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Cantu vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
ItalyLega ARound 32
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cantu v Pesaro
13 Apr 2025
KAN85
PES78
04 Oct 2020
KAN81
PES72
17 Apr 2020
KAN v PES
upcoming
19 Nov 2018
KAN87
PES90
26 Dec 2017
KAN92
PES73
16 Oct 2016
KAN77
PES68
27 Dec 2015
KAN90
PES65
03 May 2015
KAN83
PES67
27 Oct 2013
KAN93
PES78
17 Mar 2013
KAN74
PES62
26 May 2012
KAN69
PES78
20 May 2012
KAN74
PES47
18 May 2012
KAN78
PES72
29 Oct 2011
KAN66
PES71
01 May 2011
KAN63
PES55
28 Feb 2010
KAN81
PES93
07 May 2009
KAN71
PES75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
163.1Avg total
82.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.779.0155.7-2.345%
Season at home (10)78.581.5160.0-3.040%
Season away (10)74.876.5151.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.583.6161.1-6.136%
vs Similar (11)81.379.3160.5+2.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
CantuPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.180.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.580.5-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.038.979.9+2.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWW
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#17
+10.5
Net rating
-16.6
128.2
Offensive rating
103.9
117.8
Defensive rating
120.5
59.1%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
31.9%
43.2%
Assist %
51.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence128.2 · 103.9Defence117.8 · 120.5Shooting59.1% · 47.0%3-point %34.6% · 31.9%Ball care15.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds38.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Cantu   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cantu wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
26/12/19Pesaro v Cantu72-87
17/03/19Pesaro v Cantu72-80
19/11/18Cantu v Pesaro87-90
22/04/18Pesaro v Cantu82-91
26/12/17Cantu v Pesaro92-73
05/02/17Pesaro v Cantu78-73
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
03/05/15Cantu v Pesaro83-67
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game76.778.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.576.5
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.7
Avg total155.7160.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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