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Cremona vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-76
20-22 16-23 14-19 21-12
Position#12
Record5-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record7-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game91.1
ItalyLega ARound 12· PalaRadi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cremona v Tortona
21 Dec 2025
CRE71
TOR76
11 May 2025
CRE94
TOR99
17 Dec 2023
CRE83
TOR67
10 Apr 2022
CRE73
TOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 75
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
87avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
83-91
83
91
-8
66avg 75
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 75
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 75
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
76-102
76
102
-26
70avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-13
25-24
19-19
26-19
19-23
22-7
32-20
13-19
28-30
26-12
19-15
23-22
24-23
20-24
18-22
21-22
17-24
28-20
24-22
23-17
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
21-23
19-14
14-22
18-24
17-22
22-17
24-18
16-30
17-20
18-34
22-21
19-27
172.5Avg total
86.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.585.5171.1+0.045%
Season at home (5)91.883.6175.4+8.280%
Season away (6)80.387.2167.5-6.817%
Last 10 (10)86.685.9172.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)86.092.4178.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.088.4167.4-9.419%
vs Similar (13)87.385.8173.2+1.562%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
107-95
107
95
+12
104avg 79
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
75-89
75
89
-14
70avg 79
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
104avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 79
H14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
33-18
28-26
22-22
18-25
20-19
17-25
20-20
19-19
34-27
19-28
36-26
23-19
20-22
22-14
22-21
23-23
17-25
31-24
19-15
29-15
14-26
18-23
20-27
23-15
25-21
24-26
22-28
22-22
25-30
17-22
26-24
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
185.8Avg total
92.7Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.091.1182.1-0.164%
Season at home (6)100.094.8194.8+5.283%
Season away (5)80.286.6166.8-6.440%
Last 10 (10)92.793.1185.8-0.460%
Last 5 (5)92.096.8188.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.287.8165.0-10.525%
vs Similar (8)87.289.8177.0-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.584.5178.0+8.985%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
CremonaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
Lega A
85.6Avg total
43.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.882.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.643.488.0+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.478.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.685.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.287.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.442.281.6-2.938%-
vs Similar (13)42.541.984.5+0.654%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H12/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
88.6Avg total
45.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.941.886.7+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.781.8-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.588.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (8)42.844.887.5-2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.038.483.4+6.685%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
76.1%13.4
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.2
54.5%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.3
35.6%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.518.8
76.7%
76.1%18.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLLWLWLWWW
Tortona
WLLWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#6
+1.3
Net rating
+0.3
111.4
Offensive rating
119.3
110.1
Defensive rating
119.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
35.6%
55.7%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 119.3Defence110.1 · 119.0Shooting53.0% · 54.1%3-point %34.0% · 35.6%Ball care16.8% · 14.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cremona wins
5
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
11/05/25Cremona v Tortona94-99
29/09/24Tortona v Cremona80-68
30/03/24Tortona v Cremona87-76
17/12/23Cremona v Tortona83-67
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ABasket Napoli76-102
08/12/25HVarese79-87
21/11/25ABrescia72-83
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
06/11/25HTrento92-83
02/11/25ACantu83-91
26/10/25HTreviso96-79
20/10/25AVirtus Bologna86-69
12/10/25HSassari79-75
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92
23/11/25HVenezia90-98
15/11/25AUdine94-90
12/11/25ATrieste81-91
09/11/25HVarese90-87
02/11/25HBasket Napoli87-76
25/10/25HTrapani108-100
19/10/25ATrento75-89
12/10/25HTreviso107-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game85.591.880.3
Allowed / game85.583.687.2
Point differential+0.0+8.2-6.8
Avg total171.1175.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game91.0100.080.2
Allowed / game91.194.886.6
Point differential-0.1+5.2-6.4
Avg total182.1194.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1110191%90.381.6+8.6
2 Trapani1210283%90.285.6+4.7
3 Virtus Bologna119282%86.979.1+7.8
4 Venezia129375%93.987.1+6.8
5 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
6 Tortona117464%91.091.1-0.1
7 Trieste116555%86.790.7-4.0
8 Trento115645%86.783.5+3.3
9 Cremona115645%85.585.5+0.0
10 Basket Napoli125742%86.287.2-1.0
11 Udine124833%80.181.6-1.5
12 Sassari124833%85.888.4-2.6
13 Varese113827%80.888.4-7.5
14 Cantu123925%83.291.8-8.6
15 Reggiana112918%81.386.5-5.3
16 Treviso1221017%83.292.6-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2016142171
Tortona2223191276
← all games of the day
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