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Caxias do Sul vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-74
18-20 16-17 16-16 23-21
Position#13
Record10-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game77.1
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#10
Record11-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Bauru
19 Jan 2026
CAXI73
BAUR74
03 Dec 2024
CAXI66
BAUR71
09 Mar 2024
CAXI75
BAUR79
06 Jan 2023
CAXI61
BAUR74
14 Mar 2022
CAXI60
BAUR66
21 Apr 2021
CAXI65
BAUR75
27 Jan 2021
CAXI63
BAUR71
15 Nov 2017
CAXI70
BAUR69
23 Feb 2017
CAXI76
BAUR74
06 Feb 2016
CAXI83
BAUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 65
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 65
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
60avg 65
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
72avg 65
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
64avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
60-100
60
100
-40
46avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
48avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
77avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 65
A12/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
18-23
19-20
20-24
20-17
20-20
19-22
21-16
18-18
21-13
16-21
19-9
16-15
23-17
18-16
12-21
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
18-19
20-7
15-12
15-14
15-28
15-30
13-26
17-16
20-12
11-22
14-16
11-21
26-15
17-24
14-15
13-16
15-7
12-19
22-34
16-17
150.0Avg total
72.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.577.1149.6-4.748%
Season at home (7)76.174.4150.6+1.771%
Season away (14)70.678.5149.1-7.936%
Last 10 (10)72.877.2150.0-4.450%
Last 5 (5)68.077.0145.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.486.6154.1-19.212%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.071.8148.8+5.267%
vs Weaker (7)79.972.7152.6+7.186%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 71
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
89avg 71
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 71
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
69-61
69
61
+8
54avg 71
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 71
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
25-17
20-22
22-20
23-36
18-20
33-17
20-11
25-19
9-18
13-9
15-12
15-13
16-15
17-15
21-18
12-21
14-26
21-25
21-13
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
159.6Avg total
80.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.577.0153.5-0.650%
Season at home (13)80.275.7155.9+4.569%
Season away (9)71.079.0150.0-8.022%
Last 10 (10)80.978.7159.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.481.6168.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.682.9156.4-9.311%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.672.4148.0+3.260%
vs Weaker (11)81.473.9155.3+7.582%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
Caxias do SulBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A12/01
NBB
73.1Avg total
35.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.674.7-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.138.875.9-1.736%-
Last 30 away (19)33.940.174.0-6.237%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.273.1-1.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.670.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.643.274.8-11.66%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.033.872.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker (7)40.135.976.0+4.386%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.877.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.740.880.5-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)36.038.674.6-2.654%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.844.278.0-10.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.937.873.7-1.940%-
vs Weaker (11)43.638.181.7+5.582%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.2
46.4%
52.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
72.8%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.2
51.6%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
72.8%12.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LWLLWWLWWL
Bauru
LWWLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#10
-7.1
Net rating
+0.1
94.0
Offensive rating
99.4
101.1
Defensive rating
99.2
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
29.3%
60.3%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 99.4Defence101.1 · 99.2Shooting46.9% · 48.5%3-point %31.7% · 29.3%Ball care18.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caxias do Sul wins
10
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Bauru v Caxias do Sul75-64
29/03/25Bauru v Caxias do Sul84-67
03/12/24Caxias do Sul v Bauru66-71
09/03/24Caxias do Sul v Bauru75-79
22/11/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul94-59
08/04/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-69
06/01/23Caxias do Sul v Bauru61-74
14/03/22Caxias do Sul v Bauru60-66
09/12/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-81
23/04/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul74-73
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26ABrasilia65-77
09/01/26APato91-85 OT
29/12/25AMogi56-71
27/12/25ACorinthians Paulista60-100
23/12/25HCearense68-52
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
18/12/25AVasco79-80 OT
16/12/25ASao Jose74-61
08/12/25ABotafogo80-75
06/12/25AFlamengo66-91
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68
20/12/25AFranca68-85
15/12/25APato69-61
12/12/25HMogi62-58
10/12/25HCorinthians Paulista94-84
03/12/25HSao Jose84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21714
Win %48%71%36%
Points / game72.576.170.6
Allowed / game77.174.478.5
Point differential-4.7+1.7-7.9
Avg total149.6150.6149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %14%0%21%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %50%69%22%
Points / game76.580.271.0
Allowed / game77.075.779.0
Point differential-0.6+4.5-8.0
Avg total153.5155.9150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2218482%88.574.7+13.9
3 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2217577%81.971.7+10.1
6 Sao Jose2114767%82.078.1+4.0
7 Corinthians Paulista2315865%83.177.8+5.3
8 Paulistano2112957%80.576.4+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Uniao Corinthians21111052%79.581.2-1.7
12 Bauru22111150%76.577.0-0.6
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2251723%78.087.9-9.9
17 Rio Claro2141719%75.588.3-12.9
18 Osasco2241818%75.187.7-12.5
19 Botafogo2131814%71.483.5-12.0
20 Vasco2231914%69.279.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1816162373
Bauru2017162174
← all games of the day
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