PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 69-75
23-10 17-24 14-18 15-23
Position#10
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#16
Record6-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Varese v Sutor Montegranaro
09 Mar 2014
VAR69
SMO75
09 Dec 2012
VAR106
SMO88
16 Oct 2011
VAR101
SMO88
12 May 2011
VAR82
SMO73
28 Feb 2010
VAR74
SMO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutor Montegranaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A29/12
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H27/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A02/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A16/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
91-112
91
112
-21
H23/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
22-29
26-18
23-25
27-24
29-12
17-17
21-22
25-24
12-28
27-21
15-14
25-20
16-19
3-23
34-24
14-16
18-19
21-25
27-13
22-16
20-32
14-18
15-10
31-15
22-34
16-15
24-13
12-25
16-12
18-19
17-27
20-31
24-23
21-26
26-32
19-27
11-21
22-22
18-26
167.1Avg total
81.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.683.5164.1-2.938%
Season at home (10)82.981.1164.0+1.850%
Season away (11)78.585.7164.3-7.227%
Last 10 (10)81.785.4167.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)77.688.8166.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.985.7160.6-10.815%
vs Similar (15)79.581.5160.9-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.082.5169.5+4.550%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
50-78
50
78
-28
H02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-21
22-28
26-29
19-27
27-24
17-17
15-21
22-24
18-29
24-21
28-29
24-24
20-24
15-28
31-19
18-23
19-22
9-23
24-20
19-21
17-23
20-14
17-14
22-28
15-22
21-17
22-22
26-20
22-24
16-18
22-22
24-25
21-25
15-24
15-14
17-13
11-23
5-26
17-16
166.0Avg total
78.1Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.287.7166.0-9.529%
Season at home (11)79.084.2163.2-5.245%
Season away (10)77.491.6169.0-14.210%
Last 10 (10)78.187.9166.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)72.882.2155.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.587.2164.6-9.729%
vs Similar (5)89.493.4182.8-4.040%
vs Weaker (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
VareseSutor Montegranaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A29/12
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H27/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A02/02
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A16/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H23/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A02/03
Lega A
85.6Avg total
41.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.480.6-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.841.582.3-0.764%-
Last 30 away (16)37.941.279.1-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.286.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.041.878.8-4.838%-
vs Similar (15)40.341.181.4-0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A05/01
Lega A
Cremona
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/02
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/03
Lega A
85.7Avg total
40.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.183.6-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.544.185.5-2.633%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.181.6-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.785.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.883.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.043.881.8-5.725%-
vs Similar (5)46.648.094.6-1.420%-
vs Weaker (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
5
Sutor Montegranaro wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/14ABrindisi70-96
23/02/14HSassari91-112
16/02/14AAvellino63-83
02/02/14AVenezia93-77
27/01/14HOlimpia Milano71-76
18/01/14AReggiana80-73
12/01/14HVirtus Roma78-86
05/01/14ASiena79-87
29/12/13ACremona94-75
26/12/13HVirtus Bologna98-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/14HSiena50-78
23/02/14APesaro75-88
16/02/14HVirtus Bologna86-84
02/02/14AReggiana80-89
26/01/14HVenezia73-72
18/01/14AVirtus Roma70-88
12/01/14HCremona90-95
05/01/14AAvellino92-103
29/12/13ACantu78-89
26/12/13HPistoia87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game80.682.978.5
Allowed / game83.581.185.7
Point differential-2.9+1.8-7.2
Avg total164.1164.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game78.279.077.4
Allowed / game87.784.291.6
Point differential-9.5-5.2-14.2
Avg total166.0163.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2116576%79.970.1+9.8
2 Brindisi2115671%78.174.0+4.1
3 Siena2215768%75.168.2+6.9
4 Cantu2215768%81.677.8+3.9
5 Sassari2214864%85.578.5+7.0
6 Virtus Roma2113862%77.275.4+1.8
7 Reggiana21101148%75.272.5+2.7
8 Caserta21101148%73.972.9+1.0
9 Avellino22101245%75.179.3-4.2
10 Venezia2191243%78.479.2-0.8
11 Pistoia2191243%76.779.2-2.5
12 Virtus Bologna2181338%79.180.9-1.8
13 Varese2181338%80.683.5-2.9
14 Cremona2171433%75.082.0-7.0
15 Sutor Montegranaro2161529%78.287.7-9.5
16 Pesaro2151624%79.789.0-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2317141569
Sutor Montegranaro1024182375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.