Estudiantes vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 73-83

24-18 13-16 13-28 23-21

Position#7

Record11-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game72.8

Estudiantes

Palencia 🏆

Position#2

Record13-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game68.7

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estudiantes v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

81-70

+11

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-70

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

90-60

+30

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

85-89

-4

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-79

-7

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

68-64

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

82-76

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

14-14

27-20

22-19

18-17

24-18

19-18

16-12

16-22

25-16

28-18

19-17

18-9

31-18

12-28

21-18

21-25

21-16

10-25

21-17

20-21

19-15

17-19

18-12

14-18

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

23-16

18-22

22-17

19-21

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

145.3Avg total

76.8Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.7	72.8	152.5	+6.9	79%
Season at home (7)	81.9	69.0	150.9	+12.9	86%
Season away (7)	77.6	76.6	154.1	+1.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	68.5	145.3	+8.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	63.4	136.4	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	72.0	79.0	151.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	70.3	72.7	143.0	-2.4	43%
vs Weaker (22)	79.3	67.7	147.0	+11.6	82%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

72-63

H28/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

66-75

-9

A06/11

Primera FEB

Castello

77-63

+14

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

77-67

+10

A26/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

101-81

101

+20

H02/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

78-67

+11

A07/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

82-66

+16

A11/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

84-69

+15

H16/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

87-84

A20/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

85-71

+14

H30/12

Primera FEB

14-16

26-13

17-18

15-16

13-16

12-16

14-16

27-27

17-14

16-18

24-10

20-21

20-13

19-17

14-13

24-24

27-16

24-30

27-19

23-16

21-20

21-22

17-12

19-13

24-20

20-14

23-14

15-18

21-22

22-22

23-12

18-13

12-23

29-7

22-28

24-26

24-13

14-17

18-20

29-21

151.5Avg total

80.9Scored

70.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.6	68.7	150.4	+12.9	93%
Season at home (7)	83.1	67.9	151.0	+15.3	100%
Season away (7)	80.1	69.6	149.7	+10.6	86%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	70.6	151.5	+10.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	71.4	154.6	+11.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	66.0	85.5	151.5	-19.5	25%
vs Similar (10)	78.4	72.6	151.0	+5.8	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.1	70.8	152.9	+11.4	88%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	17.3	33.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.3	37.2	+4.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	17.2	37.5	+3.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	16.7	36.4	+2.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	19.2	37.5	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	10.0	25.0	35.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.5	16.9	36.3	+2.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	20.5	37.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.9	18.4	38.2	+1.5	38%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

41-34

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-36

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

53-34

+19

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

43-46

-3

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

31-41

-10

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-34

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

41-38

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

75.7Avg total

40.3Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	34.5	72.9	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.7	33.4	72.1	+5.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	35.9	73.9	+2.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.4	75.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	32.6	71.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	31.0	41.0	72.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (22)	39.8	33.5	73.2	+6.3	64%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

40-29

+11

H28/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

25-32

-7

A06/11

Primera FEB

Castello

33-32

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

39-30

A26/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

51-46

H02/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-42

A07/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

44-34

+10

A11/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

43-44

-1

H16/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

41-30

+11

A20/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

38-30

H30/12

Primera FEB

74.5Avg total

39.6Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.2	75.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	34.6	75.7	+6.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	37.6	75.4	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.0	77.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	41.5	76.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.1	35.6	75.8	+4.5	62%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.6	38.5	+3.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.2	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	14.2	30.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.7	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	17.1	39.2	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.2	36.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	23.0	37.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.1	17.6	38.8	+3.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.2	34.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.9	36.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.3	16.3	32.6	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (22)	17.9	17.3	35.1	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	17.1	37.4	+3.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	34.7	73.3	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	34.1	74.2	+6.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.4	35.6	72.0	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	33.1	69.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	30.8	65.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	35.9	71.0	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (22)	39.5	34.2	73.7	+5.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.9	76.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	35.6	75.7	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	38.1	76.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	35.7	77.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.8	44.0	74.8	-13.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.4	34.8	76.1	+6.6	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/06/22	Estudiantes v Palencia	89-62
08/05/22	Estudiantes v Palencia	71-73
13/02/22	Palencia v Estudiantes	66-62

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63
17/12/22	A	Estela	82-76
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52
07/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	68-64
04/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-79
25/11/22	A	Alicante	85-89
20/11/22	H	Oviedo	90-60
05/11/22	A	Almansa	75-70
30/10/22	H	Real Valladolid	81-70

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/22	H	Forca Lleida	85-71
20/12/22	A	Iraurgi SB	87-84
16/12/22	H	San Pablo Burgos	84-69
11/12/22	A	Ourense	82-66
07/12/22	A	Caceres	78-67
02/12/22	H	Albacete	101-81
26/11/22	A	Estela	77-67
18/11/22	H	Castello	77-63
06/11/22	A	Gipuzkoa	66-75
28/10/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WLWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	86%	71%
Points / game	79.7	81.9	77.6
Allowed / game	72.8	69.0	76.6
Point differential	+6.9	+12.9	+1.0
Avg total	152.5	150.9	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	57%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	93%	100%	86%
Points / game	81.6	83.1	80.1
Allowed / game	68.7	67.9	69.6
Point differential	+12.9	+15.3	+10.6
Avg total	150.4	151.0	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	79%	86%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Palencia	14	13	1	93%	81.6	68.7	+12.9
2	MoraBanc Andorra	15	13	2	87%	83.2	69.3	+13.9
3	Estudiantes	14	11	3	79%	79.7	72.8	+6.9
4	Forca Lleida	15	11	4	73%	81.7	78.5	+3.3
5	Real Valladolid	15	10	5	67%	75.9	70.1	+5.8
6	Alicante	15	10	5	67%	77.1	74.7	+2.3
7	Leyma Coruna	15	9	6	60%	82.9	75.9	+7.0
8	Gipuzkoa	15	9	6	60%	74.6	70.0	+4.6
9	San Pablo Burgos	15	9	6	60%	79.9	75.6	+4.3
10	Estela	15	7	8	47%	73.2	76.5	-3.3
11	Castello	15	5	10	33%	75.0	77.1	-2.1
12	Ourense	15	5	10	33%	74.2	80.5	-6.3
13	Almansa	15	5	10	33%	73.5	81.3	-7.9
14	Melilla	15	4	11	27%	76.1	79.3	-3.2
15	Albacete	15	4	11	27%	71.7	77.5	-5.8
16	Oviedo	15	4	11	27%	69.8	80.1	-10.3
17	Caceres	15	3	12	20%	69.7	78.5	-8.7
18	Iraurgi SB	15	2	13	13%	71.7	83.7	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	24	13	13	23	73
Palencia	18	16	28	21	83

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Estudiantes vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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