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Capo d'Orlando vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-94
19-20 26-20 19-29 16-25
Position#8
Record16-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game77.8
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record24-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano
15 Oct 2017
KDO62
MIL68
18 May 2017
KDO62
MIL77
16 May 2017
KDO80
MIL94
02 Oct 2016
KDO65
MIL71
03 Apr 2016
KDO78
MIL71
19 Apr 2015
KDO71
MIL57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H02/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-19
21-17
17-18
20-20
16-23
22-20
14-11
14-15
16-19
15-15
14-13
17-14
15-25
13-18
14-18
20-16
18-17
12-24
14-17
19-18
20-11
17-25
12-22
21-23
20-29
18-15
16-20
22-16
26-21
31-28
19-23
18-10
21-23
25-18
23-29
25-25
18-24
25-24
15-22
152.1Avg total
73.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.977.8154.7-0.950%
Season at home (15)77.771.7149.5+6.073%
Season away (17)76.283.2159.4-7.029%
Last 10 (10)73.978.2152.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.884.1159.9-8.425%
vs Similar (21)77.775.5153.1+2.262%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A31/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
76-98
76
98
-22
H02/04
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
68-91
68
91
-23
H07/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H09/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A30/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H07/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H12/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-14
24-22
25-21
24-22
16-27
18-25
18-24
21-22
18-14
10-29
19-26
20-25
20-16
24-20
24-19
19-26
17-13
20-14
12-17
28-19
19-18
25-27
27-15
13-16
21-16
23-25
22-33
21-23
21-22
25-9
22-17
10-18
23-21
18-25
29-23
25-25
24-18
24-25
22-15
166.3Avg total
83.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.279.8166.0+6.475%
Season at home (17)89.479.5168.9+9.988%
Season away (15)82.680.1162.7+2.560%
Last 10 (10)83.083.3166.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)88.482.0170.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.284.8164.0-5.525%
vs Similar (8)76.283.6159.9-7.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.480.0166.4+6.477%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
Capo d'OrlandoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/05
Lega A
76.7Avg total
38.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.975.7-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.734.772.4+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.378.2-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.576.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.540.679.1-2.138%-
vs Similar (21)37.837.074.7+0.843%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A31/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H02/04
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A30/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/05
Lega A
80.1Avg total
39.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.281.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.041.982.9-0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.380.3-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.280.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.643.482.0-4.825%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.481.8-3.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.239.081.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.3
76.9%
74.0%12.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.8
51.5%
51.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.8
36.8%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
74.0%13.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LWWLLLLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#2
-5.4
Net rating
+0.4
97.6
Offensive rating
110.7
103.0
Defensive rating
110.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
21.4%
Turnover %
21.1%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
38.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
36.8%
59.2%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 110.7Defence103.0 · 110.3Shooting51.8% · 52.7%3-point %36.3% · 36.8%Ball care21.4% · 21.1%Off. rebounds22.3% · 38.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
14/05/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando95-83
12/05/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando80-87
22/01/17Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando90-74
02/10/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano65-71
03/04/16Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano78-71
13/12/15Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando84-57
19/04/15Capo d'Orlando v Olimpia Milano71-57
26/12/14Olimpia Milano v Capo d'Orlando98-69
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/17AOlimpia Milano83-95
12/05/17AOlimpia Milano87-80
07/05/17HPesaro98-88
30/04/17ABrindisi75-87
23/04/17HAvellino68-76
15/04/17ASassari64-74
09/04/17APistoia59-75
02/04/17HReggiana59-62
26/03/17AVarese72-74
19/03/17HCaserta74-71
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/17HCapo d'Orlando95-83
12/05/17HCapo d'Orlando80-87
07/05/17HCantu89-71
30/04/17APesaro79-90
23/04/17HReggiana99-79
15/04/17ABrindisi68-70
09/04/17HVenezia88-80
07/04/17HUnics Kazan68-91
02/04/17HTrento76-98
31/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %50%73%29%
Points / game76.977.776.2
Allowed / game77.871.783.2
Point differential-0.9+6.0-7.0
Avg total154.7149.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %75%88%60%
Points / game86.289.482.6
Allowed / game79.879.580.1
Point differential+6.4+9.9+2.5
Avg total166.0168.9162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3224875%86.279.8+6.4
2 Venezia3223972%81.377.2+4.2
3 Avellino32211166%79.775.5+4.2
4 Trento32201262%77.872.6+5.2
5 Sassari32171553%75.873.7+2.1
6 Reggiana32171553%80.981.2-0.3
7 Capo d'Orlando32161650%76.977.8-0.9
8 Pistoia32151747%76.476.7-0.3
9 Brindisi30141647%83.282.2+1.0
10 Varese30131743%77.380.1-2.8
11 Brescia30131743%78.781.8-3.1
12 Torino30131743%81.885.0-3.2
13 Caserta30121840%77.981.0-3.1
14 Cantu30111937%77.882.5-4.7
15 Pesaro30102033%76.280.7-4.5
16 Cremona3092130%79.080.5-1.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1926191680
Olimpia Milano2020292594
← all games of the day
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