Venezia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 74-68

14-18 25-16 17-18 18-16

Position#5

Record13-14

FormLWWLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game74.9

Venezia 🏆

Pistoia

Position#7

Record14-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game78.5

Lega ARound 28

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Venezia v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Venezia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zielona Gora

#19

58-68

-10

H10/02

Eurocup

Sassari

70-74 OT

-4

H13/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-88

-29

A19/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

#10

97-75

+22

H28/02

Lega A

Reggiana

96-98 OT

-2

A07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

81-85

-4

H13/03

Lega A

Caserta

#13

80-73

A21/03

Lega A

Cantu

#11

76-72

A26/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

96-100 OT

100

-4

H03/04

Lega A

Varese

68-79

-11

A10/04

Lega A

18-22

15-12

15-20

10-14

19-14

9-18

18-10

12-16

10-18

21-20

13-28

15-22

22-20

17-17

30-23

28-15

18-20

27-26

17-16

22-22

22-20

18-22

16-16

25-27

23-12

22-23

16-27

19-11

19-22

24-21

19-21

14-8

14-24

31-15

22-22

20-26

16-21

15-15

18-19

19-24

159.3Avg total

78.1Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.5	74.9	152.4	+2.6	48%
Season at home (13)	80.6	73.5	154.1	+7.2	69%
Season away (14)	74.6	76.3	150.9	-1.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	81.2	159.3	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	81.8	162.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	74.6	78.9	153.4	-4.3	14%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	79.4	78.4	157.8	+1.0	38%
vs Weaker (9)	74.1	70.1	144.2	+4.0	56%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

76-84

-8

A07/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-85

-5

H14/02

Lega A

Trento

74-81

-7

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

#11

74-82

-8

A29/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

94-88

A06/03

Lega A

Cremona

72-79

-7

H13/03

Lega A

Reggiana

71-94

-23

A20/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

70-80

-10

H26/03

Lega A

Varese

78-91

-13

A03/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

88-76

+12

H10/04

Lega A

19-22

14-21

23-22

20-19

21-27

13-23

29-13

17-22

15-17

24-20

10-26

25-18

23-17

19-24

17-18

15-23

21-22

19-21

21-16

33-29

15-22

14-17

25-26

18-14

16-28

18-20

14-18

23-28

20-20

23-12

13-27

14-21

19-20

16-25

18-26

25-20

21-26

25-14

26-17

16-19

161.7Avg total

77.7Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.8	78.5	156.3	-0.7	52%
Season at home (14)	79.8	76.6	156.4	+3.1	64%
Season away (13)	75.7	80.5	156.2	-4.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	84.0	161.7	-6.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	84.0	159.8	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.4	82.9	158.3	-7.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	79.0	78.2	157.2	+0.7	59%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VeneziaPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	15.7	34.4	+3.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.6	40.4	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.1	40.1	-4.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.3	24.1	44.4	-3.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.8	20.5	39.4	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	13.6	32.8	+5.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	20.1	38.3	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zielona Gora

#19

33-34

-1

H10/02

Eurocup

Sassari

28-32

-4

H13/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-38

-7

A19/02

Italian Cup

Brindisi

#10

39-37

H28/02

Lega A

Reggiana

45-46

-1

A07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-42

-2

H13/03

Lega A

Caserta

#13

45-35

+10

A21/03

Lega A

Cantu

#11

43-43

A26/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

45-39

H03/04

Lega A

Varese

31-36

-5

A10/04

Lega A

76.2Avg total

38.0Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.6	74.8	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	34.5	72.1	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	38.5	77.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.0	38.3	75.3	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.0	29.2	67.2	+8.8	89%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

33-43

-10

A07/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-50

-16

H14/02

Lega A

Trento

39-37

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

#11

42-41

A29/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

40-43

-3

A06/03

Lega A

Cremona

29-39

-10

H13/03

Lega A

Reggiana

34-48

-14

A20/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

43-32

+11

H26/03

Lega A

Varese

35-45

-10

A03/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

46-40

H10/04

Lega A

79.3Avg total

37.5Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.8	79.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.8	79.3	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	44.3	82.7	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.2	41%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.6	37.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.2	18.6	37.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	22.4	41.9	-3.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	16.7	34.8	+1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	36.6	74.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	38.9	73.7	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	38.7	75.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	40.6	78.1	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.2	34.3	71.5	+2.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	35.1	39.4	74.6	-4.3	11%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.3	77.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	37.1	76.6	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	39.6	77.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.2	81.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	39.4	37.9	77.3	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Venezia wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/15	Pistoia v Venezia	70-68
14/03/15	Pistoia v Venezia	82-90
23/11/14	Venezia v Pistoia	66-63
06/04/14	Venezia v Pistoia	70-74
22/12/13	Pistoia v Venezia	81-62

Venezialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/16	A	Varese	68-79
03/04/16	H	Pesaro	96-100 OT
26/03/16	A	Cantu	76-72
21/03/16	A	Caserta	80-73
13/03/16	H	Olimpia Milano	81-85
07/03/16	A	Reggiana	96-98 OT
28/02/16	H	Brindisi	97-75
19/02/16	A	Olimpia Milano	59-88
13/02/16	H	Sassari	70-74 OT
10/02/16	H	Zielona Gora	58-68

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/16	H	Virtus Bologna	88-76
03/04/16	A	Varese	78-91
26/03/16	H	Torino	70-80
20/03/16	A	Reggiana	71-94
13/03/16	H	Cremona	72-79
06/03/16	A	Caserta	94-88
29/02/16	A	Cantu	74-82
19/02/16	H	Trento	74-81
14/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	80-85
07/02/16	A	Avellino	76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	48%
Home	WLWLL	69%
Away	LLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	48%	69%	29%
Points / game	77.5	80.6	74.6
Allowed / game	74.9	73.5	76.3
Point differential	+2.6	+7.2	-1.6
Avg total	152.4	154.1	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	38%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	31% (13)	50% (6)	14% (7)
Overtime %	19%	23%	14%

Pistoia

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	52%
Home	LLLLW	64%
Away	LLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	52%	64%	38%
Points / game	77.8	79.8	75.7
Allowed / game	78.5	76.6	80.5
Point differential	-0.7	+3.1	-4.8
Avg total	156.3	156.4	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	50% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	28	21	7	75%	81.8	73.0	+8.8
2	Reggiana	28	20	8	71%	81.2	75.3	+5.9
3	Avellino	28	19	9	68%	79.5	76.9	+2.7
4	Cremona	28	18	10	64%	75.2	74.0	+1.2
5	Sassari	28	15	13	54%	84.2	81.5	+2.7
6	Trento	28	15	13	54%	77.1	76.2	+0.9
7	Pistoia	27	14	13	52%	77.8	78.5	-0.7
8	Venezia	27	13	14	48%	77.5	74.9	+2.6
9	Varese	28	13	15	46%	74.9	78.1	-3.2
10	Brindisi	28	12	16	43%	78.1	79.3	-1.2
11	Cantu	28	11	17	39%	80.1	79.6	+0.5
12	Pesaro	28	11	17	39%	75.7	77.9	-2.2
13	Capo d'Orlando	28	11	17	39%	69.0	73.4	-4.4
14	Caserta	28	10	18	36%	73.0	76.6	-3.6
15	Virtus Bologna	28	10	18	36%	74.6	79.4	-4.9
16	Torino	28	10	18	36%	75.9	80.8	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Venezia	14	25	17	18	74
Pistoia	18	16	18	16	68

← all games of the day

Venezia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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