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Caserta vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 75-68
22-22 19-11 19-14 15-21
Position#7
Record10-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game72.5
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Caserta v Sutor Montegranaro
16 Mar 2014
KAS75
SMO68
21 Oct 2012
KAS78
SMO67
08 Jan 2012
KAS66
SMO75
10 Apr 2011
KAS77
SMO70
07 Feb 2010
KAS65
SMO75
11 Apr 2009
KAS88
SMO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutor Montegranaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
57-82
57
82
-25
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H15/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A23/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H02/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-18
10-23
10-21
13-17
19-18
17-15
15-19
18-14
14-16
26-25
22-19
6-17
19-22
10-18
25-16
18-15
22-30
25-15
35-28
9-15
10-13
10-12
14-21
8-10
15-18
22-18
29-22
12-22
22-19
18-18
27-23
28-13
11-8
13-23
24-13
13-21
15-11
19-8
6-24
140.4Avg total
68.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.072.5145.5+0.545%
Season at home (11)75.271.7146.9+3.564%
Season away (11)70.773.3144.0-2.527%
Last 10 (10)68.671.8140.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)65.066.4131.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.673.9144.4-3.344%
vs Similar (15)71.372.3143.6-1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.875.2158.0+7.767%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
50-78
50
78
-28
H02/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
27-24
17-17
15-21
22-24
18-29
24-21
28-29
24-24
20-24
15-28
31-19
18-23
19-22
9-23
24-20
19-21
17-23
20-14
17-14
22-28
15-22
21-17
22-22
26-20
22-24
16-18
22-22
24-25
21-25
15-24
15-14
17-13
11-23
5-26
17-16
10-23
24-17
18-14
23-15
162.4Avg total
76.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.186.9165.0-8.832%
Season at home (11)79.084.2163.2-5.245%
Season away (11)77.289.5166.7-12.418%
Last 10 (10)76.985.5162.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)73.281.6154.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.185.9163.0-8.833%
vs Similar (5)89.493.4182.8-4.040%
vs Weaker (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
CasertaSutor Montegranaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H12/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A19/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H15/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A23/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A09/03
Lega A
64.6Avg total
30.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.370.7+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.834.470.1+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.371.4-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.764.6-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.630.058.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.234.269.4+1.044%-
vs Similar (15)34.235.769.9-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.035.774.7+3.350%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/03
Lega A
85.6Avg total
39.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.083.1-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.544.185.5-2.633%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.980.6-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.185.6-6.610%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.082.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.543.781.2-6.221%-
vs Similar (5)46.648.094.6-1.420%-
vs Weaker (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Caserta wins
5
Sutor Montegranaro wins
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/14ABrindisi53-64
02/03/14HAvellino76-57
23/02/14AVirtus Roma79-82
15/02/14HReggiana74-68
02/02/14AOlimpia Milano43-61
26/01/14HPesaro100-88
19/01/14AVenezia60-73
12/01/14HPistoia80-74
05/01/14ACremona64-69
29/12/13HSassari57-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/14AVarese75-69
02/03/14HSiena50-78
23/02/14APesaro75-88
16/02/14HVirtus Bologna86-84
02/02/14AReggiana80-89
26/01/14HVenezia73-72
18/01/14AVirtus Roma70-88
12/01/14HCremona90-95
05/01/14AAvellino92-103
29/12/13ACantu78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game73.075.270.7
Allowed / game72.571.773.3
Point differential+0.5+3.5-2.5
Avg total145.5146.9144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game78.179.077.2
Allowed / game86.984.289.5
Point differential-8.8-5.2-12.4
Avg total165.0163.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2217577%80.070.5+9.5
2 Brindisi2216673%77.573.0+4.5
3 Siena2215768%75.168.2+6.9
4 Cantu2215768%81.677.8+3.9
5 Sassari2315865%86.279.2+7.0
6 Virtus Roma2214864%77.675.6+2.0
7 Reggiana22101245%75.372.9+2.4
8 Caserta22101245%73.072.5+0.5
9 Avellino22101245%75.179.3-4.2
10 Venezia23101343%79.379.9-0.6
11 Pistoia2291341%76.679.0-2.5
12 Virtus Bologna2281436%78.980.9-2.0
13 Varese2281436%80.183.1-3.0
14 Cremona2271532%75.282.1-6.9
15 Sutor Montegranaro2271532%78.186.9-8.8
16 Pesaro2261627%79.588.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2219191575
Sutor Montegranaro2211142168
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