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Cantu vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-72
21-13 15-19 19-27 26-13
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game84.0
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game95.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Cantu v Pesaro
13 Apr 2025
KAN85
PES78
04 Oct 2020
KAN81
PES72
17 Apr 2020
KAN v PES
upcoming
19 Nov 2018
KAN87
PES90
26 Dec 2017
KAN92
PES73
16 Oct 2016
KAN77
PES68
27 Dec 2015
KAN90
PES65
03 May 2015
KAN83
PES67
27 Oct 2013
KAN93
PES78
17 Mar 2013
KAN74
PES62
26 May 2012
KAN69
PES78
20 May 2012
KAN74
PES47
18 May 2012
KAN78
PES72
29 Oct 2011
KAN66
PES71
01 May 2011
KAN63
PES55
28 Feb 2010
KAN81
PES93
07 May 2009
KAN71
PES75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 65
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
no box
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
53avg 65
A27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
18-26
20-28
16-24
17-23
14-15
32-17
11-20
18-24
18-24
13-30
15-27
16-21
22-24
16-14
20-24
19-22
22-18
19-17
21-19
19-18
17-19
25-21
22-26
14-22
15-25
15-20
14-20
21-19
158.2Avg total
73.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)73.484.8158.2-11.420%
Last 5 (5)72.686.0158.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.383.7158.0-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.678.0157.6+1.656%
vs Weaker (4)78.574.8153.2+3.850%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 66
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
63avg 66
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
89-56
89
56
+33
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
85-95
85
95
-10
76avg 66
H27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
18-21
19-17
20-15
26-18
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
23-7
28-20
25-13
28-20
24-16
20-9
23-19
22-12
23-20
9-24
18-28
20-12
23-28
25-22
17-15
16-13
26-18
16-22
27-29
16-26
167.7Avg total
83.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.184.6167.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)85.874.6160.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.692.4171.0-13.84%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.279.8156.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (2)96.558.0154.5+38.5100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
CantuPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/09
Lega A
79.9Avg total
37.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.480.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.179.9-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.880.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.379.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.641.980.6-3.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.838.879.6+2.044%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.881.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/09
Lega A
84.9Avg total
42.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.784.4-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.243.881.0-6.620%-
Last 30 away (15)42.245.787.9-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.784.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.280.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.046.085.1-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.846.286.0-6.50%-
vs Weaker (2)47.526.073.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.323.2
62.2%
51.2%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
75.8%12.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.5
47.8%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
75.8%13.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLWLLLLLWL
Pesaro
LWLWWLWLLL
#15
League position
#10
+10.4
Net rating
-17.1
126.5
Offensive rating
106.1
116.1
Defensive rating
123.2
58.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
33.5%
44.9%
Assist %
50.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence126.5 · 106.1Defence116.1 · 123.2Shooting58.5% · 48.8%3-point %35.4% · 33.5%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds37.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cantu wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
26/12/19Pesaro v Cantu72-87
17/03/19Pesaro v Cantu72-80
19/11/18Cantu v Pesaro87-90
22/04/18Pesaro v Cantu82-91
26/12/17Cantu v Pesaro92-73
05/02/17Pesaro v Cantu78-73
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
03/05/15Cantu v Pesaro83-67
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20AVirtus Bologna65-84
10/09/20ABrescia78-88
07/09/20HVarese81-72
04/09/20AVarese77-84
01/09/20HOlimpia Milano62-102
29/08/20HBrescia75-76
27/08/20AOlimpia Milano71-101
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20HSassari85-95
14/09/20ASassari81-78
12/09/20HBrindisi70-84
10/09/20AVirtus Roma89-56
07/09/20HVirtus Roma104-60
05/09/20HSassari71-86
03/09/20ABrindisi83-71
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-19.0--19.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%95.567.5+28.0
2 Trieste220100%88.074.5+13.5
3 Venezia220100%79.066.5+12.5
4 Virtus Bologna220100%82.572.5+10.0
5 Varese220100%91.086.0+5.0
6 Brindisi21150%79.571.0+8.5
7 Sassari21150%83.579.5+4.0
8 Reggiana21150%79.084.0-5.0
9 Virtus Roma21150%74.084.0-10.0
10 Treviso21150%74.092.0-18.0
11 Brescia2020%84.587.5-3.0
12 Fortitudo Bologna2020%79.584.5-5.0
13 Trento2020%80.585.5-5.0
14 Pesaro1010%85.095.0-10.0
15 Cantu1010%65.084.0-19.0
16 Cremona2020%71.592.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2115192681
Pesaro1319271372
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