Caserta vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 80-87

21-22 17-22 20-21 22-22

Position#15

Record6-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game78.1

Caserta

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Position#6

Record7-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game78.0

Lega ARound 13

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

69-65

A23/10

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

67-52

+15

H30/10

Lega A

Varese

82-85

-3

A06/11

Lega A

Pesaro

76-82

-6

H12/11

Lega A

Cantu

75-86

-11

A20/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

91-80

+11

H27/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

89-82

A03/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

70-77

-7

A11/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

97-82 OT

+15

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

74-84

-10

A27/12

Lega A

18-18

10-17

20-8

21-22

17-16

22-8

10-13

18-15

23-27

14-23

26-14

19-21

21-20

16-20

20-21

19-21

21-22

20-17

13-23

21-24

20-21

20-23

27-17

24-19

15-20

17-19

21-19

36-24

22-19

12-22

22-11

14-25

15-20

18-18

17-22

23-13

16-25

21-22

16-11

21-26

156.5Avg total

79.0Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.5	78.1	157.6	+1.5	55%
Season at home (5)	83.2	76.0	159.2	+7.2	80%
Season away (6)	76.5	79.8	156.3	-3.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	77.5	156.5	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	81.0	165.2	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.4	82.0	161.4	-2.6	38%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.5	78.8	157.2	-0.2	45%
vs Weaker (2)	83.5	82.0	165.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

90-96

-6

A16/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

64-79

-15

A23/10

Lega A

Cremona

#11

80-78

H30/10

Lega A

Teramo

#17

72-73

-1

A06/11

Lega A

Varese

74-63

+11

H13/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

80-74

A20/11

Lega A

Sassari

85-80

H04/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

78-83

-5

A10/12

Lega A

Venezia

88-80

H18/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

74-61

+13

H27/12

Lega A

23-33

25-20

29-23

13-20

10-12

21-25

14-29

19-13

22-17

20-16

19-32

18-19

23-27

8-14

23-13

27-12

18-18

9-19

20-14

31-16

12-21

15-20

22-17

33-20

17-14

18-24

17-22

13-16

21-25

23-23

21-19

29-26

21-19

25-17

13-18

18-13

14-16

20-15

22-17

155.2Avg total

78.5Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.8	78.0	157.8	+1.8	64%
Season at home (6)	82.3	75.5	157.8	+6.8	100%
Season away (5)	76.8	81.0	157.8	-4.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	76.7	155.2	+1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	75.6	156.6	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.2	83.1	155.4	-10.9	12%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.1	76.2	154.4	+1.9	69%
vs Weaker (5)	86.2	82.6	168.8	+3.6	60%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	22.4	40.1	-4.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.5	39.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	21.5	37.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	21.2	42.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	18.8	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.8	60%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

28-35

-7

A23/10

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

39-24

+15

H30/10

Lega A

Varese

37-50

-13

A06/11

Lega A

Pesaro

37-40

-3

H12/11

Lega A

Cantu

41-39

A20/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-44

-4

H27/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

32-39

-7

A03/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

34-41

-7

A11/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

33-38

-5

H18/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

37-47

-10

A27/12

Lega A

75.5Avg total

35.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.9	80.4	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	40.9	84.8	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	40.8	76.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.7	75.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	41.8	77.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.0	43.6	82.6	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	41.5	82.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

48-53

-5

A16/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-37

-6

A23/10

Lega A

Cremona

#11

41-30

+11

H30/10

Lega A

Teramo

#17

41-46

-5

A06/11

Lega A

Varese

45-30

+15

H13/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

43-37

A20/11

Lega A

Sassari

50-34

+16

H04/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

34-41

-7

A10/12

Lega A

Venezia

50-45

H18/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

32-29

H27/12

Lega A

79.7Avg total

41.5Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.2	78.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	37.0	78.1	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.6	79.0	-4.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.2	79.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.5	40.2	75.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.3	36.6	75.9	+2.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.8	44.2	91.0	+2.6	60%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.1	35.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.7	36.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	15.9	35.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.8	35.3	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.6	21.9	38.5	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	21.9	41.6	-2.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	20.4	41.1	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.7	77.4	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	38.9	78.3	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.9	77.7	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.4	81.6	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	40.1	78.2	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.5	75.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.4	77.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.2	40.9	76.1	-5.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.4	38.4	75.9	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
27/02/11	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	69-61
13/11/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	63-71
28/03/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	67-74
18/02/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-88
28/11/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	72-84
04/04/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	86-81
13/12/08	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-68

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/11	A	Avellino	74-84
18/12/11	H	Teramo	97-82 OT
11/12/11	A	Cremona	70-77
03/12/11	A	Virtus Roma	89-82
27/11/11	H	Olimpia Milano	91-80
20/11/11	A	Cantu	75-86
12/11/11	H	Pesaro	76-82
06/11/11	A	Varese	82-85
30/10/11	H	Casale Monferrato	67-52
23/10/11	A	Siena	69-65

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/11	H	Treviso	74-61
18/12/11	H	Venezia	88-80
10/12/11	A	Biella	78-83
04/12/11	H	Sassari	85-80
20/11/11	A	Sutor Montegranaro	80-74
13/11/11	H	Varese	74-63
06/11/11	A	Teramo	72-73
30/10/11	H	Cremona	80-78
23/10/11	A	Olimpia Milano	64-79
16/10/11	A	Avellino	90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	55%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	55%	80%	33%
Points / game	79.5	83.2	76.5
Allowed / game	78.1	76.0	79.8
Point differential	+1.5	+7.2	-3.3
Avg total	157.6	159.2	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	100%	20%
Points / game	79.8	82.3	76.8
Allowed / game	78.0	75.5	81.0
Point differential	+1.8	+6.8	-4.2
Avg total	157.8	157.8	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	9	2	82%	78.4	69.2	+9.2
2	Olimpia Milano	11	8	3	73%	75.1	69.3	+5.8
3	Biella	11	7	4	64%	76.3	73.7	+2.5
4	Virtus Bologna	11	7	4	64%	79.8	78.0	+1.8
5	Cantu	12	7	5	58%	73.8	69.2	+4.7
6	Avellino	12	7	5	58%	81.9	81.3	+0.6
7	Venezia	11	6	5	55%	77.7	75.5	+2.2
8	Caserta	11	6	5	55%	79.5	78.1	+1.5
9	Varese	11	6	5	55%	76.8	77.5	-0.6
10	Pesaro	11	6	5	55%	71.2	73.5	-2.4
11	Treviso	11	5	6	45%	76.1	76.7	-0.6
12	Sassari	11	5	6	45%	77.8	79.3	-1.5
13	Virtus Roma	12	5	7	42%	78.2	80.7	-2.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	11	4	7	36%	75.9	78.5	-2.6
15	Casale Monferrato	11	3	8	27%	72.6	75.8	-3.2
16	Cremona	12	3	9	25%	72.3	80.8	-8.4
17	Teramo	12	2	10	17%	71.6	77.1	-5.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	21	17	20	22	80
Virtus Bologna	22	22	21	22	87

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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