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Tortona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-87
23-23 17-25 31-24 19-15
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game86.2
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game92.2
ItalyLega ARound 7· PalaFerraris
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Varese
14 Mar 2027
TOR v VAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
TOR90
VAR87
09 Mar 2025
TOR89
VAR82
24 Mar 2024
TOR90
VAR83
05 Feb 2023
TOR103
VAR91
16 Apr 2022
TOR104
VAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 79
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 79
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 79
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 79
H04/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
96avg 79
A11/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 79
A05/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
107-95
107
95
+12
104avg 79
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
75-89
75
89
-14
70avg 79
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
104avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-11
16-24
10-18
20-25
22-33
17-19
32-15
16-22
20-19
11-23
21-21
22-27
13-19
14-20
33-23
26-22
26-24
19-21
28-27
21-25
24-19
16-8
13-19
24-29
33-18
28-26
22-22
18-25
20-19
17-25
20-20
19-19
34-27
19-28
36-26
23-19
20-22
22-14
22-21
172.3Avg total
85.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.286.2176.4+4.080%
Season at home (3)100.790.3191.0+10.3100%
Season away (2)74.580.0154.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)85.586.8172.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)90.286.2176.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.988.5169.4-7.638%
vs Similar (10)83.386.8170.1-3.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.578.5167.9+11.082%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
92avg 74
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
58avg 74
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
73avg 74
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 74
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 74
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 74
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 74
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 74
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
23-17
18-21
25-29
17-13
13-32
20-35
17-24
19-19
20-16
27-22
19-23
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
22-17
18-24
18-21
16-23
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
168.0Avg total
77.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.592.2170.7-13.717%
Season at home (3)70.787.3158.0-16.70%
Season away (3)86.397.0183.3-10.733%
Last 10 (10)77.690.4168.0-12.830%
Last 5 (5)73.290.2163.4-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)81.092.7173.8-11.729%
vs Similar (9)87.390.2177.6-2.944%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.7-6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -6.7-6.7
TortonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A19/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/05
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A05/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/11
Lega A
88.7Avg total
43.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.182.6+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.985.0+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.280.4-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.888.7-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.491.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.044.685.6-3.638%-
vs Similar (10)40.642.983.5-2.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.536.780.2+6.782%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.986.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.382.9+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.346.590.9-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.484.4-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.945.687.5-3.833%-
vs Similar (9)45.639.985.4+5.778%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
54.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.6
37.7%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.9
81.5%
76.1%15.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.915.0
50.2%
54.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.9
35.4%
34.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws14.011.0
78.6%
76.1%11.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLWWWLLLL
Varese
LLLLLWLWLW
#6
League position
#8
-1.2
Net rating
-16.5
116.8
Offensive rating
99.8
118.1
Defensive rating
116.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.7%
3-point %
35.4%
64.9%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 99.8Defence118.1 · 116.3Shooting53.8% · 51.7%3-point %37.7% · 35.4%Ball care14.7% · 20.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 23.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tortona wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Tortona v Varese89-82 OT
06/10/24Varese v Tortona95-105
24/03/24Tortona v Varese90-83
15/10/23Varese v Tortona78-80
05/02/23Tortona v Varese103-91
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HBasket Napoli87-76
25/10/25HTrapani108-100
19/10/25ATrento75-89
12/10/25HTreviso107-95
05/10/25AOlimpia Milano74-71
11/05/25ACremona99-94
04/05/25HBasket Napoli82-89
27/04/25HOlimpia Milano68-85
19/04/25ATreviso91-92
16/04/25HTenerife64-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86
25/10/25HTrento74-85
19/10/25AReggiana79-103
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83
04/05/25HTrieste85-80
27/04/25AVirtus Bologna67-104
19/04/25HSassari89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game90.2100.774.5
Allowed / game86.290.380.0
Point differential+4.0+10.3-5.5
Avg total176.4191.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game78.570.786.3
Allowed / game92.287.397.0
Point differential-13.7-16.7-10.7
Avg total170.7158.0183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia76186%90.081.9+8.1
2 Trapani76186%93.087.9+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna65183%88.580.8+7.7
4 Tortona54180%90.286.2+4.0
5 Olimpia Milano75271%87.773.9+13.9
6 Venezia64267%92.385.5+6.8
7 Cremona74357%85.982.1+3.7
8 Trieste63350%85.292.5-7.3
9 Trento73443%85.682.4+3.1
10 Basket Napoli73443%86.789.4-2.7
11 Reggiana62433%82.285.0-2.8
12 Cantu62433%80.792.5-11.8
13 Udine61517%80.582.5-2.0
14 Sassari61517%81.787.0-5.3
15 Varese61517%78.592.2-13.7
16 Treviso71614%86.496.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2317311990
Varese2325241587
← all games of the day
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