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Olimpia Milano vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 90-74
27-19 18-20 23-12 22-23
Position#2
Record13-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#8
Record8-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.8
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando
04 Feb 2018
MIL91
KDO54
14 May 2017
MIL95
KDO83
12 May 2017
MIL80
KDO87
22 Jan 2017
MIL90
KDO74
13 Dec 2015
MIL84
KDO57
26 Dec 2014
MIL98
KDO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
29-27
20-22
28-16
21-16
8-24
13-24
30-22
19-32
16-17
16-23
24-17
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
23-21
26-18
22-21
21-27
167.8Avg total
81.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.079.7168.7+9.387%
Season at home (7)91.978.4170.3+13.4100%
Season away (8)86.580.8167.2+5.875%
Last 10 (10)81.186.7167.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.687.4169.0-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.787.5167.2-7.823%
vs Similar (8)85.985.5171.4+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.780.4171.1+10.289%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-24
16-20
19-16
21-18
10-10
25-20
23-28
19-25
18-22
22-11
27-33
21-19
18-15
18-13
19-24
20-17
14-27
14-17
22-19
19-22
22-10
21-22
17-10
13-17
16-24
19-13
24-11
17-30
15-17
20-24
13-23
19-11
18-26
26-12
23-33
17-16
19-14
15-17
17-23
155.3Avg total
77.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.876.8154.6+1.053%
Season at home (8)80.469.9150.2+10.588%
Season away (7)74.984.7159.6-9.914%
Last 10 (10)77.178.2155.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)74.075.0149.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.079.2147.2-11.217%
vs Similar (18)78.272.1150.2+6.172%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Olimpia MilanoCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
39.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.585.0+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.085.6+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.884.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.683.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.686.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.342.481.7-3.138%-
vs Similar (8)42.144.486.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.641.088.6+6.678%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/01
Lega A
74.1Avg total
35.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.1+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.733.971.6+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.976.7-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.274.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.237.973.2-2.750%-
vs Similar (18)38.636.274.8+2.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.7
37.4%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.4
73.7%
74.0%15.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.9
80.8%
74.0%13.9
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
Capo d'Orlando
LWLWWLWLWW
#2
League position
#8
-7.2
Net rating
+2.1
107.0
Offensive rating
102.4
114.2
Defensive rating
100.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
22.0%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
36.2%
63.8%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 102.4Defence114.2 · 100.3Shooting52.6% · 51.3%3-point %37.4% · 36.2%Ball care20.4% · 22.0%Off. rebounds34.9% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/17HGalatasaray92-87
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
27/12/16AReggiana87-91
23/12/16ABarcelona75-89
21/12/16HPanathinaikos72-86
18/12/16HBrindisi99-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17APesaro68-70
02/01/17HBrindisi86-82
27/12/16AAvellino65-94
17/12/16HSassari72-65
11/12/16HPistoia79-64
05/12/16AReggiana70-80
27/11/16HVarese76-71
20/11/16ACaserta86-91
13/11/16HCremona79-76
05/11/16ABrescia90-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game89.091.986.5
Allowed / game79.778.480.8
Point differential+9.3+13.4+5.8
Avg total168.7170.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%88%14%
Points / game77.880.474.9
Allowed / game76.869.984.7
Point differential+1.0+10.5-9.9
Avg total154.6150.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%89.079.7+9.3
2 Avellino1511473%80.774.7+5.9
3 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
4 Reggiana159660%81.081.1-0.1
5 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
6 Capo d'Orlando158753%77.876.8+1.0
7 Brescia157847%81.981.6+0.3
8 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
9 Pistoia157847%75.978.5-2.6
10 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu156940%77.982.3-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%74.977.9-3.0
15 Cremona1541127%76.780.1-3.5
16 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2718232290
Capo d'Orlando1920122374
← all games of the day
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