Pistoia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2016

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 90-92 (OT)

27-21 18-22 16-20 21-19 8-10

Position#7

Record16-16

FormLWWLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game78.0

Pistoia

Avellino 🏆

Position#3

Record22-10

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game76.7

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Pistoia v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

72-79

-7

H13/03

Lega A

Reggiana

71-94

-23

A20/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

70-80

-10

H26/03

Lega A

Varese

78-91

-13

A03/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

88-76

+12

H10/04

Lega A

Venezia

68-74

-6

A18/04

Lega A

Sassari

77-68

H24/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

65-58

A04/05

Lega A

Avellino

76-93

-17

A07/05

Lega A

Avellino

70-83

-13

A09/05

Lega A

15-22

14-17

25-26

18-14

16-28

18-20

14-18

23-28

20-20

23-12

13-27

14-21

19-20

16-25

18-26

25-20

21-26

25-14

26-17

16-19

18-14

16-25

18-17

16-18

14-23

15-18

30-11

18-16

16-13

14-18

12-11

23-16

15-28

26-27

15-22

20-16

17-23

16-24

18-19

19-17

153.1Avg total

73.5Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	76.8	78.0	154.8	-1.2	50%
Season at home (15)	79.6	76.1	155.7	+3.5	67%
Season away (17)	74.3	79.7	154.0	-5.4	35%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	79.6	153.1	-6.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	75.2	146.4	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.6	84.8	159.4	-10.1	12%
vs Similar (21)	77.5	76.8	154.3	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#10

89-82

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

82-74

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

89-71

+18

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

74-78

-4

A03/04

Lega A

Cremona

84-70

+14

H10/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

92-87

A17/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

85-69

+16

H24/04

Lega A

Venezia

77-86 OT

-9

A04/05

Lega A

Pistoia

93-76

+17

H07/05

Lega A

Pistoia

83-70

+13

H09/05

Lega A

23-16

20-26

21-20

25-20

23-19

22-16

16-15

21-24

29-19

25-15

19-17

16-20

20-19

18-20

11-20

25-19

22-18

25-17

18-13

19-22

26-20

25-17

7-24

34-26

23-24

21-14

20-13

21-18

17-12

17-13

17-25

22-23

28-15

27-26

22-15

16-20

23-17

24-16

19-18

17-19

161.1Avg total

84.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	80.2	76.7	156.8	+3.5	69%
Season at home (17)	81.1	74.6	155.7	+6.5	82%
Season away (15)	79.1	79.0	158.1	+0.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	76.3	161.1	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	77.6	163.6	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (12)	80.0	77.1	157.1	+2.9	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.6	75.8	158.4	+6.9	81%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PistoiaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.3	39.3	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.7	38.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	24.5	43.6	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.0	19.9	38.8	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	21.0	32.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	19.2	39.9	+1.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	21.8	40.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.4	40.9	+4.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.8	62%	-

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

29-39

-10

H13/03

Lega A

Reggiana

34-48

-14

A20/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

43-32

+11

H26/03

Lega A

Varese

35-45

-10

A03/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

46-40

H10/04

Lega A

Venezia

34-39

-5

A18/04

Lega A

Sassari

29-41

-12

H24/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

30-31

-1

A04/05

Lega A

Avellino

41-55

-14

A07/05

Lega A

Avellino

33-47

-14

A09/05

Lega A

77.1Avg total

35.4Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	41.1	79.0	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	42.2	78.9	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	41.7	77.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	42.6	76.0	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	46.2	83.9	-8.6	12%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.0	39.3	77.2	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#10

43-42

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

45-35

+10

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

54-34

+20

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

38-39

-1

A03/04

Lega A

Cremona

47-35

+12

H10/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

51-37

+14

A17/04

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

44-38

H24/04

Lega A

Venezia

34-25

A04/05

Lega A

Pistoia

55-41

+14

H07/05

Lega A

Pistoia

47-33

+14

H09/05

Lega A

81.7Avg total

45.8Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.5	79.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	35.8	79.8	+8.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	35.9	81.7	+9.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	34.8	81.0	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.7	37.8	78.4	+2.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.0	36.9	80.9	+7.1	75%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.3	37.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.0	34.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	17.7	36.2	+0.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.7	36.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.3	19.2	38.6	+0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	20.2	40.1	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.0	74.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	39.3	76.5	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	32.6	70.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.0	38.5	75.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.5	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.7	77.5	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	38.2	77.2	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pistoia wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
09/05/16	Avellino v Pistoia	83-70
07/05/16	Avellino v Pistoia	93-76
07/02/16	Avellino v Pistoia	84-76
25/10/15	Pistoia v Avellino	76-70
13/04/15	Avellino v Pistoia	73-69
21/12/14	Pistoia v Avellino	61-68
26/01/14	Avellino v Pistoia	75-70
20/10/13	Pistoia v Avellino	75-83

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/16	A	Avellino	70-83
07/05/16	A	Avellino	76-93
04/05/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	65-58
24/04/16	H	Sassari	77-68
18/04/16	A	Venezia	68-74
10/04/16	H	Virtus Bologna	88-76
03/04/16	A	Varese	78-91
26/03/16	H	Torino	70-80
20/03/16	A	Reggiana	71-94
13/03/16	H	Cremona	72-79

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/16	H	Pistoia	83-70
07/05/16	H	Pistoia	93-76
04/05/16	A	Venezia	77-86 OT
24/04/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	85-69
17/04/16	A	Caserta	92-87
10/04/16	H	Cremona	84-70
03/04/16	A	Torino	74-78
26/03/16	H	Varese	89-71
20/03/16	H	Virtus Bologna	82-74
14/03/16	A	Brindisi	89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	LLLWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	15	17
Win %	50%	67%	35%
Points / game	76.8	79.6	74.3
Allowed / game	78.0	76.1	79.7
Point differential	-1.2	+3.5	-5.4
Avg total	154.8	155.7	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	13%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	50% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	7%	6%

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WWLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	69%	82%	53%
Points / game	80.2	81.1	79.1
Allowed / game	76.7	74.6	79.0
Point differential	+3.5	+6.5	+0.1
Avg total	156.8	155.7	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	41%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	6%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	32	24	8	75%	81.8	73.4	+8.3
2	Reggiana	32	23	9	72%	81.0	75.2	+5.8
3	Avellino	32	22	10	69%	80.2	76.7	+3.5
4	Cremona	32	20	12	62%	75.2	73.7	+1.5
5	Venezia	32	17	15	53%	77.1	74.4	+2.7
6	Sassari	32	16	16	50%	82.9	81.4	+1.4
7	Pistoia	32	16	16	50%	76.8	78.0	-1.2
8	Trento	32	15	17	47%	76.2	76.2	-0.1
9	Varese	30	14	16	47%	75.1	78.1	-3.1
10	Brindisi	30	13	17	43%	77.3	78.4	-1.0
11	Cantu	30	12	18	40%	80.7	80.2	+0.6
12	Pesaro	30	12	18	40%	76.1	78.5	-2.4
13	Caserta	30	11	19	37%	72.4	76.3	-3.9
14	Virtus Bologna	30	11	19	37%	74.6	78.7	-4.0
15	Torino	30	11	19	37%	75.4	80.0	-4.7
16	Capo d'Orlando	30	11	19	37%	68.6	73.5	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Pistoia	27	18	16	21	8	90
Avellino	21	22	20	19	10	92

← all games of the day

Pistoia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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