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Cantu vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-85
27-19 17-27 18-16 17-23
Position#15
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record9-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 14· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cantu v Tortona
15 Nov 2026
KAN v TOR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
KAN79
TOR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
87avg 73
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 73
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 73
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
82avg 73
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 73
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
78avg 73
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 73
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 73
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 73
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 73
A28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
11-28
26-28
30-19
23-24
24-20
22-18
22-21
20-27
17-28
23-18
24-27
20-17
21-24
13-20
21-14
21-18
19-25
17-27
25-21
15-24
20-23
21-23
21-19
26-36
25-25
14-23
30-17
24-20
17-25
13-12
27-29
22-29
25-25
23-15
19-25
21-21
19-30
17-21
29-26
180.0Avg total
86.9Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.492.2175.6-8.823%
Season at home (6)82.285.0167.2-2.850%
Season away (7)84.498.4182.9-14.00%
Last 10 (10)86.993.1180.0-6.220%
Last 5 (5)85.693.6179.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.493.7175.1-12.314%
vs Similar (11)84.184.1168.2+0.064%
vs Weaker (12)78.972.3151.2+6.667%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
104avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 79
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 79
H28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
34-27
19-28
36-26
23-19
20-22
22-14
22-21
23-23
17-25
31-24
19-15
29-15
14-26
18-23
20-27
23-15
25-21
24-26
22-28
22-22
25-30
17-22
26-24
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
178.7Avg total
90.2Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.187.7176.8+1.469%
Season at home (7)97.390.9188.1+6.486%
Season away (6)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)90.288.5178.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)88.488.2176.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.986.3165.1-7.429%
vs Similar (9)86.687.2173.8-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.283.6175.8+8.686%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
CantuTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H20/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/12
Lega A
91.5Avg total
41.7Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.580.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.079.7+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.981.5-6.413%-
Last 10 (10)41.749.891.5-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)42.851.694.4-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.950.990.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.042.381.3-3.327%-
vs Weaker (12)38.835.274.0+3.567%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
84.8Avg total
43.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.883.8+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.840.385.1+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)40.941.382.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.184.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.342.783.0-2.443%-
vs Similar (9)42.043.285.2-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.038.283.2+6.886%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
54.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.9
33.8%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.718.2
73.7%
76.1%18.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
54.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.818.4
77.3%
76.1%18.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLLLLWLWL
Tortona
WWWLLWLWWW
#15
League position
#6
-8.3
Net rating
+3.0
107.9
Offensive rating
116.7
116.2
Defensive rating
113.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.8%
3-point %
33.6%
60.1%
Assist %
59.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 116.7Defence116.2 · 113.7Shooting51.6% · 52.0%3-point %33.8% · 33.6%Ball care16.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds27.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Cantu   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cantu wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ABasket Napoli86-98
20/12/25HOlimpia Milano89-94
14/12/25ATreviso81-86
07/12/25AVenezia95-101
23/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-89
16/11/25AVarese82-91
09/11/25HUdine90-85 OT
06/11/25ASassari84-100
02/11/25HCremona91-83
26/10/25ABrescia94-104
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92
23/11/25HVenezia90-98
15/11/25AUdine94-90
12/11/25ATrieste81-91
09/11/25HVarese90-87
02/11/25HBasket Napoli87-76
25/10/25HTrapani108-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%50%0%
Points / game83.482.284.4
Allowed / game92.285.098.4
Point differential-8.8-2.8-14.0
Avg total175.6167.2182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game89.197.379.5
Allowed / game87.790.984.0
Point differential+1.4+6.4-4.5
Avg total176.8188.1163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1311285%85.877.8+8.0
2 Brescia1411379%89.983.6+6.4
3 Trapani1310377%90.186.3+3.8
4 Olimpia Milano1410471%86.777.8+8.9
5 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
6 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
7 Trento146843%84.783.1+1.6
8 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
9 Cremona146843%82.683.9-1.3
10 Sassari146843%86.888.3-1.5
11 Varese146843%82.386.4-4.1
12 Trieste146843%84.088.9-4.9
13 Udine145936%80.581.4-0.9
14 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
15 Reggiana1431121%78.983.7-4.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2717181779
Tortona1927162385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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