Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 May 2025

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 101-96 (OT)

20-19 22-21 23-27 21-19 15-10

Position#17

Record8-24

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game88.8

Castello 🏆

Palencia

Position#6

Record21-11

FormWLWLW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game80.2

Primera FEBRound 33

Other2024-25

Meetings · Castello v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

87-96

-9

77avg 71

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

85-89

-4

81avg 71

H11/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

76-87

-11

74avg 71

A16/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

94-97

-3

86avg 71

H21/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

72-100

100

-28

60avg 71

A28/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

83-102

102

-19

81avg 71

H04/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

77-96

-19

68avg 71

A12/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

83-64

+19

81avg 71

H17/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

65-70

-5

56avg 71

H22/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

61-100

100

-39

40avg 71

A27/04

Primera FEB

27-20

23-38

19-20

18-18

33-29

17-15

22-26

13-19

24-20

20-26

21-21

11-20

22-21

19-20

30-26

23-30

18-26

14-22

22-23

18-29

21-24

19-30

28-26

15-22

17-25

21-24

24-26

15-21

17-20

17-14

24-15

25-15

12-17

21-15

15-14

17-24

15-19

17-37

16-26

13-18

168.4Avg total

78.3Scored

90.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	79.2	88.8	168.0	-9.5	25%
Season at home (16)	79.5	80.7	160.2	-1.2	44%
Season away (16)	79.0	96.8	175.8	-17.8	6%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	90.1	168.4	-11.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	86.4	160.2	-12.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	76.6	88.9	165.5	-12.3	23%
vs Similar (8)	84.5	88.6	173.1	-4.1	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

#16

83-92

-9

71avg 78

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

88-71

+17

80avg 78

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

98-104

104

-6

86avg 78

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

85-77

81avg 78

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

77-84

-7

59avg 78

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

84-72

+12

72avg 78

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

76-77

-1

66avg 78

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

102-79

102

+23

93avg 78

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

84-94

-10

72avg 78

A23/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

81-68

+13

74avg 78

H26/04

Primera FEB

22-26

29-22

19-20

13-24

22-15

23-19

26-19

17-18

22-29

36-30

18-22

22-23

20-16

30-17

13-27

22-17

18-20

22-16

13-17

24-31

15-21

23-11

22-17

24-23

12-18

22-17

18-13

24-29

22-24

31-22

29-16

20-17

17-30

30-20

22-24

15-20

22-21

21-6

9-20

29-21

167.6Avg total

85.8Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	86.8	80.2	167.0	+6.5	66%
Season at home (16)	88.9	76.9	165.8	+12.1	88%
Season away (16)	84.6	83.6	168.2	+0.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	81.8	167.6	+4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	78.0	163.4	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.0	87.5	168.5	-6.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	82.1	86.6	168.7	-4.4	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.0	77.8	166.8	+11.3	81%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.3	44.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.5	44.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	24.1	44.5	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.0	37.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.7	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	24.9	45.9	-3.9	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.9	42.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.8	40.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	22.1	39.4	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	26.2	42.9	-9.5	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.4	22.9	40.3	-5.5	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	17.9	40.5	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	18.0	44.7	+8.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	15.2	40.6	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.7	62%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

50-58

-8

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

50-44

H11/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-46

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

41-41

H21/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

32-48

-16

A28/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

40-54

-14

H04/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

38-49

-11

A12/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

34-34

H17/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

33-32

H22/04

Primera FEB

Real Betis

32-56

-24

A27/04

Primera FEB

85.6Avg total

39.4Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	45.4	83.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	50.3	87.3	-13.3	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	46.2	85.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	45.0	80.4	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.5	45.6	84.1	-7.2	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	44.8	83.0	-6.5	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

#16

51-48

A08/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

45-34

+11

H12/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

58-59

-1

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

50-33

+17

H21/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

40-36

A30/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

38-32

H04/04

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

34-35

-1

A12/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

53-46

H19/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

47-50

-3

A23/04

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

43-27

+16

H26/04

Primera FEB

85.9Avg total

45.9Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.1	83.9	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	36.9	81.4	+7.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	43.3	86.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	40.0	85.9	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.0	38.4	83.3	+6.6	76%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.3	43.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.8	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.0	19.9	43.9	+4.1	88%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.3	40.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.7	40.1	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.7	43.1	+1.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	44.0	83.8	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	43.9	82.8	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.5	42.7	80.2	-5.2	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.9	40.9	84.8	+3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.4	83.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	40.5	85.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	40.3	81.3	+0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.8	81.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	46.5	88.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.1	39.4	83.5	+4.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/24	Palencia v Castello	107-76
17/03/23	Castello v Palencia	85-80
18/11/22	Palencia v Castello	77-63
01/02/22	Castello v Palencia	84-82
13/10/21	Palencia v Castello	80-79
23/04/21	Castello v Palencia	87-76
19/03/21	Palencia v Castello	76-75
06/03/20	Castello v Palencia	82-87
03/11/19	Palencia v Castello	108-87
01/02/19	Castello v Palencia	66-72

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/25	A	Real Betis	61-100
22/04/25	H	Gipuzkoa	65-70
17/04/25	H	Moron	83-64
12/04/25	A	Ourense	77-96
04/04/25	H	Real Valladolid	83-102
28/03/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	72-100
21/03/25	H	Tizona Burgos	94-97
16/03/25	A	Oviedo	76-87
11/03/25	H	Estudiantes	85-89
08/03/25	A	Zamora	87-96

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/25	H	Moron	81-68
23/04/25	A	Ourense	84-94
19/04/25	H	Tizona Burgos	102-79
12/04/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	76-77
04/04/25	H	Hestia Menorca	84-72
30/03/25	A	Zamora	77-84
21/03/25	H	Estela	85-77
16/03/25	A	Estudiantes	98-104
12/03/25	H	Cartagena	88-71
08/03/25	A	Real Valladolid	83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LLLWL	44%
Away	LLLLL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	25%	44%	6%
Points / game	79.2	79.5	79.0
Allowed / game	88.8	80.7	96.8
Point differential	-9.5	-1.2	-17.8
Avg total	168.0	160.2	175.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	33% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	66%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	66%	88%	44%
Points / game	86.8	88.9	84.6
Allowed / game	80.2	76.9	83.6
Point differential	+6.5	+12.1	+0.9
Avg total	167.0	165.8	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	56%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	32	30	2	94%	88.3	74.6	+13.7
2	Real Betis	33	26	7	79%	83.9	74.0	+9.9
3	Fuenlabrada	33	26	7	79%	84.5	76.7	+7.8
4	Estudiantes	32	25	7	78%	86.8	78.8	+8.0
5	Obradoiro CAB	32	22	10	69%	81.9	73.8	+8.1
6	Palencia	32	21	11	66%	86.8	80.2	+6.5
7	Tizona Burgos	32	15	17	47%	87.5	89.3	-1.8
8	Cartagena	32	15	17	47%	77.7	83.9	-6.2
9	Gipuzkoa	32	14	18	44%	78.6	79.4	-0.8
10	Alicante	32	13	19	41%	79.4	79.4	+0.0
11	Ourense	32	13	19	41%	82.0	83.5	-1.5
12	Oviedo	32	13	19	41%	79.1	80.7	-1.7
13	Zamora	33	13	20	39%	79.1	82.4	-3.3
14	Estela	33	12	21	36%	76.2	83.1	-6.9
15	Real Valladolid	32	11	21	34%	78.4	85.5	-7.1
16	Hestia Menorca	32	10	22	31%	74.5	78.4	-4.0
17	Castello	32	8	24	25%	79.2	88.8	-9.5
18	Moron	32	3	29	9%	71.7	83.1	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Castello	20	22	23	21	15	101
Palencia	19	21	27	19	10	96

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Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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