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Caxias do Sul vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-79
22-23 21-15 24-15 8-26
Position#18
Record8-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record18-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Bauru
19 Jan 2026
CAXI73
BAUR74
03 Dec 2024
CAXI66
BAUR71
09 Mar 2024
CAXI75
BAUR79
06 Jan 2023
CAXI61
BAUR74
14 Mar 2022
CAXI60
BAUR66
21 Apr 2021
CAXI65
BAUR75
27 Jan 2021
CAXI63
BAUR71
15 Nov 2017
CAXI70
BAUR69
23 Feb 2017
CAXI76
BAUR74
06 Feb 2016
CAXI83
BAUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
no box
A12/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
71avg 57
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 57
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
62-105
62
105
-43
43avg 57
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
72-86
72
86
-14
53avg 57
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
65avg 57
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
74-81
74
81
-7
59avg 57
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
57avg 57
A16/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 57
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-80
63
80
-17
55avg 57
A05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
11-17
23-11
17-11
12-24
27-17
22-19
21-16
11-28
19-12
25-20
18-18
19-30
12-34
11-22
20-19
18-16
16-25
20-15
18-30
23-14
23-19
14-20
19-14
18-16
16-16
19-22
21-27
19-19
10-23
18-19
21-21
13-17
19-16
21-33
17-11
13-14
21-20
11-17
18-29
152.9Avg total
71.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.079.9151.8-7.929%
Season at home (13)74.477.5151.9-3.231%
Season away (15)69.981.9151.7-12.027%
Last 10 (10)71.881.1152.9-9.320%
Last 5 (5)70.877.4148.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.481.3150.7-12.014%
vs Similar (6)75.377.0152.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
60avg 70
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
90avg 70
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
64avg 70
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 70
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 70
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 70
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
69avg 70
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
13-14
17-17
25-11
31-25
23-19
17-21
20-24
17-21
21-15
24-20
14-20
19-25
12-30
21-12
15-19
18-27
23-17
15-12
15-14
21-23
15-15
19-18
21-28
27-15
20-18
18-23
24-23
27-20
23-24
11-24
15-13
22-24
26-19
14-16
12-15
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
161.7Avg total
81.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.678.8159.4+1.864%
Season at home (13)85.575.5161.1+10.092%
Season away (15)76.381.7157.9-5.440%
Last 10 (10)81.280.5161.7+0.770%
Last 5 (5)84.883.4168.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.691.0170.6-11.420%
vs Similar (15)77.776.3154.1+1.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.277.0163.2+9.278%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Caxias do SulBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A12/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A05/03
NBB
74.1Avg total
33.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.340.372.6-8.013%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.538.672.1-5.114%-
Last 30 away (16)31.241.973.1-10.612%-
Last 10 (10)33.640.574.1-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.869.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.441.272.6-9.85%-
vs Similar (6)32.539.572.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker (2)41.533.575.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
82.6Avg total
41.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.681.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.983.1+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)37.941.879.8-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.482.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
vs Similar (15)40.938.279.1+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.939.681.4+2.356%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.9
49.0%
51.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.2
25.2%
33.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
72.6%15.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
51.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
33.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
72.6%12.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLWLLLWL
Bauru
WWLWLWLWWW
#18
League position
#5
-14.3
Net rating
-2.6
96.1
Offensive rating
106.9
110.4
Defensive rating
109.5
44.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.2%
3-point %
34.2%
66.8%
Assist %
70.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 106.9Defence110.4 · 109.5Shooting44.5% · 50.5%3-point %25.2% · 34.2%Ball care19.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 25.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caxias do Sul wins
9
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
22/11/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul94-59
08/04/23Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-69
06/01/23Caxias do Sul v Bauru61-74
14/03/22Caxias do Sul v Bauru60-66
09/12/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul89-81
23/04/21Bauru v Caxias do Sul74-73
21/04/21Caxias do Sul v Bauru65-75
27/01/21Caxias do Sul v Bauru63-71
20/11/20Bauru v Caxias do Sul74-54
02/02/18Bauru v Caxias do Sul73-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24APinheiros63-80
01/03/24HUnifacisa70-77
16/02/24ASao Jose68-82
14/02/24AMogi74-81
09/02/24HBrasilia79-67
07/02/24HCerrado72-86
23/01/24AFlamengo62-105
20/01/24AVasco73-78
18/01/24ABotafogo82-76
12/01/24AUniao Corinthians75-79 OT
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
02/03/24HMinas86-84 OT
17/02/24HVasco76-81
15/02/24HPato89-79
08/02/24APinheiros76-84
06/02/24ACorinthians Paulista71-70
28/01/24AFlamengo67-86
18/01/24HCearense93-88 OT
16/01/24HUnifacisa91-89
08/01/24APaulistano66-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%31%27%
Points / game72.074.469.9
Allowed / game79.977.581.9
Point differential-7.9-3.2-12.0
Avg total151.8151.9151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%92%40%
Points / game80.685.576.3
Allowed / game78.875.581.7
Point differential+1.8+10.0-5.4
Avg total159.4161.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %18%15%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2721678%87.173.9+13.2
4 Vasco2821775%76.871.8+4.9
5 Paulistano2617965%74.371.0+3.2
6 Bauru28181064%80.678.8+1.8
7 Unifacisa29181162%83.379.1+4.3
8 Sao Jose27151256%80.777.4+3.2
9 Cearense28151354%79.477.6+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista27141352%80.278.4+1.8
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros27121544%75.877.9-2.1
13 Pato29111838%76.580.2-3.7
14 Uniao Corinthians28101836%75.383.1-7.8
15 Cerrado2781930%75.476.6-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul2882029%72.079.9-7.9
17 Botafogo3072323%77.786.5-8.8
18 Mogi2852318%72.981.2-8.3
19 Brasilia2742315%71.385.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul222124875
Bauru2315152679
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