Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 May 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-92

24-27 25-19 17-22 21-24

Position#4

Record7-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game75.7

Geelong

NW Tasmania 🏆

Position#7

Record3-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game83.4

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

97-68

+29

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

97-98

-1

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

80-84

-4

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-59

+30

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

83-77

H20/05

SEABL

18-15

36-19

23-19

20-15

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

25-35

24-22

21-17

27-24

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

21-22

22-18

15-19

22-25

23-23

23-10

19-12

24-14

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

32-23

21-22

16-14

14-18

162.3Avg total

86.6Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.6	75.7	162.3	+10.9	70%
Season at home (5)	86.2	71.0	157.2	+15.2	80%
Season away (5)	87.0	80.4	167.4	+6.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	75.7	162.3	+10.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	75.4	162.6	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	87.5	88.5	176.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	90.5	80.3	170.7	+10.2	70%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

62-73

-11

H24/03

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

41-98

-57

A25/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

86-79

H31/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

93-94

-1

H08/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

63-70

-7

H22/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

87-111

111

-24

A28/04

SEABL

Frankston

#12

84-87

-3

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

81-78

H06/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

107-65

107

+42

A13/05

SEABL

Dandenong

72-79

-7

H20/05

SEABL

27-21

15-20

13-13

7-19

12-22

10-31

12-16

7-29

23-19

28-20

13-16

22-24

26-27

27-22

23-17

17-28

13-11

15-26

15-11

20-22

14-31

20-30

22-24

31-26

12-15

18-29

22-19

32-24

23-22

25-22

19-18

14-16

38-18

35-16

19-13

15-18

16-20

21-15

19-18

16-26

161.0Avg total

77.6Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	77.6	83.4	161.0	-5.8	30%
Season at home (6)	76.2	78.8	155.0	-2.7	33%
Season away (4)	79.8	90.2	170.0	-10.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	83.4	161.0	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	84.0	170.2	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.7	96.5	176.2	-16.8	21%
vs Similar (10)	76.1	80.0	156.1	-3.9	40%
vs Weaker (6)	93.2	79.8	173.0	+13.3	67%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	31.0	53.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.9	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	23.6	43.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.8	20.2	45.0	+4.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	21.9	45.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.0	41.9	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	16.6	40.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.7	20.7	44.3	+3.0	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	23.8	42.2	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	23.3	42.4	-4.2	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	21.7	45.8	+2.5	67%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

54-34

+20

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-57

-8

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-40

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-33

+13

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

Bendigo

53-45

H20/05

SEABL

84.9Avg total

45.3Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	40.7	86.3	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	40.5	86.8	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	41.0	85.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	39.6	84.9	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	37.6	84.2	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	51.5	92.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	47.7	39.8	87.6	+7.9	91%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

42-41

H24/03

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

22-53

-31

A25/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

51-39

+12

H31/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

53-49

H08/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

28-37

-9

H22/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-61

-27

A28/04

SEABL

Frankston

#12

30-44

-14

A29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

48-44

H06/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

73-34

+39

A13/05

SEABL

Dandenong

37-35

H20/05

SEABL

85.5Avg total

41.8Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	44.0	86.0	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	42.4	86.0	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	46.2	85.9	-6.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.7	85.5	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	43.6	88.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.2	46.9	86.1	-7.6	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.6	41.3	82.9	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.0	41.8	90.8	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.2	40.8	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	14.0	37.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	19.8	38.9	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.5	34.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	24.2	43.6	-4.8	7%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.1	42.5	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.2	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.2	24.3	44.5	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.5	83.6	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.1	82.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	41.9	85.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.1	77.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.8	78.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.0	37.0	84.0	+10.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.7	40.4	83.2	+2.3	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	43.1	82.0	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.6	42.6	80.2	-4.9	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.7	75.5	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.4	82.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.6	48.5	88.1	-8.9	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.5	38.7	73.2	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.2	38.0	82.2	+6.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
06/08/16	Geelong v NW Tasmania	93-74
23/07/16	NW Tasmania v Geelong	72-104
05/07/15	Geelong v NW Tasmania	86-76
18/04/15	NW Tasmania v Geelong	81-75

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/17	H	Bendigo	83-77
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77
06/05/17	H	Canberra	89-59
29/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	80-84
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80
21/04/17	A	Albury	97-98
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76
25/03/17	H	BA CoE	97-68

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/17	H	Dandenong	72-79
13/05/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	107-65
06/05/17	H	Bendigo	81-78
29/04/17	A	Frankston	84-87
28/04/17	A	Mt Gambier	87-111
22/04/17	H	Southern Sabres	63-70
08/04/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	93-94
31/03/17	H	Frankston	86-79
25/03/17	A	Hobart Chargers	41-98
24/03/17	H	Kilsyth	62-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	70%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	86.6	86.2	87.0
Allowed / game	75.7	71.0	80.4
Point differential	+10.9	+15.2	+6.6
Avg total	162.3	157.2	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

NW Tasmania

SEABL 2017

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	30%
Home	WLLWL	33%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Points / game	77.6	76.2	79.8
Allowed / game	83.4	78.8	90.2
Point differential	-5.8	-2.7	-10.5
Avg total	161.0	155.0	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	10	9	1	90%	90.4	80.6	+9.8
2	Nunawading	12	10	2	83%	91.1	80.7	+10.4
3	Hobart Chargers	10	8	2	80%	100.6	79.9	+20.7
4	Geelong	10	7	3	70%	86.6	75.7	+10.9
5	Ballarat	10	7	3	70%	85.6	81.5	+4.1
6	Dandenong	12	7	5	58%	79.2	80.7	-1.4
7	Bendigo	13	6	7	46%	83.5	82.5	+0.9
8	Albury	11	5	6	45%	92.2	94.0	-1.8
9	Kilsyth	11	5	6	45%	77.0	78.8	-1.8
10	Southern Sabres	10	4	6	40%	78.0	83.6	-5.6
11	NW Tasmania	10	3	7	30%	77.6	83.4	-5.8
12	Melbourne Tigers	10	3	7	30%	75.7	88.1	-12.4
13	Frankston	11	2	9	18%	79.2	91.0	-11.8
14	BA CoE	7	1	6	14%	78.3	91.6	-13.3
15	Canberra	9	1	8	11%	79.3	87.6	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	24	25	17	21	87
NW Tasmania	27	19	22	24	92

← all games of the day

Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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