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Avellino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-67
22-25 13-18 14-12 34-12
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.0
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Pistoia
13 Jan 2019
AVE82
PIS78
11 Feb 2018
AVE101
PIS71
15 Oct 2016
AVE83
PIS67
09 May 2016
AVE83
PIS70
07 May 2016
AVE93
PIS76
07 Feb 2016
AVE84
PIS76
13 Apr 2015
AVE73
PIS69
26 Jan 2014
AVE75
PIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A20/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H22/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
97-54
97
54
+43
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
18-20
18-25
20-20
19-22
22-15
25-15
23-23
30-10
16-13
29-14
22-17
13-18
25-21
12-18
22-25
21-17
14-18
25-19
23-20
17-24
19-18
19-19
25-24
19-22
21-19
11-17
23-14
19-23
15-21
17-23
21-23
26-24
24-16
17-23
19-20
21-24
17-16
16-26
27-21
160.0Avg total
81.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.278.8160.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.278.0159.2+3.260%
vs Weaker (11)86.377.8164.1+8.591%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A03/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
16-25
18-26
25-20
21-26
25-14
26-17
16-19
18-14
16-25
18-17
16-18
14-23
15-18
30-11
18-16
16-13
14-18
12-11
23-16
15-28
26-27
15-22
20-16
17-23
16-24
18-19
19-17
27-21
18-22
16-20
21-19
21-26
12-25
11-20
23-16
16-24
18-18
25-17
30-22
157.1Avg total
76.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.084.0162.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)67.087.0154.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)76.880.3157.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)78.487.2165.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.187.3164.4-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (22)76.776.9153.6-0.255%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
AvellinoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/10
Lega A
78.0Avg total
39.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.979.9+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.336.179.4+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.080.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.278.0+1.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.436.976.3+2.553%-
vs Weaker (11)46.637.984.5+8.782%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H10/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/10
Lega A
79.4Avg total
36.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.579.0-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.640.378.9-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.342.779.0-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.479.4-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.684.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.947.084.9-9.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.240.077.2-2.832%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.0
52.3%
51.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.513.0
45.6%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.5
70.0%
74.0%10.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.5
57.0%
51.1%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.0
25.5%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.5
65.8%
74.0%12.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWLWLWLWWL
Pistoia
WLLLLWWLWL
#3
League position
#7
-0.7
Net rating
-2.0
111.2
Offensive rating
107.4
111.9
Defensive rating
109.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
45.6%
3-point %
25.5%
73.3%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 107.4Defence111.9 · 109.4Shooting59.8% · 50.4%3-point %45.6% · 25.5%Ball care20.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds20.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Avellino wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
11/05/16Pistoia v Avellino90-92 OT
09/05/16Avellino v Pistoia83-70
07/05/16Avellino v Pistoia93-76
07/02/16Avellino v Pistoia84-76
25/10/15Pistoia v Avellino76-70
13/04/15Avellino v Pistoia73-69
21/12/14Pistoia v Avellino61-68
26/01/14Avellino v Pistoia75-70
20/10/13Pistoia v Avellino75-83
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/16AOlimpia Milano81-87
02/10/16HTorino86-83
25/09/16HOlimpia Milano72-90
24/09/16HReggiana74-72
30/05/16AReggiana80-85
28/05/16HReggiana83-74
26/05/16AReggiana72-82
24/05/16HReggiana97-54
22/05/16HReggiana89-75
20/05/16AReggiana78-86
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/16HBrindisi89-81
03/10/16ACremona67-87
11/05/16HAvellino90-92 OT
09/05/16AAvellino70-83
07/05/16AAvellino76-93
04/05/16ACapo d'Orlando65-58
24/04/16HSassari77-68
18/04/16AVenezia68-74
10/04/16HVirtus Bologna88-76
03/04/16AVarese78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.586.081.0
Allowed / game85.083.087.0
Point differential-1.5+3.0-6.0
Avg total168.5169.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.089.067.0
Allowed / game84.081.087.0
Point differential-6.0+8.0-20.0
Avg total162.0170.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia220100%91.580.5+11.0
2 Olimpia Milano220100%79.073.0+6.0
3 Varese21150%82.576.0+6.5
4 Pesaro21150%77.573.0+4.5
5 Brescia21150%69.566.0+3.5
6 Cremona21150%82.078.5+3.5
7 Trento21150%75.573.0+2.5
8 Reggiana21150%80.579.0+1.5
9 Torino21150%83.082.5+0.5
10 Brindisi21150%75.075.0+0.0
11 Sassari21150%79.079.0+0.0
12 Avellino21150%83.585.0-1.5
13 Pistoia21150%78.084.0-6.0
14 Caserta21150%76.084.0-8.0
15 Capo d'Orlando2020%67.077.5-10.5
16 Cantu2020%74.087.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2213143483
Pistoia2518121267
← all games of the day
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