Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 105-103 (OT)

20-17 13-19 27-30 30-24 15-13

Position#4

Record20-19

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game83.7

Capitanes de Arecibo 🏆

Leones De Ponce

Position#5

Record21-18

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game84.0

BSNBSN - Quarter-finals

Other2017

Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leones De Ponce winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cariduros Fajardo

71-83

-12

A18/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

#10

81-80

A21/06

BSN

San German

88-82

H23/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

81-95

-14

A25/06

BSN

Cariduros Fajardo

103-68

103

+35

H27/06

BSN

Brujos de Guayama

86-85

H29/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

#10

92-83

A01/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

68-70

-2

A04/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

92-78

+14

H06/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

97-103 OT

103

-6

A07/07

BSN

13-21

21-24

12-22

25-16

19-16

27-17

14-21

21-26

28-25

24-18

19-13

17-26

22-27

21-22

15-21

23-25

32-14

22-15

29-15

20-24

17-20

30-24

16-16

23-25

24-20

22-23

26-23

20-17

22-12

12-18

18-13

16-27

20-16

25-14

27-22

20-26

24-27

22-18

28-22

19-26

168.6Avg total

85.9Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	83.7	83.7	167.3	+0.0	51%
Season at home (19)	86.5	79.5	166.0	+6.9	79%
Season away (20)	81.0	87.6	168.6	-6.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	82.7	168.6	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	83.8	170.8	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	81.9	82.4	164.3	-0.5	43%
vs Weaker (7)	89.4	83.6	173.0	+5.9	86%

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones De Ponce Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada Santeros

85-91

-6

H16/06

BSN

San German

91-94

-3

A17/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

85-73

+12

A18/06

BSN

Brujos de Guayama

105-88

105

+17

H21/06

BSN

Piratas de Quebradillas

68-82

-14

A24/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

76-105

105

-29

A25/06

BSN

Indios de Mayaguez

86-77

H28/06

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

70-68

H04/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

78-92

-14

A06/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

103-97 OT

103

H07/07

BSN

22-25

14-24

26-26

23-16

23-23

18-25

28-28

22-18

10-18

29-8

26-16

20-31

23-18

26-24

29-19

27-27

18-26

20-14

15-28

15-14

20-19

17-27

18-29

21-30

20-20

28-22

13-23

25-12

12-22

18-12

13-18

27-16

16-20

14-25

22-27

26-20

27-24

18-22

22-28

26-19

171.4Avg total

84.7Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	83.9	84.0	167.9	-0.2	54%
Season at home (20)	87.8	82.9	170.7	+4.8	70%
Season away (19)	79.8	85.2	165.0	-5.4	37%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	86.7	171.4	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	87.8	170.4	-5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	92.3	170.0	-14.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	84.4	83.2	167.6	+1.2	56%
vs Weaker (2)	89.5	83.5	173.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.1	39.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.9	43.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.9	20.2	40.0	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.3	21.7	47.0	+3.6	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.1	43.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	61%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	24.7	39.7	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	19.2	19.0	38.1	+0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	13.0	33.0	+7.0	100%	-

Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cariduros Fajardo

34-45

-11

A18/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

#10

46-33

+13

A21/06

BSN

San German

52-43

H23/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

43-49

-6

A25/06

BSN

Cariduros Fajardo

54-29

+25

H27/06

BSN

Brujos de Guayama

47-44

H29/06

BSN

Caciques de Humacao

#10

46-43

A01/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

34-30

A04/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

45-30

+15

H06/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

46-45

A07/07

BSN

83.8Avg total

44.7Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	37.1	80.4	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	39.9	79.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.1	83.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	38.4	82.0	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.0	40.4	84.4	+3.6	71%	-

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada Santeros

36-49

-13

H16/06

BSN

San German

41-48

-7

A17/06

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

39-26

+13

A18/06

BSN

Brujos de Guayama

49-42

H21/06

BSN

Piratas de Quebradillas

38-40

-2

A24/06

BSN

Aguada Santeros

37-46

-9

A25/06

BSN

Indios de Mayaguez

48-42

H28/06

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

30-34

-4

H04/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

30-45

-15

A06/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

45-46

-1

H07/07

BSN

81.1Avg total

39.3Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.3	81.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	40.8	83.8	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	39.8	78.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	42.6	80.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	44.0	79.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	41.4	39.8	81.3	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	100%	-

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	19.3	43.1	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.7	22.1	46.9	+2.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.2	45.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	25.0	42.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	27.7	49.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.4	42.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.5	40.3	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.3	45.1	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.3	22.8	43.0	-2.5	26%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.4	44.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	23.5	50.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	43.5	85.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	40.8	83.5	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	46.3	87.6	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.6	83.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.4	86.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	41.0	43.7	84.6	-2.7	26%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.4	43.1	88.6	+2.3	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	41.5	85.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.0	45.7	87.7	-3.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	44.5	88.9	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	44.4	87.0	-1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	48.3	90.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	42.6	43.2	85.8	-0.6	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.5	43.5	92.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Capitanes de Arecibo wins

Leones De Ponce wins

Date	Game	Score
07/07/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	103-97 OT
06/07/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	92-78
04/07/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	70-68
25/05/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	90-70
19/05/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	92-81
27/04/17	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	77-86
16/04/17	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	88-86
18/05/16	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	114-115 OT
15/05/16	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	103-97
15/05/16	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	86-96

Capitanes de Arecibolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/17	A	Leones De Ponce	97-103 OT
06/07/17	H	Leones De Ponce	92-78
04/07/17	A	Leones De Ponce	68-70
01/07/17	A	Caciques de Humacao	92-83
29/06/17	H	Brujos de Guayama	86-85
27/06/17	H	Cariduros Fajardo	103-68
25/06/17	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	81-95
23/06/17	H	San German	88-82
21/06/17	A	Caciques de Humacao	81-80
18/06/17	A	Cariduros Fajardo	71-83

Leones De Poncelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/17	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	103-97 OT
06/07/17	A	Capitanes de Arecibo	78-92
04/07/17	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	70-68
28/06/17	H	Indios de Mayaguez	86-77
25/06/17	A	Aguada Santeros	76-105
24/06/17	A	Piratas de Quebradillas	68-82
21/06/17	H	Brujos de Guayama	105-88
18/06/17	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	85-73
17/06/17	A	San German	91-94
16/06/17	H	Aguada Santeros	85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo

BSN 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	51%
Home	LWWWW	79%
Away	WLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	51%	79%	25%
Points / game	83.7	86.5	81.0
Allowed / game	83.7	79.5	87.6
Point differential	+0.0	+6.9	-6.6
Avg total	167.3	166.0	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	32%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (15)	75% (8)	43% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Leones De Ponce

BSN 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	54%
Home	LWWWW	70%
Away	LWLLL	37%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	54%	70%	37%
Points / game	83.9	87.8	79.8
Allowed / game	84.0	82.9	85.2
Point differential	-0.2	+4.8	-5.4
Avg total	167.9	170.7	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	25%	26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (15)	60% (10)	20% (5)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Aguada Santeros	40	28	12	70%	83.5	78.7	+4.8
2	Cariduros Fajardo	40	25	15	62%	84.0	82.3	+1.7
3	Piratas de Quebradillas	40	22	18	55%	87.8	84.7	+3.1
4	Leones De Ponce	39	21	18	54%	83.9	84.0	-0.2
5	Capitanes de Arecibo	39	20	19	51%	83.7	83.7	+0.0
6	San German	40	19	21	48%	87.2	89.9	-2.8
7	Vaqueros de Bayamon	40	18	22	45%	81.7	80.2	+1.5
8	Indios de Mayaguez	40	17	23	42%	84.6	86.2	-1.7
9	Brujos de Guayama	36	14	22	39%	81.2	82.8	-1.5
10	Caciques de Humacao	36	11	25	31%	83.2	88.8	-5.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Capitanes de Arecibo	20	13	27	30	15	105
Leones De Ponce	17	19	30	24	13	103

← all games of the day

Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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