Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Jul 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 92-86

24-22 23-30 20-20 25-14

Position#2

Record15-11

FormWLWWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game84.0

Capitanes de Arecibo 🏆

Leones De Ponce

Position#4

Record12-15

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game86.7

BSN

Other2018

Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leones De Ponce winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Piratas de Quebradillas

92-100

100

-8

H09/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

87-93

-6

A12/06

BSN

Leones De Ponce

85-81

A17/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

94-70

+24

H20/06

BSN

San German

79-85

-6

A21/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

93-88

H04/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

71-76

-5

A06/07

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

91-87

H08/07

BSN

San German

85-73

+12

H10/07

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

87-86

A11/07

BSN

23-24

17-21

24-30

28-25

26-20

21-21

19-28

21-24

24-26

16-18

28-17

17-20

25-13

16-15

24-19

29-23

11-23

21-17

24-17

23-28

24-24

17-17

24-24

28-23

14-22

25-23

17-14

15-17

21-14

21-23

26-24

23-26

20-19

17-23

19-13

29-18

18-16

31-25

20-24

18-21

170.3Avg total

86.4Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	86.6	84.0	170.6	+2.6	58%
Season at home (13)	94.5	84.8	179.4	+9.7	85%
Season away (13)	78.7	83.2	161.8	-4.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	83.9	170.3	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	82.0	167.4	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.3	94.7	175.0	-14.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	84.3	87.1	171.4	-2.8	36%
vs Weaker (16)	88.4	82.8	171.2	+5.7	69%

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones De Ponce Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Piratas de Quebradillas

83-89

-6

A10/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

90-96

-6

A15/06

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

81-85

-4

H17/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

99-112

112

-13

A20/06

BSN

Cariduros Fajardo

90-95

-5

A22/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

104-93

104

+11

H04/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

76-71

H06/07

BSN

Aguada Santeros

103-82

103

+21

H08/07

BSN

San German

85-90

-5

A08/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

87-83

H11/07

BSN

27-21

16-23

15-21

25-24

15-25

21-25

29-19

25-27

26-24

18-16

17-28

20-17

25-27

23-29

24-28

27-28

14-29

21-24

33-14

22-28

23-31

28-17

30-26

23-19

22-14

23-25

14-17

17-15

29-15

23-19

23-17

28-31

25-18

23-18

19-27

18-27

19-14

20-26

18-15

30-28

179.4Avg total

89.8Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	86.7	86.7	173.5	+0.0	44%
Season at home (13)	85.6	81.5	167.1	+4.2	62%
Season away (14)	87.8	91.6	179.4	-3.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	89.6	179.4	+0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	83.8	174.8	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	90.0	166.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (28)	86.0	86.5	172.5	-0.5	43%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	69.0	155.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	28.7	44.3	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	18%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.8	42.9	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.8	44.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	32%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	10.0	31.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.4	19.6	40.9	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-

Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Piratas de Quebradillas

40-45

-5

H09/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

47-41

A12/06

BSN

Leones De Ponce

40-44

-4

A17/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

41-28

+13

H20/06

BSN

San German

32-40

-8

A21/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

41-41

H04/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

39-45

-6

A06/07

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

42-37

H08/07

BSN

San German

37-42

-5

H10/07

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

49-41

A11/07

BSN

81.2Avg total

40.8Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.9	84.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	40.9	78.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	51.7	89.3	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.4	42.5	80.8	-4.1	18%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.9	38.8	80.7	+3.1	62%	-

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Piratas de Quebradillas

43-44

-1

A10/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

36-50

-14

A15/06

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

44-40

H17/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

48-56

-8

A20/06

BSN

Cariduros Fajardo

35-53

-18

A22/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

51-48

H04/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

45-39

H06/07

BSN

Aguada Santeros

52-34

+18

H08/07

BSN

San German

48-36

+12

A08/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

39-40

-1

H11/07

BSN

88.1Avg total

44.1Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	41.0	82.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	40.0	81.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	44.0	88.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.4	86.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	41.2	41.6	82.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	26.0	65.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.8	43.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	21.1	45.5	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.8	19.7	41.4	+2.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.6	43.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.2	46.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	30.0	52.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.9	46.1	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	23.5	48.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.5	45.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.1	22.2	45.3	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.8	23.6	47.4	+0.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	24.1	46.6	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	24.4	47.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	23.0	35.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	43.8	89.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.9	44.6	94.5	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.9	83.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	43.5	89.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.7	43.0	85.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	45.9	44.6	90.5	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.5	43.3	88.8	+2.2	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	41.4	84.4	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.3	47.3	92.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	45.6	91.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	44.4	88.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	53.0	87.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (28)	44.5	44.3	88.8	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	43.0	90.0	+4.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Capitanes de Arecibo wins

Leones De Ponce wins

Date	Game	Score
06/07/18	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	76-71
17/06/18	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	81-85
18/05/18	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	78-81
11/05/18	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	86-91
12/07/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	104-100 OT
11/07/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	103-104 OT
09/07/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	105-103 OT
07/07/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	103-97 OT
06/07/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	92-78
04/07/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	70-68

Capitanes de Arecibolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/07/18	A	Caciques de Humacao	87-86
10/07/18	H	San German	85-73
08/07/18	H	Caciques de Humacao	91-87
06/07/18	A	Leones De Ponce	71-76
04/07/18	H	Aguada Santeros	93-88
21/06/18	A	San German	79-85
20/06/18	H	Aguada Santeros	94-70
17/06/18	A	Leones De Ponce	85-81
12/06/18	A	Aguada Santeros	87-93
09/06/18	H	Piratas de Quebradillas	92-100

Leones De Poncelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/07/18	H	Vaqueros de Bayamon	87-83
08/07/18	A	San German	85-90
08/07/18	H	Aguada Santeros	103-82
06/07/18	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	76-71
04/07/18	H	Caciques de Humacao	104-93
22/06/18	A	Cariduros Fajardo	90-95
20/06/18	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	99-112
17/06/18	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	81-85
15/06/18	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	90-96
10/06/18	A	Piratas de Quebradillas	83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo

BSN 2018

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	58%
Home	LWWWW	85%
Away	LWLLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	85%	31%
Points / game	86.6	94.5	78.7
Allowed / game	84.0	84.8	83.2
Point differential	+2.6	+9.7	-4.5
Avg total	170.6	179.4	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	54%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	75% (4)	57% (7)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Leones De Ponce

BSN 2018

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	44%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	LLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	44%	62%	29%
Points / game	86.7	85.6	87.8
Allowed / game	86.7	81.5	91.6
Point differential	+0.0	+4.2	-3.9
Avg total	173.5	167.1	179.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	23%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (15)	50% (8)	57% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vaqueros de Bayamon	28	19	9	68%	94.3	88.4	+5.9
2	Piratas de Quebradillas	27	17	10	63%	85.4	85.3	+0.1
3	Capitanes de Arecibo	26	15	11	58%	86.6	84.0	+2.6
4	Cariduros Fajardo	27	13	14	48%	84.3	87.6	-3.4
5	Aguada Santeros	28	13	15	46%	86.6	86.2	+0.4
6	Leones De Ponce	27	12	15	44%	86.7	86.7	+0.0
7	San German	27	11	16	41%	84.4	85.6	-1.3
8	Caciques de Humacao	26	8	18	31%	85.7	90.4	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Capitanes de Arecibo	24	23	20	25	92
Leones De Ponce	22	30	20	14	86

← all games of the day

Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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