+13.480%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -0.7-0.7
CaliforniaTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#89
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
35-12
35
12
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A10/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H12/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#228
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H19/11
NCAA
60.7Avg total
28.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.931.461.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.231.161.3-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)29.431.861.2-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)28.032.760.7-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)26.036.862.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.834.664.4-4.829%-
vs Similar (10)29.526.656.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (3)31.329.060.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#101
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
60.6Avg total
32.2Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.929.563.5+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.127.164.2+9.967%-
Last 30 away (15)30.831.962.7-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)32.228.460.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.662.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.529.164.7+6.460%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HSouthern Univ.66-74
16/11/22AUC San Diego62-64
12/11/22HKansas State54-63
08/11/22HUC Davis65-75
10/03/22AWashington State59-66
05/03/22AArizona61-89
04/03/22AArizona State44-71
27/02/22HStanford53-39
19/02/22HUtah Utes58-60
18/02/22HColorado62-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
26/02/22ATroy66-61
24/02/22ASouth Alabama55-52
19/02/22HUALR68-50
18/02/22HArkansas State84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game61.861.762.0
Allowed / game69.070.764.0
Point differential-7.2-9.0-2.0
Avg total130.8132.3126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game64.571.062.3
Allowed / game65.853.070.0
Point differential-1.2+18.0-7.7
Avg total130.2124.0132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State440100%88.263.5+24.8
2 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
3 North Carolina440100%80.868.0+12.8
4 Notre Dame440100%78.873.0+5.8
5 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
6 Duke54180%77.053.2+23.8
7 Clemson54180%73.461.2+12.2
8 Wake Forest54180%74.067.0+7.0
9 Georgia Tech43175%71.059.5+11.5
10 Syracuse43175%77.067.8+9.2
11 Boston College64267%66.264.3+1.8
12 Stanford42250%70.063.8+6.2
13 Miami (FL)105550%73.371.2+2.1
14 SMU Mustangs42250%64.266.2-2.0
15 Pittsburgh52340%67.271.0-3.8
16 Florida State51420%69.675.6-6.0
17 California4040%61.869.0-7.2
18 Louisville4040%63.070.2-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
2 Southern Miss440100%74.256.0+18.2
3 Troy65183%80.762.5+18.2
4 James Madison54180%97.061.4+35.6
5 Marshall54180%87.270.8+16.4
6 Coastal Carolina32167%95.056.3+38.7
7 Appalachian State64267%81.769.3+12.3
8 Georgia State64267%68.364.0+4.3
9 Arkansas State42250%70.062.2+7.8
10 Old Dominion63350%71.568.7+2.8
11 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
12 Georgia Southern63350%63.565.8-2.3
13 Louisiana Monroe52340%77.675.2+2.4
14 South Alabama41325%71.567.0+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California223355
Texas State253459
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