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Pato vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 85-91 (OT)
15-26 24-17 15-14 16-13 15-21
Position#17
Record5-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#13
Record9-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game76.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Caxias do Sul
09 Jan 2026
PATO85
CAXI91
20 Jan 2025
PATO78
CAXI65
29 Dec 2023
PATO78
CAXI74
06 Feb 2023
PATO88
CAXI80
08 Apr 2022
PATO59
CAXI68
08 Jan 2021
PATO77
CAXI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 67
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 67
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 67
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
154.9Avg total
72.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.181.0153.1-8.926%
Season at home (9)70.776.1146.8-5.433%
Season away (10)73.485.4158.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)72.382.6154.9-10.330%
Last 5 (5)70.081.4151.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.684.1154.6-13.55%
vs Similar (10)83.776.4160.1+7.380%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 65
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
60avg 65
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 65
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 65
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
60avg 65
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
72avg 65
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
64avg 65
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
60-100
60
100
-40
46avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
48avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
29-15
19-10
8-23
14-22
12-19
23-27
23-20
9-24
18-23
19-20
20-24
20-17
20-20
19-22
21-16
18-18
21-13
16-21
19-9
16-15
23-17
18-16
12-21
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
18-19
20-7
15-12
15-14
15-28
15-30
13-26
17-16
20-12
11-22
14-16
11-21
148.3Avg total
72.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.976.7148.6-4.847%
Season at home (7)76.174.4150.6+1.771%
Season away (12)69.478.1147.5-8.733%
Last 10 (10)72.276.1148.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)70.476.6147.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.787.1154.8-19.411%
vs Similar (6)77.071.8148.8+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.070.7148.7+7.383%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
PatoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
75.2Avg total
34.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.778.7-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.339.076.3-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)36.643.880.5-7.224%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.875.2-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.676.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.342.077.3-6.721%-
vs Similar (10)40.340.080.3+0.360%-
vs Weaker (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H03/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A29/12
NBB
74.4Avg total
36.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.040.875.8-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.138.875.9-1.736%-
Last 30 away (19)33.842.075.8-8.226%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.145.077.1-12.90%-
vs Similar (6)39.033.872.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.735.375.0+4.383%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.614.4
45.6%
52.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.9
32.8%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
72.8%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.6
29.7%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
72.8%13.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLWLLWWLLL
Caxias do Sul
LLWWLWWLLW
#17
League position
#13
-13.8
Net rating
-8.6
95.4
Offensive rating
97.0
109.2
Defensive rating
105.5
47.3%
Effective FG%
46.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
21.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
29.7%
62.6%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 97.0Defence109.2 · 105.5Shooting47.3% · 46.1%3-point %32.8% · 29.7%Ball care21.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pato wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
21/10/25Caxias do Sul v Pato70-63
20/01/25Pato v Caxias do Sul78-65
31/10/24Caxias do Sul v Pato81-80
12/04/24Caxias do Sul v Pato68-85
29/12/23Pato v Caxias do Sul78-74
06/02/23Pato v Caxias do Sul88-80
06/12/22Caxias do Sul v Pato73-84
08/04/22Pato v Caxias do Sul59-68
28/12/21Caxias do Sul v Pato80-67
07/04/21Caxias do Sul v Pato83-85 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25AMogi56-71
27/12/25ACorinthians Paulista60-100
23/12/25HCearense68-52
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
18/12/25AVasco79-80 OT
16/12/25ASao Jose74-61
08/12/25ABotafogo80-75
06/12/25AFlamengo66-91
03/12/25HMinas72-88
01/12/25HCruzeiro78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%33%20%
Points / game72.170.773.4
Allowed / game81.076.185.4
Point differential-8.9-5.4-12.0
Avg total153.1146.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %47%71%33%
Points / game71.976.169.4
Allowed / game76.774.478.1
Point differential-4.8+1.7-8.7
Avg total148.6150.6147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1917289%87.873.9+13.9
2 Franca2017385%87.973.2+14.7
3 Flamengo2017385%89.175.2+13.9
4 Minas2017385%87.278.0+9.2
5 Brasilia1914574%81.673.1+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista2013765%82.777.3+5.3
7 Sao Jose1912763%80.977.3+3.6
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi1910953%76.168.9+7.2
10 Unifacisa20101050%82.081.3+0.7
11 Bauru1991047%73.775.1-1.4
12 Uniao Corinthians1991047%78.581.0-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul1991047%71.976.7-4.8
14 Cruzeiro1961332%77.984.7-6.8
15 Pato1951426%72.181.0-8.9
16 Cearense1941521%77.788.7-11.1
17 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
18 Osasco2041620%75.287.0-11.8
19 Botafogo1931616%71.183.7-12.6
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pato152415161585
Caxias do Sul261714132191
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