Caserta vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 78-80

16-17 27-24 10-13 25-26

Position#15

Record8-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game77.7

Caserta

Siena 🏆

Position#2

Record13-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game70.2

Lega ARound 20

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Caserta v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#13

89-82

A03/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

70-77

-7

A11/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

97-82 OT

+15

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

74-84

-10

A27/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

80-87

-7

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

74-79

-5

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

66-75

-9

H08/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

90-76

+14

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

56-74

-18

A15/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

73-71

A21/01

Lega A

15-20

17-19

21-19

36-24

22-19

12-22

22-11

14-25

15-20

18-18

17-22

23-13

16-25

21-22

16-11

21-26

21-22

17-22

20-21

22-22

20-17

19-22

12-16

23-24

15-12

13-26

19-13

19-24

30-22

16-22

26-18

18-14

13-26

4-15

21-18

18-15

18-19

20-23

17-14

155.6Avg total

76.9Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.3	77.7	155.0	-0.4	47%
Season at home (8)	81.5	77.2	158.8	+4.2	62%
Season away (9)	73.6	78.1	151.7	-4.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	78.7	155.6	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	75.0	146.8	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	78.0	81.7	159.7	-3.7	29%
vs Similar (21)	77.9	78.9	156.7	-1.0	43%
vs Weaker (2)	83.5	82.0	165.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

78-69

A30/12

Lega A

Pesaro

75-78

-3

H03/01

Lega A

Sassari

91-75

+16

A08/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

71-75

-4

A11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

96-84

+12

H15/01

Lega A

Bilbao

#14

81-67

+14

H18/01

Euroleague

Teramo

#17

79-58

+21

H22/01

Lega A

Real Madrid

88-69

+19

A25/01

Euroleague

Venezia

60-63

-3

A29/01

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

91-68

+23

A02/02

Euroleague

20-18

19-18

22-17

17-16

13-18

22-24

23-20

26-20

23-22

19-18

23-15

15-20

20-14

13-23

23-18

22-25

26-25

24-17

14-18

18-14

24-17

25-18

23-11

16-11

21-11

19-25

31-15

16-19

18-14

23-21

17-23

15-21

17-6

11-13

27-19

23-21

21-17

20-11

151.6Avg total

81.0Scored

70.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.4	70.2	148.6	+8.3	72%
Season at home (9)	80.7	71.2	151.9	+9.4	78%
Season away (9)	76.2	69.1	145.3	+7.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	70.6	151.6	+10.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	65.0	144.8	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (3)	80.0	73.0	153.0	+7.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	79.4	68.4	147.8	+10.9	80%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.4	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.7	-1.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.7	36.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.8	34.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.4	19.9	37.2	-2.5	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.6	35.4	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.3	35.4	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	15.5	30.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	18.8	16.4	35.1	+2.4	68%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#13

32-39

-7

A03/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

34-41

-7

A11/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

33-38

-5

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

37-47

-10

A27/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-44

-6

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

39-39

A03/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

28-38

-10

H08/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

46-44

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

17-41

-24

A15/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

36-34

A21/01

Lega A

74.5Avg total

34.0Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	41.0	79.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	40.3	82.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.8	41.7	75.5	-7.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	40.5	74.5	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	39.2	72.4	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.1	42.6	80.7	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.2	40.4	78.6	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	41.5	82.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

39-36

A30/12

Lega A

Pesaro

30-34

-4

H03/01

Lega A

Sassari

49-42

A08/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-34

A11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

48-50

-2

H15/01

Lega A

Bilbao

#14

32-32

H18/01

Euroleague

Teramo

#17

39-22

+17

H22/01

Lega A

Real Madrid

47-34

+13

A25/01

Euroleague

Venezia

32-44

-12

A29/01

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

50-40

+10

A02/02

Euroleague

76.9Avg total

40.1Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	34.3	73.6	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	32.7	72.3	+6.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	35.9	74.9	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.8	76.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.4	74.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	37.5	69.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.7	39.7	83.3	+4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	39.3	33.4	72.7	+5.8	72%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.9	36.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	17.6	37.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.6	16.9	36.4	+2.7	71%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	16.5	34.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	13.0	33.2	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	23.5	40.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	13.7	33.3	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.5	41.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.9	41.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	15.6	35.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.5	21.0	48.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	19.7	36.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	16.7	36.6	+3.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.5	77.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	38.4	76.5	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	38.5	78.8	+1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.3	77.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.8	74.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.9	39.1	79.0	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (21)	38.5	38.0	76.6	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.0	74.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	32.1	69.3	+5.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	33.8	74.7	+7.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	30.6	70.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.0	44.5	88.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.3	33.3	69.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	39.2	34.4	73.6	+4.8	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/11	Siena v Caserta	65-69
20/02/11	Caserta v Siena	89-84
07/11/10	Siena v Caserta	91-87
02/05/10	Caserta v Siena	57-98
10/01/10	Siena v Caserta	100-75
19/04/09	Siena v Caserta	91-75
28/12/08	Caserta v Siena	66-73

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/12	A	Treviso	73-71
15/01/12	A	Sassari	56-74
11/01/12	H	Biella	90-76
08/01/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	66-75
03/01/12	A	Venezia	74-79
30/12/11	H	Virtus Bologna	80-87
27/12/11	A	Avellino	74-84
18/12/11	H	Teramo	97-82 OT
11/12/11	A	Cremona	70-77
03/12/11	A	Virtus Roma	89-82

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/12	A	Unicaja	91-68
29/01/12	A	Venezia	60-63
25/01/12	A	Real Madrid	88-69
22/01/12	H	Teramo	79-58
18/01/12	H	Bilbao	81-67
15/01/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	96-84
11/01/12	A	Virtus Bologna	71-75
08/01/12	A	Sassari	91-75
03/01/12	H	Pesaro	75-78
30/12/11	A	Treviso	78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	47%
Home	WWLLW	62%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	77.3	81.5	73.6
Allowed / game	77.7	77.2	78.1
Point differential	-0.4	+4.2	-4.6
Avg total	155.0	158.8	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Siena

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	72%
Home	WWLWW	78%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	72%	78%	67%
Points / game	78.4	80.7	76.2
Allowed / game	70.2	71.2	69.1
Point differential	+8.3	+9.4	+7.1
Avg total	148.6	151.9	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	44%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	11%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	18	13	5	72%	78.4	70.2	+8.3
2	Virtus Bologna	18	12	6	67%	78.7	76.1	+2.7
3	Cantu	18	11	7	61%	74.4	70.3	+4.1
4	Olimpia Milano	18	11	7	61%	76.0	72.7	+3.3
5	Pesaro	18	11	7	61%	74.1	74.6	-0.5
6	Venezia	17	10	7	59%	76.4	75.1	+1.4
7	Avellino	19	11	8	58%	79.9	79.8	+0.2
8	Sassari	18	10	8	56%	77.2	78.2	-1.0
9	Varese	19	10	9	53%	75.6	75.2	+0.4
10	Biella	18	9	9	50%	75.3	74.9	+0.4
11	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
12	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	74.8	76.3	-1.4
13	Sutor Montegranaro	18	7	11	39%	75.9	77.8	-1.9
14	Virtus Roma	18	7	11	39%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
15	Teramo	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.0	-3.7
16	Cremona	18	5	13	28%	71.3	77.5	-6.2
17	Casale Monferrato	19	5	14	26%	72.1	74.9	-2.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	16	27	10	25	78
Siena	17	24	13	26	80

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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