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Olimpia Milano vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 80-87
10-18 23-21 18-25 29-23
Position#2
Record23-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.5
Olimpia Milano
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record15-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game77.2
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando
04 Feb 2018
MIL91
KDO54
14 May 2017
MIL95
KDO83
12 May 2017
MIL80
KDO87
22 Jan 2017
MIL90
KDO74
13 Dec 2015
MIL84
KDO57
26 Dec 2014
MIL98
KDO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
106avg 113
H23/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
L
74-85
74
85
-11
106avg 113
A26/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A31/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
76-98
76
98
-22
100avg 113
H02/04
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
68-91
68
91
-23
92avg 113
H07/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
114avg 113
H09/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
A15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
99-79
99
79
+20
136avg 113
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
79-90
79
90
-11
106avg 113
A30/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
124avg 113
H07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
22-21
16-14
24-20
20-22
20-20
13-18
21-25
18-27
21-14
24-22
25-21
24-22
16-27
18-25
18-24
21-22
18-14
10-29
19-26
20-25
20-16
24-20
24-19
19-26
17-13
20-14
12-17
28-19
19-18
25-27
27-15
13-16
21-16
23-25
22-33
21-23
21-22
25-9
22-17
163.7Avg total
80.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.179.5165.6+6.777%
Season at home (15)89.778.8168.5+10.993%
Season away (15)82.680.1162.7+2.560%
Last 10 (10)80.583.2163.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)84.678.0162.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.484.6166.0-3.133%
vs Similar (8)76.283.6159.9-7.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.578.7165.2+7.883%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
97avg 101
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
112avg 101
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
97avg 101
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
72-74
72
74
-2
95avg 101
A26/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
87avg 101
H02/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-75
59
75
-16
85avg 101
A09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
91avg 101
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
90avg 101
H23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
75-87
75
87
-12
96avg 101
A30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
134avg 101
H07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-11
19-14
17-18
18-22
17-17
17-23
34-20
15-17
21-19
21-17
17-18
20-20
16-23
22-20
14-11
14-15
16-19
15-15
14-13
17-14
15-25
13-18
14-18
20-16
18-17
12-24
14-17
19-18
20-11
17-25
12-22
21-23
20-29
18-15
16-20
22-16
26-21
31-28
19-23
148.2Avg total
72.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.477.2153.5-0.850%
Season at home (15)77.771.7149.5+6.073%
Season away (15)75.082.6157.6-7.627%
Last 10 (10)72.675.6148.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)72.880.0152.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.183.1155.3-11.014%
vs Similar (22)78.275.5153.8+2.764%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Olimpia MilanoCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H23/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A31/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H02/04
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A30/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/05
Lega A
80.5Avg total
39.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.281.9-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.241.883.1-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.380.3-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.280.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.878.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.943.182.0-4.222%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.481.8-3.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.638.781.2+3.967%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/05
Lega A
74.7Avg total
37.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.775.6+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.073.4+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.177.5-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.774.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.640.177.7-2.629%-
vs Similar (22)38.237.075.3+1.245%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.2
49.4%
51.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.4
35.4%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
74.0%15.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.6
34.7%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
74.0%12.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLWLL
Capo d'Orlando
WLLLLLLWWW
#2
League position
#8
-2.5
Net rating
-4.0
106.8
Offensive rating
95.9
109.3
Defensive rating
99.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
22.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
34.7%
60.5%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 95.9Defence109.3 · 99.9Shooting50.6% · 50.5%3-point %35.4% · 34.7%Ball care20.4% · 22.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
22/01/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando90-74
02/10/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano65-71
03/04/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano78-71
13/12/15Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando84-57
19/04/15Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano71-57
26/12/14Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando98-69
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/17HCantu89-71
30/04/17APesaro79-90
23/04/17HReggiana99-79
15/04/17ABrindisi68-70
09/04/17HVenezia88-80
07/04/17HUnics Kazan68-91
02/04/17HTrento76-98
31/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas88-84
26/03/17APistoia74-85
23/03/17HBamberg76-84
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/17HPesaro98-88
30/04/17ABrindisi75-87
23/04/17HAvellino68-76
15/04/17ASassari64-74
09/04/17APistoia59-75
02/04/17HReggiana59-62
26/03/17AVarese72-74
19/03/17HCaserta74-71
12/03/17ACremona86-82
05/03/17HBrescia71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %77%93%60%
Points / game86.189.782.6
Allowed / game79.578.880.1
Point differential+6.7+10.9+2.5
Avg total165.6168.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%73%27%
Points / game76.477.775.0
Allowed / game77.271.782.6
Point differential-0.8+6.0-7.6
Avg total153.5149.5157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3023777%86.179.5+6.7
2 Venezia3021970%81.677.7+3.9
3 Avellino30191163%79.776.2+3.6
4 Trento30181260%78.473.4+5.0
5 Sassari30171357%76.773.9+2.8
6 Reggiana30171357%81.981.4+0.5
7 Pistoia30151550%76.976.6+0.3
8 Capo d'Orlando30151550%76.477.2-0.8
9 Brindisi30141647%83.282.2+1.0
10 Varese30131743%77.380.1-2.8
11 Brescia30131743%78.781.8-3.1
12 Torino30131743%81.885.0-3.2
13 Caserta30121840%77.981.0-3.1
14 Cantu30111937%77.882.5-4.7
15 Pesaro30102033%76.280.7-4.5
16 Cremona3092130%79.080.5-1.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1023182980
Capo d'Orlando1821252387
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