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Canberra Capitals W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 61-91
9-26 16-24 21-17 15-24
Position#5
Record6-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.5
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game85.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 11· AIS Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W
27 Dec 2025
CANB61
SYDN91
15 Nov 2025
CANB96
SYDN56
09 Feb 2025
CANB71
SYDN86
30 Jan 2025
CANB88
SYDN92
08 Dec 2023
CANB70
SYDN72
10 Dec 2022
CANB80
SYDN92
28 Jan 2022
CANB86
SYDN54
05 Jan 2022
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
25 Nov 2020
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
CANB82
SYDN66
02 Nov 2019
CANB91
SYDN66
04 Nov 2018
CANB84
SYDN79
07 Dec 2017
CANB67
SYDN73
04 Nov 2017
CANB72
SYDN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 70
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
59avg 70
A08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
97avg 70
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
61-101
61
101
-40
40avg 70
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
55avg 70
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 70
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 70
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 70
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 70
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
32avg 70
A23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
12-14
12-21
26-21
18-28
19-16
21-11
13-18
34-10
21-16
25-9
16-21
18-26
13-31
13-23
17-21
17-23
19-20
21-27
10-21
16-18
16-17
19-18
25-22
20-18
24-25
16-17
16-11
34-23
13-17
23-19
27-12
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
14-21
15-13
12-23
8-18
149.3Avg total
73.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.077.5150.5-4.546%
Season at home (6)80.577.8158.3+2.767%
Season away (7)66.677.3143.9-10.729%
Last 10 (10)73.475.9149.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.485.8157.1-14.429%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.376.0155.3+3.354%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-64
73
64
+9
60avg 65
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 65
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
56-96
56
96
-40
44avg 65
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
62avg 65
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
94avg 65
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
58avg 65
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 65
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
58avg 65
H20/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 65
A23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
14-12
21-12
21-26
14-24
19-22
10-28
28-14
10-34
16-21
9-25
21-16
21-28
20-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
24-24
22-19
20-19
13-26
19-16
24-13
8-25
15-31
13-26
17-23
15-13
20-13
16-30
17-27
22-24
25-24
22-31
13-24
17-20
21-10
16-24
17-22
20-23
160.3Avg total
72.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.385.6158.9-12.421%
Season at home (6)77.085.3162.3-8.333%
Season away (8)70.585.9156.4-15.412%
Last 10 (10)72.388.0160.3-15.720%
Last 5 (5)70.089.0159.0-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.687.3159.8-14.711%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.682.1159.7-4.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.582.0157.5-6.550%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Canberra Capitals WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
NBL W
76.4Avg total
37.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.182.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.078.7-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.176.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.545.783.2-8.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.838.077.8+1.846%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/12
NBL W
80.2Avg total
35.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.544.382.8-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.443.283.6-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.945.282.1-8.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.045.280.2-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.282.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.547.585.0-10.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)46.539.085.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.720.0
42.8%
47.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.3
34.9%
32.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.511.0
71.0%
73.3%11.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.117.0
39.4%
47.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
32.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
73.3%13.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LWWWWLLWLL
Sydney W
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
-20.1
95.6
Offensive rating
91.1
94.4
Defensive rating
111.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
42.3%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
23.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
31.4%
66.3%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 91.1Defence94.4 · 111.2Shooting45.8% · 42.3%3-point %34.9% · 31.4%Ball care20.6% · 23.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 36.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
9
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W96-56
06/11/25Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W73-64
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25APerth Lynx W49-75
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
12/12/25HSouthside W97-71
09/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W76-71
07/12/25AGeelong Venom W76-75
29/11/25HPerth Lynx W67-91
22/11/25ATownsville W61-101
15/11/25HSydney W96-56
08/11/25ABendigo W71-73
06/11/25ASydney W64-73
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ATownsville W74-79
20/12/25HTownsville W77-99
14/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-94
06/12/25ATownsville W60-93
28/11/25HBendigo W64-80
26/11/25HGeelong Venom W97-94 OT
22/11/25ASouthside W76-93
15/11/25ACanberra Capitals W56-96
09/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W71-88
06/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game73.080.566.6
Allowed / game77.577.877.3
Point differential-4.5+2.7-10.7
Avg total150.5158.3143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game73.377.070.5
Allowed / game85.685.385.9
Point differential-12.4-8.3-15.4
Avg total158.9162.3156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%75.967.0+8.9
2 Townsville W1311285%89.070.8+18.2
3 Perth Lynx W1310377%80.874.5+6.2
4 Canberra Capitals W136746%73.077.5-4.5
5 Southside W124833%74.378.5-4.2
6 Adelaide Lightning W134931%76.584.2-7.8
7 Geelong Venom W1431121%75.479.6-4.2
8 Sydney W1431121%73.385.6-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W916211561
Sydney W2624172491
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