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Geelong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 100-76
23-20 32-17 18-16 27-23
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game68.0
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Meetings · Geelong v Ballarat
05 Apr 2025
GEEL98
BALL72
08 Jul 2023
GEEL104
BALL107
04 Jun 2022
GEEL63
BALL78
15 Jun 2019
GEEL62
BALL66
31 Mar 2017
GEEL100
BALL76
11 Apr 2015
GEEL87
BALL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A02/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A22/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
104-72
104
72
+32
A23/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H30/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H06/08
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
115-93
115
93
+22
H13/08
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H20/08
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H25/03
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
15-16
20-13
19-27
24-14
28-21
25-20
14-23
21-28
22-25
27-15
28-19
13-15
18-22
20-31
28-22
22-12
24-21
27-25
31-14
22-16
30-20
26-24
22-19
29-20
19-14
26-18
19-22
34-28
32-20
27-23
22-22
25-21
22-25
18-18
17-20
18-15
36-19
23-19
20-15
175.1Avg total
93.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.068.0165.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)97.068.0165.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.681.5175.1+12.170%
Last 5 (5)97.479.6177.0+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.091.3174.3-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.785.8169.5-2.233%
vs Weaker (21)89.378.6167.9+10.871%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
101-112
101
112
-11
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A23/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/07
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
118-87
118
87
+31
H31/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H06/08
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
H14/08
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-25
22-34
30-19
14-24
21-28
20-25
23-14
25-25
22-21
24-18
16-24
34-22
30-22
21-23
23-30
26-23
26-36
21-29
28-24
24-26
12-19
19-22
24-28
18-26
22-22
20-22
19-21
30-30
36-23
29-11
23-23
23-21
25-29
19-21
22-19
36-21
12-24
25-23
32-18
187.4Avg total
93.7Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.793.7187.4+0.030%
Last 5 (5)94.089.8183.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.790.0171.7-8.317%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.189.4179.5+0.755%
vs Weaker (13)97.288.0185.2+9.269%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
GeelongBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A02/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A23/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H30/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H06/08
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H13/08
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H20/08
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H25/03
SEABL
88.3Avg total
47.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.084.4+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.338.984.1+6.480%-
Last 30 away (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.688.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.439.693.0+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.748.387.0-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.241.880.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (21)47.038.385.3+8.890%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H02/07
SEABL
Albury
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/07
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A10/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A16/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/07
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H31/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/08
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H14/08
SEABL
96.6Avg total
47.7Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.191.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.843.792.5+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)45.344.489.7+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)47.748.996.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.648.295.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.046.586.5-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.143.489.5+2.755%-
vs Weaker (13)50.843.594.4+7.377%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
1
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
02/07/16Ballarat v Geelong78-91
08/07/15Ballarat v Geelong77-93
11/04/15Geelong v Ballarat87-89
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/17HBA CoE97-68
20/08/16HAlbury82-84
13/08/16HMelbourne Tigers115-93
06/08/16HNW Tasmania93-74
30/07/16HBA CoE100-79
23/07/16ANW Tasmania104-72
22/07/16AHobart Chargers79-90
15/07/16AMt Gambier98-87
02/07/16ABallarat91-78
01/07/16HBendigo77-90
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/08/16HCanberra105-86
06/08/16HMt Gambier89-90
31/07/16HMelbourne Tigers118-87
29/07/16AMt Gambier79-91
23/07/16AKilsyth79-95
16/07/16ABrisbane Spartans101-112
10/07/16AFrankston108-97
09/07/16HAlbury87-88
02/07/16HGeelong78-91
01/07/16ASouthern Sabres93-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ballarat
SEABL 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers110100%98.041.0+57.0
2 Bendigo110100%89.057.0+32.0
3 Geelong110100%97.068.0+29.0
4 Nunawading110100%87.064.0+23.0
5 Southern Sabres110100%94.078.0+16.0
6 Kilsyth220100%75.064.5+10.5
7 Mt Gambier110100%87.083.0+4.0
8 Albury1010%83.087.0-4.0
9 Frankston1010%67.077.0-10.0
10 Canberra1010%78.094.0-16.0
11 BA CoE2020%66.092.0-26.0
12 Dandenong1010%57.089.0-32.0
13 NW Tasmania2020%51.585.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong23321827100
Ballarat2017162376
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