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Casey Cavaliers W vs Eltham W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 78-69
22-22 23-7 19-23 14-17
Position#11
Record6-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#19
Record3-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Eltham W
29 Jun 2025
CASE78
ELTH69
15 Jun 2024
CASE78
ELTH83
26 Jun 2022
CASE78
ELTH96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
25-18
14-19
29-22
18-23
12-12
11-23
13-21
19-25
13-19
11-21
17-18
13-12
11-21
16-18
24-19
18-32
27-17
16-22
16-14
15-26
12-14
20-25
19-23
28-27
20-15
26-21
22-23
18-28
26-23
11-22
29-24
25-19
16-22
17-25
20-21
24-21
16-25
21-15
29-15
158.8Avg total
76.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.980.5154.4-6.638%
Season at home (8)75.187.2162.4-12.125%
Season away (8)72.873.8146.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)76.282.6158.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.486.7162.0-11.314%
vs Similar (3)69.066.0135.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.576.7156.2+2.867%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
55-92
55
92
-37
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
25-23
21-9
17-29
16-25
22-24
17-21
18-14
25-20
17-16
13-23
22-23
15-13
19-25
28-25
15-27
13-28
26-30
19-20
26-26
15-24
10-20
15-21
15-27
20-20
18-19
26-21
18-21
14-16
18-24
25-13
8-20
13-25
14-21
19-20
18-23
14-18
9-31
14-26
19-25
159.5Avg total
71.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.585.9159.4-12.419%
Season at home (8)72.190.2162.4-18.112%
Season away (8)74.981.5156.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)71.488.1159.5-16.710%
Last 5 (5)64.487.0151.4-22.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.583.2155.7-10.727%
vs Similar (8)77.582.0159.5-4.525%
vs Weaker (7)84.381.0165.3+3.371%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
Casey Cavaliers WEltham W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
38.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.879.9-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.544.684.1-5.218%-
Last 30 away (13)36.238.274.4-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.579.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.343.782.0-5.424%-
vs Similar (3)35.035.770.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.838.577.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
78.8Avg total
34.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.180.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.845.384.1-6.529%-
Last 30 away (16)40.037.477.4+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)34.144.778.8-10.610%-
Last 5 (5)29.043.672.6-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.340.576.8-4.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.841.883.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (7)43.441.785.1+1.757%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
3
Eltham W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25ABendigo Braves W90-76
21/06/25HRingwood W78-87
14/06/25HLaunceston W84-97
06/06/25HSandringham W96-86
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder W66-88
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W77-85
17/05/25AFrankston W64-70
11/05/25AWaverley W60-83
10/05/25HMt. Gambier W54-79
03/05/25AKilsyth W93-75
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HKnox W56-100
21/06/25HKeilor Thunder W64-89
15/06/25ASandringham W65-73
14/06/25HBendigo Braves W82-81
31/05/25HDiamond Valley W55-92
24/05/25HGeelong W84-104
17/05/25ALaunceston W77-90
16/05/25AHobart Chargers W77-82
10/05/25AKilsyth W73-84
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game73.975.172.8
Allowed / game80.587.273.8
Point differential-6.6-12.1-1.0
Avg total154.4162.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%12%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%12%25%
Points / game73.572.174.9
Allowed / game85.990.281.5
Point differential-12.4-18.1-6.6
Avg total159.4162.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W17170100%89.665.0+24.6
2 Keilor Thunder W1614288%81.871.5+10.3
3 Knox W1815383%81.866.6+15.2
4 Dandenong Rangers W1713476%86.072.8+13.2
5 Diamond Valley W1712571%85.577.4+8.1
6 Melbourne Tigers W1711665%81.575.3+6.2
7 Waverley W1711665%77.671.9+5.6
8 Frankston W1710759%77.171.4+5.7
9 Ringwood W189950%78.376.3+1.9
10 Sandringham W168850%78.278.6-0.4
11 Nunawading W178947%68.675.5-6.9
12 Casey Cavaliers W1661038%73.980.5-6.6
13 Mt. Gambier W1761135%68.776.1-7.4
14 Ballarat W1751229%70.282.6-12.4
15 Kilsyth W1851328%69.581.6-12.1
16 Hobart Chargers W1841422%70.981.8-10.9
17 Eltham W1631319%73.585.9-12.4
18 Launceston W1831517%73.282.4-9.2
19 Bendigo Braves W1931616%71.682.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W2223191478
Eltham W227231769
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