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Cantu vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-71
18-15 23-14 14-24 28-18
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game71.5
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.1
ItalySerie A2Round 9· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
58avg 71
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 71
A12/06
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
62avg 71
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
74-68
74
68
+6
64avg 71
A06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
75-57
75
57
+18
74avg 71
H09/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
72-68
72
68
+4
68avg 71
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 71
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 71
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
85-65
85
65
+20
87avg 71
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
16-16
23-9
15-28
14-20
14-20
19-23
25-20
21-21
24-21
16-11
9-17
18-20
18-9
18-27
20-12
20-8
25-17
15-17
15-15
16-14
20-23
21-17
15-14
17-29
21-20
29-20
13-8
25-24
27-20
11-19
20-17
24-16
29-11
13-22
19-16
16-20
16-15
23-26
17-19
149.1Avg total
76.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.171.5148.6+5.675%
Season at home (3)77.363.3140.7+14.0100%
Season away (5)77.076.4153.4+0.660%
Last 10 (10)76.372.8149.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)75.975.8151.7+0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.473.1149.5+3.464%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 67
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
45avg 67
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 67
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
87avg 67
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
96avg 67
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
64-73
64
73
-9
58avg 67
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 67
H03/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-18
19-21
20-12
13-14
19-17
12-22
17-14
22-21
12-17
22-22
21-22
24-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
22-23
24-24
23-10
23-26
14-14
18-20
17-17
15-22
17-22
16-14
15-22
15-18
150.3Avg total
74.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.176.1150.3-2.043%
Season at home (4)68.274.0142.2-5.825%
Season away (3)82.079.0161.0+3.067%
Last 10 (7)74.176.1150.3-2.043%
Last 5 (5)76.278.8155.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
vs Similar (4)69.873.5143.2-3.825%
vs Weaker (2)88.581.5170.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
CantuAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H09/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A20/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H27/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/11
Serie A2
76.5Avg total
40.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.576.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.735.175.9+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.437.776.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.476.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.480.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)37.337.374.6+0.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.035.677.6+6.471%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/11
Serie A2
74.6Avg total
36.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)36.737.974.6-1.129%-
Last 30 at home (4)34.835.270.0-0.550%-
Last 30 away (3)39.341.380.7-2.00%-
Last 10 (7)36.737.974.6-1.129%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (4)34.035.569.5-1.525%-
vs Weaker (2)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.7
53.9%
50.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.311.1
68.1%
74.4%11.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.4
48.3%
50.1%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.4
29.4%
34.6%19.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.4
80.8%
74.4%17.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWWWWWLLW
Avellino Basket
LLWWLLW
#2
League position
#11
+3.8
Net rating
-2.0
105.6
Offensive rating
105.0
101.8
Defensive rating
107.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.7%
3-point %
29.4%
60.0%
Assist %
53.4%
70%
Form (last 10/7)
43%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 105.0Defence101.8 · 107.0Shooting51.0% · 46.8%3-point %31.7% · 29.4%Ball care14.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/7)70% · 43%
■ Cantu   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cantu wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24ACividale72-80
27/10/24HCento85-65
20/10/24ALibertas Livorno83-80
16/10/24AVerona80-77
13/10/24HBasket Torino72-68
09/10/24HBrindisi75-57
06/10/24ASebastiani Rieti74-68
29/09/24AOrzinuovi76-77 OT
12/06/24ATrieste72-83
10/06/24ATrieste74-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HUdine63-76
20/10/24HForli64-73
16/10/24AAssigeco Piacenza92-83
12/10/24HVigevano85-80
06/10/24APesaro77-82
02/10/24HSebastiani Rieti61-67
29/09/24ABrindisi77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game77.177.377.0
Allowed / game71.563.376.4
Point differential+5.6+14.0+0.6
Avg total148.6140.7153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game74.168.282.0
Allowed / game76.174.079.0
Point differential-2.0-5.8+3.0
Avg total150.3142.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini87188%85.076.5+8.5
2 Udine86275%82.170.6+11.5
3 Cantu86275%77.171.5+5.6
4 Sebastiani Rieti86275%76.873.1+3.6
5 Cividale86275%79.577.8+1.8
6 Urania Milano85362%78.872.2+6.5
7 Fortitudo Bologna74357%76.775.6+1.1
8 Verona84450%79.676.6+3.0
9 Forli84450%72.971.0+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona84450%78.878.4+0.4
11 Orzinuovi84450%78.880.1-1.4
12 Nardo84450%75.880.5-4.8
13 Avellino Basket73443%74.176.1-2.0
14 Vigevano83538%73.874.9-1.1
15 Basket Torino83538%73.474.8-1.4
16 Libertas Livorno83538%72.677.2-4.6
17 Pesaro83538%69.475.9-6.5
18 Cento82625%70.579.0-8.5
19 Brindisi81712%68.074.5-6.5
20 Assigeco Piacenza81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1823142883
Avellino Basket1514241871
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