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Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-97
26-23 27-22 27-25 21-27
Position#1
Record12-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#7
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game88.0
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Manuel Petaca Iguina
Other2024
Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce
28 Apr 2025
CAPI88
LEON94
07 Apr 2025
CAPI94
LEON91
14 May 2024
CAPI101
LEON97
26 Apr 2024
CAPI87
LEON77
26 Apr 2023
CAPI110
LEON107
16 Apr 2023
CAPI99
LEON80
27 Jun 2022
CAPI109
LEON79
02 Jun 2022
CAPI102
LEON90
04 Oct 2021
CAPI83
LEON78
13 Sep 2021
CAPI91
LEON84
18 Nov 2020
CAPI104
LEON78
14 May 2020
CAPI v LEON
upcoming
01 Jun 2019
CAPI94
LEON103
26 Apr 2019
CAPI105
LEON80
02 Sep 2018
CAPI104
LEON95
29 Aug 2018
CAPI99
LEON76
26 Aug 2018
CAPI115
LEON117
23 Aug 2018
CAPI102
LEON90
12 Jul 2018
CAPI92
LEON86
10 May 2018
CAPI86
LEON91
11 Jul 2017
CAPI104
LEON100
08 Jul 2017
CAPI105
LEON103
05 Jul 2017
CAPI92
LEON78
18 May 2017
CAPI92
LEON81
26 Apr 2017
CAPI77
LEON86
15 May 2016
CAPI103
LEON97
12 May 2016
CAPI98
LEON84
07 May 2016
CAPI88
LEON72
29 Mar 2016
CAPI96
LEON90
21 Jul 2015
CAPI81
LEON91
17 Jul 2015
CAPI76
LEON63
12 Jul 2015
CAPI80
LEON79
23 May 2015
CAPI90
LEON83
16 Mar 2015
CAPI86
LEON61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 88
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 88
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
79avg 88
H27/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
99-77
99
77
+22
105avg 88
A29/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 88
H01/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
94avg 88
A03/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
95-104
95
104
-9
82avg 88
H06/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 88
A08/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
107-98
107
98
+9
100avg 88
H10/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
94avg 88
A12/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
23-21
23-20
17-25
26-20
26-25
27-31
23-21
32-24
16-19
15-24
24-10
16-19
25-15
30-21
28-22
31-26
22-22
19-17
18-16
22-23
20-16
33-29
19-18
21-20
25-24
20-28
29-32
17-19
22-13
20-22
17-24
23-29
21-26
33-29
30-14
20-27
16-18
26-26
27-18
181.6Avg total
94.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.386.3179.6+6.980%
Season at home (7)95.088.1183.1+6.986%
Season away (8)91.884.8176.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)94.087.6181.6+6.480%
Last 5 (5)95.293.6188.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)90.589.4179.9+1.250%
vs Weaker (6)99.088.3187.3+10.783%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
78avg 69
H19/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 69
H21/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 69
A24/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 69
A27/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 69
H28/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
76avg 69
A02/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
66-76
66
76
-10
59avg 69
H04/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
71-113
71
113
-42
56avg 69
A05/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
68avg 69
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
98avg 69
A11/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
22-10
22-25
27-19
18-23
28-20
18-15
18-22
26-18
12-21
26-15
20-25
24-32
19-16
24-15
10-24
17-18
19-25
18-15
21-16
19-30
20-17
28-23
18-33
16-15
21-19
13-25
16-17
19-36
21-28
15-21
16-28
16-28
13-19
20-19
25-28
16-31
32-27
28-29
28-13
167.7Avg total
80.4Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.788.0165.7-10.338%
Season at home (5)76.275.6151.8+0.660%
Season away (8)78.695.8174.4-17.125%
Last 10 (10)80.487.3167.7-6.950%
Last 5 (5)80.097.2177.2-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.887.0174.8+0.860%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.187.0167.1-7.041%
vs Weaker (3)111.790.3202.0+21.3100%
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A29/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H01/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A03/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H10/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/05
BSN
86.3Avg total
44.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.086.6+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.142.388.4+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.784.9+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.686.3+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)43.542.385.8+1.258%-
vs Weaker (6)49.240.789.8+8.583%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H19/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/04
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H28/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A02/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
40-64
40
64
-24
A05/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/05
BSN
83.9Avg total
39.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.484.2-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.239.779.9+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)41.246.387.5-5.124%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.683.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.088.6-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.446.687.0-6.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.943.081.9-4.232%-
vs Weaker (3)55.341.096.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.613.3
40.8%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.3
75.5%
74.6%12.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.3
51.1%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.4
32.7%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
74.6%16.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWLLWWWWWW
Leones De Ponce
WLLLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+8.6
Net rating
-9.6
117.8
Offensive rating
104.3
109.2
Defensive rating
113.9
60.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.8%
3-point %
32.7%
62.2%
Assist %
53.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 104.3Defence109.2 · 113.9Shooting60.1% · 50.4%3-point %40.8% · 32.7%Ball care16.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Capitanes de Arecibo   ■ Leones De Ponce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ACriollos de Caguas104-102 OT
10/05/24HIndios de Mayaguez107-98
08/05/24AIndios de Mayaguez76-78
06/05/24HPiratas de Quebradillas95-104
03/05/24AVaqueros de Bayamon94-86
01/05/24HAguada Santeros90-81
29/04/24ASan German99-77
27/04/24HLeones De Ponce87-77
25/04/24HVaqueros de Bayamon102-97
23/04/24APiratas de Quebradillas86-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24AGigantes de Carolina104-100
08/05/24APiratas de Quebradillas74-94
05/05/24ACriollos de Caguas71-113
04/05/24HIndios de Mayaguez66-76
02/05/24AMets de Guaynabo85-103
28/04/24HAguada Santeros75-74
27/04/24ACapitanes de Arecibo77-87
24/04/24ACangrejeros84-79
21/04/24HSan German82-80
19/04/24HOsos de Manati86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game93.395.091.8
Allowed / game86.388.184.8
Point differential+6.9+6.9+7.0
Avg total179.6183.1176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Leones De Ponce
BSN 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game77.776.278.6
Allowed / game88.075.695.8
Point differential-10.3+0.6-17.1
Avg total165.7151.8174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capitanes de Arecibo1512380%93.386.3+6.9
2 Criollos de Caguas1410471%93.687.0+6.6
3 Mets de Guaynabo1510567%88.087.3+0.7
4 Indios de Mayaguez1610662%86.685.2+1.4
5 Cangrejeros126650%89.790.9-1.2
6 Osos de Manati168850%91.293.8-2.6
7 Piratas de Quebradillas1881044%84.985.1-0.2
8 Gigantes de Carolina167944%96.193.8+2.4
9 Leones De Ponce135838%77.788.0-10.3
10 San German1761135%86.688.2-1.6
11 Vaqueros de Bayamon1761135%85.287.4-2.2
12 Aguada Santeros1961332%81.682.1-0.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitanes de Arecibo26272721101
Leones De Ponce2322252797
← all games of the day
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