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Capo d'Orlando vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 62-68
11-16 20-17 15-15 16-20
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game80.5
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game66.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano
15 Oct 2017
KDO62
MIL68
18 May 2017
KDO62
MIL77
16 May 2017
KDO80
MIL94
02 Oct 2016
KDO65
MIL71
03 Apr 2016
KDO78
MIL71
19 Apr 2015
KDO71
MIL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
134avg 100
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
106avg 100
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
94avg 100
H18/05
Lega A
Saratov
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
no box
A29/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
W
92-59
92
59
+33
no box
H02/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
57-73
57
73
-16
82avg 100
H05/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
52-88
52
88
-36
71avg 100
A08/10
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A10/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
26-21
31-28
19-23
18-10
21-23
25-18
23-29
25-25
18-24
25-24
15-22
19-20
26-20
19-29
16-25
12-24
19-21
18-20
13-12
16-25
13-17
22-14
18-14
21-9
17-20
29-15
25-15
14-27
17-10
13-24
13-12
15-27
15-21
4-18
18-22
16-18
16-22
22-26
23-16
156.3Avg total
75.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)54.580.5135.0-26.00%
Season at home (1)57.073.0130.0-16.00%
Season away (1)52.088.0140.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)75.780.6156.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)69.474.4143.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.580.7153.2-8.223%
vs Similar (16)75.775.4151.1+0.256%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
93avg 111
H25/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
98avg 111
H27/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
87-66
87
66
+21
116avg 111
A29/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
90avg 111
A31/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
H02/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#10
W
76-60
76
60
+16
102avg 111
A01/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
93avg 111
H08/10
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
109avg 111
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
24-28
13-20
12-18
16-16
16-21
23-16
16-25
21-11
21-21
23-19
22-15
15-18
18-24
17-24
14-22
20-24
23-22
15-33
24-23
20-13
19-14
20-17
15-21
26-17
14-22
18-16
24-22
14-18
22-15
18-13
22-14
20-15
19-19
17-18
18-21
30-16
18-22
16-27
20-28
153.8Avg total
76.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.066.5141.5+8.5100%
Season at home (1)74.073.0147.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)76.060.0136.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.077.8153.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)78.073.6151.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.082.6158.6-6.620%
vs Similar (11)75.883.3159.1-7.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.576.8160.4+6.777%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
Capo d'OrlandoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H18/05
Lega A
Saratov
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/09
Champions League
Saratov
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H02/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A08/10
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/10
Champions League
76.6Avg total
36.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.274.8-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.473.3+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.439.876.2-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.076.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.271.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.440.176.5-3.738%-
vs Similar (16)37.136.973.9+0.231%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H27/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A29/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H02/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A01/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/10
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/10
Euroleague
75.9Avg total
39.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.140.080.1+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.476.6-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.675.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.274.6+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
vs Similar (11)38.640.579.2-1.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.238.279.4+3.169%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.5
49.5%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.49.5
76.6%
73.0%9.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.7
56.2%
51.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.8
72.3%
73.0%12.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LLLWLLLLWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLLWLL
#16
League position
#1
-14.2
Net rating
-0.9
96.9
Offensive rating
101.8
111.1
Defensive rating
102.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
21.1%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.8%
3-point %
32.2%
60.9%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 101.8Defence111.1 · 102.8Shooting50.5% · 53.2%3-point %34.8% · 32.2%Ball care21.1% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
18/05/17Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano62-77
16/05/17Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano80-94
14/05/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando95-83
12/05/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando80-87
22/01/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando90-74
02/10/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano65-71
03/04/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano78-71
13/12/15Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando84-57
19/04/15Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano71-57
26/12/14Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando98-69
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/17AGaziantep77-82
08/10/17AVirtus Bologna52-88
05/10/17HPistoia57-73
02/10/17HSaratov92-59
29/09/17ASaratov69-70
18/05/17HOlimpia Milano62-77
16/05/17HOlimpia Milano80-94
14/05/17AOlimpia Milano83-95
12/05/17AOlimpia Milano87-80
07/05/17HPesaro98-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/17ACSKA Moscow84-93
08/10/17HVarese74-73
01/10/17ACremona76-60
24/09/17HVenezia82-77
23/09/17HTrento74-65
02/06/17HTrento82-102
31/05/17ATrento64-88
29/05/17ATrento87-66
27/05/17HTrento71-78
25/05/17HTrento66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game54.557.052.0
Allowed / game80.573.088.0
Point differential-26.0-16.0-36.0
Avg total135.0130.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.074.076.0
Allowed / game66.573.060.0
Point differential+8.5+1.0+16.0
Avg total141.5147.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia330100%78.367.0+11.3
2 Pistoia220100%78.067.0+11.0
3 Olimpia Milano220100%75.066.5+8.5
4 Venezia330100%78.771.3+7.3
5 Virtus Bologna32167%81.068.3+12.7
6 Sassari32167%87.781.3+6.3
7 Torino32167%77.377.0+0.3
8 Avellino32167%71.073.7-2.7
9 Cantu21150%88.587.0+1.5
10 Pesaro31233%82.383.0-0.7
11 Trento31233%70.773.0-2.3
12 Brindisi3030%72.777.3-4.7
13 Reggiana3030%74.781.7-7.0
14 Varese2020%67.577.0-9.5
15 Cremona2020%70.086.5-16.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2020%54.580.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1120151662
Olimpia Milano1617152068
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