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Bauru vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-67
28-17 23-16 17-19 16-15
Position#4
Record16-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.0
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#15
Record10-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Caxias do Sul
20 Nov 2026
BAUR v CAXI
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
BAUR75
CAXI64
29 Mar 2025
BAUR84
CAXI67
22 Nov 2023
BAUR94
CAXI59
08 Apr 2023
BAUR89
CAXI69
09 Dec 2021
BAUR89
CAXI81
23 Apr 2021
BAUR74
CAXI73
20 Nov 2020
BAUR74
CAXI54
02 Feb 2018
BAUR73
CAXI85
01 Dec 2016
BAUR82
CAXI64
20 Nov 2015
BAUR78
CAXI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 71
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 71
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 71
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
67avg 71
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 71
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
60avg 71
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
74-66
74
66
+8
73avg 71
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
69avg 71
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 71
A18/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
22-11
22-15
18-20
18-16
21-14
20-11
18-20
15-19
17-28
19-15
23-15
19-25
18-21
23-16
27-24
16-20
19-18
24-18
17-13
14-17
22-20
17-19
17-15
18-23
22-17
15-30
18-21
16-25
155.2Avg total
77.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.079.0157.0-1.055%
Season at home (12)78.775.2153.8+3.583%
Season away (17)77.581.7159.2-4.235%
Last 10 (10)77.777.5155.2+0.260%
Last 5 (5)76.280.0156.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.388.7164.0-13.317%
vs Similar (14)77.479.4156.8-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.975.7155.6+4.280%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 67
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 67
H04/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
78-67
78
67
+11
76avg 67
H06/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 67
A12/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
73avg 67
H05/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
76-65
76
65
+11
74avg 67
H13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
91avg 67
H15/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 67
A26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
10-22
15-20
25-18
15-23
21-20
25-20
16-15
20-16
15-21
17-16
13-25
26-18
11-16
24-27
27-21
24-11
19-21
12-19
23-16
20-21
14-20
21-12
22-30
15-20
22-20
21-19
27-23
20-18
27-16
15-17
14-14
18-17
22-20
18-20
19-20
17-28
18-22
17-18
18-20
157.6Avg total
78.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.579.3153.8-4.836%
Season at home (15)77.779.7157.3-2.053%
Season away (13)70.878.9149.8-8.115%
Last 10 (10)78.079.6157.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)81.482.6164.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.382.2157.5-6.928%
vs Similar (5)71.870.0141.8+1.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
BauruCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/03
NBB
77.0Avg total
39.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.178.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.139.277.2-1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.879.5-2.235%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.777.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.548.084.5-11.517%-
vs Similar (14)38.139.177.3-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.936.776.6+3.250%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A26/03
NBB
75.7Avg total
36.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.676.1-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.940.077.9-2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)34.639.173.7-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.875.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.340.276.5-3.932%-
vs Similar (5)37.436.674.0+0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.8
52.7%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
72.7%12.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.0
28.1%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
72.7%15.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LLWWLWWWLW
Caxias do Sul
LWWWLWWLLL
#4
League position
#15
-0.3
Net rating
-1.6
100.5
Offensive rating
105.5
100.8
Defensive rating
107.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
28.1%
63.7%
Assist %
55.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 105.5Defence100.8 · 107.1Shooting49.3% · 50.1%3-point %29.9% · 28.1%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bauru   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bauru wins
0
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
03/12/24Caxias do Sul v Bauru66-71
09/03/24Caxias do Sul v Bauru75-79
22/11/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul94-59
08/04/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-69
06/01/23Caxias do Sul v Bauru61-74
14/03/22Caxias do Sul v Bauru60-66
09/12/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-81
23/04/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul74-73
21/04/21Caxias do Sul v Bauru65-75
27/01/21Caxias do Sul v Bauru63-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25AFranca71-93
14/03/25AUnifacisa74-77
11/03/25ACearense74-66
05/03/25HPinheiros84-81
27/02/25ASao Jose78-83
16/02/25HCorinthians Paulista74-64
08/02/25AMogi80-62
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25AMinas70-88
15/03/25HPaulistano99-95 OT
13/03/25HSao Paulo76-65
05/03/25HFlamengo85-82
12/02/25ABrasilia77-83
06/02/25HBotafogo78-67
04/02/25HVasco88-82
20/01/25APato65-78
13/01/25AUniao Corinthians77-78
29/12/24HUnifacisa65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %55%83%35%
Points / game78.078.777.5
Allowed / game79.075.281.7
Point differential-1.0+3.5-4.2
Avg total157.0153.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%53%15%
Points / game74.577.770.8
Allowed / game79.379.778.9
Point differential-4.8-2.0-8.1
Avg total153.8157.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%13%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)71% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2723485%82.871.5+11.3
2 Flamengo2922776%84.075.1+8.9
3 Franca2819968%83.777.6+6.0
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
9 Unifacisa29141548%75.375.6-0.2
10 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato30121840%82.283.9-1.6
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul28101836%74.579.3-4.8
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2982128%71.978.3-6.4
18 Botafogo2982128%73.481.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2823171684
Caxias do Sul1716191567
← all games of the day
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