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Sydney W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 84-72
22-14 31-20 16-21 15-17
Position#8
Record5-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.4
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#5
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game78.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 13· Quaycentre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W
10 Jan 2026
SYDN84
CANB72
06 Nov 2025
SYDN73
CANB64
03 Nov 2024
SYDN102
CANB85
19 Jan 2024
SYDN90
CANB65
15 Nov 2023
SYDN86
CANB81
30 Dec 2022
SYDN81
CANB70
23 Dec 2022
SYDN87
CANB72
05 Dec 2021
SYDN55
CANB58
21 Nov 2020
SYDN63
CANB68
27 Oct 2019
SYDN81
CANB75
13 Jan 2019
SYDN79
CANB99
12 Oct 2018
SYDN78
CANB97
02 Nov 2017
SYDN81
CANB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
62avg 66
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
94avg 66
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
58avg 66
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 66
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 66
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
58avg 66
H20/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 66
A23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
91-61
91
61
+30
96avg 66
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
94-113
94
113
-19
80avg 66
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 66
H05/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
20-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
24-24
22-19
20-19
13-26
19-16
24-13
8-25
15-31
13-26
17-23
15-13
20-13
16-30
17-27
22-24
25-24
22-31
13-24
17-20
21-10
16-24
17-22
20-23
26-9
24-16
17-21
24-15
19-26
24-34
25-26
26-27
25-20
28-19
18-26
18-13
168.1Avg total
79.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.585.4161.8-8.929%
Season at home (8)80.687.9168.5-7.238%
Season away (9)72.883.1155.9-10.322%
Last 10 (10)79.788.4168.1-8.730%
Last 5 (5)85.086.0171.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.587.6162.1-13.116%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.479.6159.0-0.260%
vs Weaker (1)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
97avg 67
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
61-101
61
101
-40
40avg 67
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
55avg 67
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 67
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 67
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 67
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 67
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
32avg 67
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
61-91
61
91
-30
43avg 67
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 67
H04/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-10
21-16
25-9
16-21
18-26
13-31
13-23
17-21
17-23
19-20
21-27
10-21
16-18
16-17
19-18
25-22
20-18
24-25
16-17
16-11
34-23
13-17
23-19
27-12
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
14-21
15-13
12-23
8-18
9-26
16-24
21-17
15-24
22-14
16-24
22-18
17-18
151.5Avg total
73.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.578.2150.7-5.747%
Season at home (8)77.679.0156.6-1.462%
Season away (7)66.677.3143.9-10.729%
Last 10 (10)73.777.8151.5-4.160%
Last 5 (5)72.276.8149.0-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.185.4156.4-14.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.077.1155.1+0.950%
vs Weaker (2)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
Sydney WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A27/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H30/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H05/01
NBL W
85.5Avg total
40.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.283.6-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.244.986.1-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.581.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.985.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.688.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.146.986.0-7.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.438.978.3+0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#8
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H15/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A22/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NBL W
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.780.2-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.181.2+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.643.479.0-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.245.082.2-7.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.838.977.6-0.143%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.519.6
46.1%
47.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
32.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
73.3%13.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.021.0
42.9%
47.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.3
36.9%
32.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.3
70.5%
73.3%10.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
WLWLLLLLWL
Canberra Capitals W
WLLWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#5
-13.4
Net rating
+0.1
101.0
Offensive rating
99.0
114.4
Defensive rating
98.8
47.2%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
21.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.7%
3-point %
36.9%
61.6%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 99.0Defence114.4 · 98.8Shooting47.2% · 46.4%3-point %32.7% · 36.9%Ball care21.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds37.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sydney W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney W wins
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W61-91
15/11/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W96-56
06/11/25Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W73-64
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HBendigo W89-78
30/12/25HSouthside W94-113
27/12/25ACanberra Capitals W91-61
23/12/25ATownsville W74-79
20/12/25HTownsville W77-99
14/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-94
06/12/25ATownsville W60-93
28/11/25HBendigo W64-80
26/11/25HGeelong Venom W97-94 OT
22/11/25ASouthside W76-93
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HPerth Lynx W77-74
27/12/25HSydney W61-91
23/12/25APerth Lynx W49-75
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
12/12/25HSouthside W97-71
09/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W76-71
07/12/25AGeelong Venom W76-75
29/11/25HPerth Lynx W67-91
22/11/25ATownsville W61-101
15/11/25HSydney W96-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%38%22%
Points / game76.580.672.8
Allowed / game85.487.983.1
Point differential-8.9-7.2-10.3
Avg total161.8168.5155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game72.577.666.6
Allowed / game78.279.077.3
Point differential-5.7-1.4-10.7
Avg total150.7156.6143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1613381%75.968.0+7.9
2 Townsville W1713476%86.171.6+14.4
3 Perth Lynx W1612475%82.774.9+7.8
4 Southside W157847%78.977.3+1.6
5 Canberra Capitals W157847%72.578.2-5.7
6 Sydney W1751229%76.585.4-8.9
7 Adelaide Lightning W1641225%75.684.8-9.1
8 Geelong Venom W1841422%74.482.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2231161584
Canberra Capitals W1420211772
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