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Canberra vs Hornsby S. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 90-54
17-11 23-14 26-9 24-20
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#14
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game96.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Canberra v Hornsby S.
03 May 2025
CANB118
HORN77
27 Apr 2024
CANB90
HORN54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H08/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H15/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A14/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H20/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
20-22
19-17
26-12
20-19
21-18
30-19
24-18
28-21
27-20
15-18
22-28
23-28
24-19
15-24
16-20
15-15
11-20
30-17
34-17
26-25
19-25
22-17
8-21
28-22
23-12
25-9
25-26
20-16
19-30
11-18
19-26
23-8
14-16
10-20
20-16
15-27
23-15
28-13
21-20
161.0Avg total
84.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.073.5154.5+7.575%
Season at home (2)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)68.075.0143.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)84.276.8161.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)79.876.4156.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.090.0156.0-24.00%
vs Similar (12)84.581.8166.2+2.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.370.9161.1+19.493%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A20/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A25/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
10-16
11-26
30-25
20-14
28-16
15-19
18-30
13-14
16-18
14-23
18-18
9-24
17-26
19-16
27-18
16-29
26-24
22-20
10-27
18-17
24-28
22-28
18-18
21-32
15-25
25-31
18-22
25-24
21-25
18-25
23-30
22-19
11-22
18-17
10-23
18-20
17-28
17-25
17-22
165.1Avg total
74.2Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.396.8172.2-21.50%
Season at home (2)84.597.5182.0-13.00%
Season away (4)70.896.5167.2-25.80%
Last 10 (10)74.290.9165.1-16.710%
Last 5 (5)75.696.2171.8-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.887.8155.6-20.00%
vs Similar (3)72.073.7145.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
CanberraHornsby S.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A13/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/04
NBL1 East
81.4Avg total
42.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.583.0+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.138.182.1+6.069%-
Last 30 away (14)44.939.183.9+5.864%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.281.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.345.381.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)45.241.786.8+3.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.534.780.1+10.887%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/04
NBL1 East
81.8Avg total
37.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.242.674.9-10.411%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.941.972.8-11.08%-
Last 30 away (15)33.343.376.6-9.913%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.681.8-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)38.448.086.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.444.575.9-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.331.368.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra wins
0
Hornsby S. wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Hornsby S. v Canberra60-61
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HManly W.87-75
14/04/24ANewcastle Falcons67-60
13/04/24AMaitland M.69-90
06/04/24HIllawarra Hawks101-69
05/08/23HMaitland M.75-88
29/07/23HHills Hornets90-69
23/07/23AIllawarra Hawks 278-91
22/07/23HSutherland Sharks92-87
15/07/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits95-74
08/07/23HHills Hornets88-65
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24AMaitland M.69-95
20/04/24ANewcastle Falcons61-81
14/04/24HInner West Bulls87-104
13/04/24AManly W.79-110
07/04/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-91
06/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders74-100
16/07/23HSydney Comets72-84
14/07/23HHills Hornets61-73
08/07/23AManly W.81-79
02/07/23HSutherland Sharks76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.094.068.0
Allowed / game73.572.075.0
Point differential+7.5+22.0-7.0
Avg total154.5166.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.384.570.8
Allowed / game96.897.596.5
Point differential-21.5-13.0-25.8
Avg total172.2182.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.550100%96.074.2+21.8
2 Inner West Bulls76186%93.477.0+16.4
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits54180%92.683.6+9.0
4 Canberra43175%81.073.5+7.5
5 Central Coast Crusaders53260%92.486.2+6.2
6 Sydney Comets53260%81.276.4+4.8
7 Bankstown Bruins53260%76.075.4+0.6
8 Manly W.21150%92.583.0+9.5
9 Sutherland Sharks42250%87.283.5+3.8
10 Hills Hornets42250%87.584.5+3.0
11 Norths Bears42250%78.075.2+2.8
12 BA CoE31233%85.788.7-3.0
13 Newcastle Falcons51420%69.479.8-10.4
14 Penrith P.51420%83.697.6-14.0
15 Hornsby S.6060%75.396.8-21.5
16 Illawarra Hawks5050%73.0103.8-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra1723262490
Hornsby S.111492054
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