Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 66-72

18-17 25-18 10-17 13-20

Position#13

Record7-12

FormLLWWW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game77.2

Castello

Palencia 🏆

Position#9

Record11-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game82.2

Primera FEBRound 21

Other2018-19

Meetings · Castello v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

70-95

-25

A28/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

78-80

-2

A02/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

70-66

H07/12

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

84-95

-11

A14/12

Primera FEB

Valladolid

56-70

-14

A18/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

59-72

-13

H21/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

69-74

-5

H04/01

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

82-72

+10

A19/01

Primera FEB

Bilbao

74-62

+12

H23/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

86-81

A27/01

Primera FEB

23-21

10-18

21-30

16-26

19-26

17-16

26-14

16-24

16-19

14-15

24-13

16-19

23-20

20-24

23-27

18-24

11-20

14-11

20-15

11-24

10-22

21-16

11-23

17-11

20-22

14-12

22-23

13-17

17-22

30-13

16-22

19-15

22-25

14-16

17-10

21-11

21-22

23-19

19-17

23-23

149.5Avg total

72.8Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	73.6	77.2	150.8	-3.6	37%
Season at home (9)	74.2	72.1	146.3	+2.1	56%
Season away (10)	73.0	81.8	154.8	-8.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	76.7	149.5	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	72.2	146.2	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.6	77.4	148.0	-6.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	76.7	77.8	154.4	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (4)	75.8	73.8	149.5	+2.0	50%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

#17

98-55

+43

A02/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

78-71

H07/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

87-85

A14/12

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

92-87

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

76-88

-12

H30/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

74-77

-3

A04/01

Primera FEB

Granada

76-79

-3

H11/01

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

94-96 OT

-2

H18/01

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

63-81

-18

A22/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

66-84

-18

H27/01

Primera FEB

21-8

19-20

25-13

33-14

20-15

26-16

18-16

14-24

25-21

21-17

14-28

27-19

28-23

16-22

26-21

22-21

7-24

25-17

18-27

26-20

29-18

10-10

18-24

17-25

17-18

16-17

13-15

30-29

27-19

17-23

28-17

13-26

18-22

18-24

15-20

12-15

13-23

12-17

23-27

18-17

160.7Avg total

80.4Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	83.2	82.2	165.4	+1.0	55%
Season at home (11)	83.4	83.2	166.5	+0.2	55%
Season away (9)	83.0	80.9	163.9	+2.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	80.3	160.7	+0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	83.4	158.0	-8.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.7	87.0	167.7	-6.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.1	78.0	156.1	+0.1	44%
vs Weaker (6)	87.7	78.8	166.5	+8.8	67%

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.7	39.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	18.8	39.7	+2.0	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.5	37.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.9	35.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.1	17.8	31.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.2	32.8	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	20.8	39.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	33%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

33-39

-6

A28/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

36-42

-6

A02/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

30-34

-4

H07/12

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

43-44

-1

A14/12

Primera FEB

Valladolid

25-31

-6

A18/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

31-38

-7

H21/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-34

H04/01

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

47-35

+12

A19/01

Primera FEB

Bilbao

36-41

-5

H23/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

44-41

A27/01

Primera FEB

73.8Avg total

35.9Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	39.5	75.9	-3.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.2	74.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	37.9	73.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.5	38.1	72.6	-3.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.8	40.9	77.7	-4.1	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

#17

40-28

+12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

46-31

+15

H07/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

46-38

A14/12

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

44-45

-1

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

32-41

-9

H30/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

39-28

+11

A04/01

Primera FEB

Granada

33-35

-2

H11/01

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

44-42

H18/01

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

36-46

-10

A22/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

25-40

-15

H27/01

Primera FEB

75.9Avg total

38.5Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.4	78.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.4	75.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	38.2	73.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.2	39.7	78.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.6	38.9	77.4	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	38.2	80.7	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.1	37.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	17.9	38.2	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	18.2	35.5	-1.0	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	15.9	34.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	21.4	37.1	-5.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.7	39.1	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.5	39.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.8	74.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	32.9	71.3	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.6	77.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.8	75.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	34.4	70.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.1	39.2	75.4	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.3	35.4	73.8	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	37.8	75.5	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.3	79.5	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	43.0	80.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.7	42.8	80.5	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.5	39.1	78.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.7	38.8	82.5	+4.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/18	Palencia v Castello	84-59
19/01/18	Palencia v Castello	70-73
06/10/17	Castello v Palencia	78-75
17/02/17	Castello v Palencia	96-94
04/11/16	Palencia v Castello	79-78
05/02/16	Palencia v Castello	94-75
30/10/15	Castello v Palencia	95-101

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/19	A	Caceres	86-81
23/01/19	H	Bilbao	74-62
19/01/19	A	Prat Joventut	82-72
04/01/19	H	Real Betis	69-74
21/12/18	H	Leyma Coruna	59-72
18/12/18	A	Valladolid	56-70
14/12/18	A	Huesca	84-95
07/12/18	H	Forca Lleida	70-66
02/12/18	A	Araberri	78-80
28/11/18	A	Oviedo	70-95

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/19	H	Oviedo	66-84
22/01/19	A	Barcelona B	63-81
18/01/19	H	Real Canoe	94-96 OT
11/01/19	H	Granada	76-79
04/01/19	A	Melilla	74-77
30/12/18	H	Ourense	76-88
21/12/18	H	Araberri	92-87
14/12/18	A	Caceres	87-85
07/12/18	H	Bilbao	78-71
02/12/18	A	Prat Joventut	98-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	37%
Home	WWLLW	56%
Away	LLLWW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	56%	20%
Points / game	73.6	74.2	73.0
Allowed / game	77.2	72.1	81.8
Point differential	-3.6	+2.1	-8.8
Avg total	150.8	146.3	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	22%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	55%
Home	WLLLL	55%
Away	LWWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	55%	55%	56%
Points / game	83.2	83.4	83.0
Allowed / game	82.2	83.2	80.9
Point differential	+1.1	+0.2	+2.1
Avg total	165.3	166.5	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	9%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	67% (6)	67% (3)
Overtime %	15%	27%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	20	18	2	90%	84.0	73.0	+11.1
2	Bilbao	20	13	7	65%	76.7	71.1	+5.6
3	Oviedo	20	13	7	65%	76.0	70.9	+5.2
4	Huesca	20	13	7	65%	77.5	75.5	+2.0
5	Granada	21	13	8	62%	75.1	71.0	+4.1
6	Ourense	20	12	8	60%	76.0	71.8	+4.2
7	Melilla	20	12	8	60%	74.5	74.7	-0.2
8	Iberojet Palma	19	11	8	58%	77.1	74.2	+2.9
9	Valladolid	20	11	9	55%	78.4	75.6	+2.8
10	Palencia	20	11	9	55%	83.2	82.2	+1.1
11	Forca Lleida	20	10	10	50%	72.8	71.2	+1.5
12	Real Canoe	21	8	13	38%	69.1	77.3	-8.2
13	Castello	19	7	12	37%	73.6	77.2	-3.6
14	Leyma Coruna	20	7	13	35%	78.3	79.8	-1.4
15	Barcelona B	20	6	14	30%	74.3	75.7	-1.4
16	Caceres	20	6	14	30%	69.0	74.8	-5.8
17	Araberri	20	6	14	30%	79.7	86.3	-6.7
18	Prat Joventut	20	3	17	15%	70.2	83.1	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	18	25	10	13	66
Palencia	17	18	17	20	72

← all games of the day

Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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