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Bauru vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-89
11-26 26-23 18-21 32-19
Position#10
Record11-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bauru v Paulistano
26 Apr 2026
BAUR88
PAUL75
24 Apr 2026
BAUR80
PAUL95
15 Jan 2026
BAUR87
PAUL89
03 May 2025
BAUR85
PAUL80
27 Apr 2025
BAUR60
PAUL62
25 Apr 2025
BAUR81
PAUL63
20 Jan 2025
BAUR73
PAUL85
26 Oct 2023
BAUR75
PAUL71
11 Feb 2023
BAUR80
PAUL70
06 Jan 2022
BAUR97
PAUL98
28 Apr 2021
BAUR66
PAUL78
08 Dec 2020
BAUR81
PAUL62
13 Nov 2019
BAUR74
PAUL82
06 Dec 2018
BAUR85
PAUL64
11 May 2018
BAUR82
PAUL75
30 Apr 2018
BAUR72
PAUL78
04 Nov 2017
BAUR72
PAUL71
17 Jun 2017
BAUR92
PAUL73
04 Jun 2017
BAUR90
PAUL79
02 Jun 2017
BAUR74
PAUL78
31 Jan 2017
BAUR78
PAUL68
26 Mar 2016
BAUR78
PAUL63
18 Nov 2014
BAUR81
PAUL74
01 Feb 2014
BAUR77
PAUL90
30 Mar 2013
BAUR66
PAUL64
05 Jan 2012
BAUR96
PAUL73
13 Apr 2011
BAUR92
PAUL66
11 Apr 2011
BAUR90
PAUL69
11 Feb 2011
BAUR77
PAUL66
13 Feb 2009
BAUR88
PAUL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 71
A23/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 71
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
89avg 71
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 71
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
69-61
69
61
+8
54avg 71
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 71
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-30
33-23
23-17
17-32
25-17
20-22
22-20
23-36
18-20
33-17
20-11
25-19
9-18
13-9
15-12
15-13
16-15
17-15
21-18
12-21
14-26
21-25
21-13
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
160.2Avg total
81.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.076.5152.4-0.552%
Season at home (12)79.774.6154.2+5.175%
Season away (9)71.079.0150.0-8.022%
Last 10 (10)81.079.2160.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)82.680.8163.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.682.9156.4-9.311%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.969.7142.6+3.260%
vs Weaker (11)81.473.9155.3+7.582%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 70
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 70
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
42avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
64avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
100-77
100
77
+23
93avg 70
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
65avg 70
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
12-20
17-18
18-18
12-11
11-23
16-24
20-10
18-12
32-12
14-21
32-21
22-23
15-29
24-19
20-12
11-22
20-23
19-21
23-24
24-13
18-15
24-9
18-20
21-22
17-23
22-23
20-22
22-20
158.5Avg total
82.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.075.9155.9+4.155%
Season at home (11)80.671.2151.8+9.573%
Season away (9)79.381.7161.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)82.675.9158.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)83.678.8162.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.076.4148.4-4.447%
vs Weaker (10)87.574.1161.6+13.470%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
BauruPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A23/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
81.7Avg total
38.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.277.3-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.739.779.4+0.047%-
Last 30 away (13)36.038.674.6-2.654%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.281.7-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.844.278.0-10.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.936.071.9-0.150%-
vs Weaker (11)43.638.181.7+5.582%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NBB
78.6Avg total
40.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.877.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.476.1+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.178.3+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.778.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.639.075.6-2.427%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.380.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.2
51.6%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
72.8%12.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.8
52.3%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
72.8%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WWLWLWWWLL
Paulistano
LWWLWLLWWW
#10
League position
#7
+0.1
Net rating
+8.9
99.4
Offensive rating
105.8
99.2
Defensive rating
96.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.3%
3-point %
31.4%
67.5%
Assist %
48.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 105.8Defence99.2 · 96.9Shooting48.5% · 50.3%3-point %29.3% · 31.4%Ball care16.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bauru   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
20/10/25Paulistano v Bauru66-59
03/05/25Bauru v Paulistano85-80 OT
30/04/25Paulistano v Bauru54-84
27/04/25Bauru v Paulistano60-62
25/04/25Bauru v Paulistano81-63
22/04/25Paulistano v Bauru93-77
20/01/25Bauru v Paulistano73-85
28/10/24Paulistano v Bauru79-83
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68
20/12/25AFranca68-85
15/12/25APato69-61
12/12/25HMogi62-58
10/12/25HCorinthians Paulista94-84
03/12/25HSao Jose84-91
23/11/25AMinas88-94
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ASao Jose81-88
27/12/25HMogi81-66
23/12/25HCorinthians Paulista86-81
18/12/25AUnifacisa70-82
15/12/25ACearense100-77
11/12/25HVasco65-69
06/12/25APato59-67
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%75%22%
Points / game76.079.771.0
Allowed / game76.574.679.0
Point differential-0.5+5.1-8.0
Avg total152.4154.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game80.080.679.3
Allowed / game75.971.281.7
Point differential+4.2+9.5-2.3
Avg total155.9151.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
3 Pinheiros2117481%87.876.2+11.6
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2116576%81.272.1+9.1
6 Sao Jose2114767%82.078.1+4.0
7 Corinthians Paulista2214864%83.578.3+5.1
8 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
9 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Bauru21111052%76.076.5-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
17 Cearense2141719%77.688.2-10.6
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo2031715%70.983.3-12.4
20 Vasco2131814%69.379.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1126183287
Paulistano2623211989
← all games of the day
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