Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-57

28-13 11-8 13-23 24-13

Position#7

Record9-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game73.7

Caserta 🏆

Avellino

Position#12

Record10-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game79.7

Lega ARound 21

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Caserta v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

86-80

H22/12

Lega A

Siena

81-60

+21

A26/12

Lega A

Sassari

57-82

-25

H29/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

64-69

-5

A05/01

Lega A

Pistoia

80-74

H12/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

60-73

-13

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

100-88

100

+12

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-61

-18

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

74-68

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-82

-3

A23/02

Lega A

22-24

19-21

18-17

27-18

23-10

21-11

19-23

18-16

17-20

20-18

10-23

10-21

13-17

19-18

17-15

15-19

18-14

14-16

26-25

22-19

6-17

19-22

10-18

25-16

18-15

22-30

25-15

35-28

9-15

10-13

10-12

14-21

8-10

15-18

22-18

29-22

12-22

22-19

18-18

27-23

146.1Avg total

72.4Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	73.8	73.7	147.5	+0.1	45%
Season at home (10)	75.1	73.2	148.3	+1.9	60%
Season away (10)	72.5	74.2	146.7	-1.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	73.7	146.1	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	74.4	145.6	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	69.7	73.9	143.6	-4.2	40%
vs Similar (15)	72.5	72.7	145.3	-0.2	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	84.2	78.8	163.0	+5.4	60%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-74

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

85-83

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-94

-36

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

103-92

103

+11

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

73-96

-23

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

82-88

-6

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

75-70

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

80-72

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

83-63

+20

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

59-77

-18

H23/02

Lega A

25-18

12-20

22-20

19-16

18-22

24-29

24-21

19-11

18-23

19-22

12-19

9-30

24-22

29-18

21-24

29-28

8-32

25-29

21-22

19-13

19-17

22-24

20-23

21-24

21-17

22-15

16-17

16-21

28-19

22-17

11-24

19-12

25-12

12-16

19-18

27-17

17-19

13-27

21-16

8-15

158.5Avg total

77.6Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.3	79.7	156.1	-3.4	50%
Season at home (10)	79.4	77.4	156.8	+2.0	70%
Season away (10)	73.3	82.0	155.3	-8.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	80.9	158.5	-3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	74.0	149.8	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.2	79.8	153.1	-6.6	42%
vs Similar (14)	79.3	77.8	157.1	+1.5	71%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.1	35.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	16.4	31.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	10.6	15.8	26.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	17.9	35.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	17.5	34.9	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	17.2	41.5	+7.0	75%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

41-45

-4

H22/12

Lega A

Siena

44-21

+23

A26/12

Lega A

Sassari

37-38

-1

H29/12

Lega A

Cremona

#14

32-35

-3

A05/01

Lega A

Pistoia

32-30

H12/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

25-39

-14

A19/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

40-45

-5

H26/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

19-28

-9

A02/02

Lega A

Reggiana

23-28

-5

H15/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

34-41

-7

A23/02

Lega A

67.7Avg total

32.7Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	35.8	71.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	35.3	70.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	36.4	71.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	35.0	67.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	36.2	64.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.7	34.6	69.3	+0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	34.7	35.7	70.4	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.0	38.6	77.6	+0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

37-38

-1

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

42-51

-9

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-45

-8

A29/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-40

+13

H05/01

Lega A

Reggiana

33-61

-28

A11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

41-41

A19/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-32

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

50-36

+14

A02/02

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-28

H16/02

Lega A

Cantu

30-46

-16

H23/02

Lega A

82.1Avg total

40.3Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	38.7	78.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	38.2	78.8	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.8	82.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.9	41.7	79.6	-3.8	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	37.5	82.5	+7.5	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	19.1	34.3	-3.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	13.8	20.1	33.9	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.5	39.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.3	17.8	36.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.1	40.1	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	80%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	21.6	40.1	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.8	19.6	35.3	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	21.6	42.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	38.0	74.1	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.2	81.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.0	39.3	74.3	-4.3	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.9	37.0	74.9	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	39.7	77.9	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.1	76.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.4	73.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.1	37.4	71.5	-3.3	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	45.5	85.2	-5.8	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/13	Avellino v Caserta	76-70
21/04/13	Caserta v Avellino	75-85
30/12/12	Avellino v Caserta	84-86 OT
15/04/12	Caserta v Avellino	76-67
27/12/11	Avellino v Caserta	84-74
17/04/11	Caserta v Avellino	75-83
28/12/10	Avellino v Caserta	79-68
18/04/10	Caserta v Avellino	81-79
19/12/09	Avellino v Caserta	73-66
10/05/09	Caserta v Avellino	65-74

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	79-82
15/02/14	H	Reggiana	74-68
02/02/14	A	Olimpia Milano	43-61
26/01/14	H	Pesaro	100-88
19/01/14	A	Venezia	60-73
12/01/14	H	Pistoia	80-74
05/01/14	A	Cremona	64-69
29/12/13	H	Sassari	57-82
26/12/13	A	Siena	81-60
22/12/13	H	Varese	86-80

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/14	H	Cantu	59-77
16/02/14	H	Varese	83-63
02/02/14	A	Virtus Roma	80-72
26/01/14	H	Pistoia	75-70
19/01/14	A	Pesaro	82-88
11/01/14	A	Reggiana	73-96
05/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	103-92
29/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	58-94
26/12/13	H	Brindisi	85-83
22/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	45%
Home	WLWWW	60%
Away	WLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	45%	60%	30%
Points / game	73.8	75.1	72.5
Allowed / game	73.7	73.2	74.2
Point differential	+0.1	+1.9	-1.7
Avg total	147.5	148.3	146.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	WLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	50%	70%	30%
Points / game	76.3	79.4	73.3
Allowed / game	79.7	77.4	82.0
Point differential	-3.4	+2.0	-8.7
Avg total	156.1	156.8	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	21	16	5	76%	79.9	70.1	+9.8
2	Cantu	21	15	6	71%	82.6	78.2	+4.3
3	Brindisi	21	15	6	71%	78.1	74.0	+4.1
4	Siena	21	14	7	67%	75.4	68.5	+7.0
5	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	86.0	79.0	+7.0
6	Virtus Roma	21	13	8	62%	77.2	75.4	+1.8
7	Avellino	20	10	10	50%	76.3	79.7	-3.4
8	Reggiana	21	10	11	48%	75.2	72.5	+2.7
9	Caserta	20	9	11	45%	73.8	73.7	+0.1
10	Venezia	21	9	12	43%	78.4	79.2	-0.8
11	Pistoia	21	9	12	43%	76.7	79.2	-2.5
12	Virtus Bologna	21	8	13	38%	79.1	80.9	-1.8
13	Varese	21	8	13	38%	80.6	83.5	-2.9
14	Cremona	21	7	14	33%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
15	Sutor Montegranaro	21	6	15	29%	78.2	87.7	-9.5
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	79.7	89.0	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	28	11	13	24	76
Avellino	13	8	23	13	57

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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