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Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 61-69
13-15 15-16 15-17 18-21
Position#17
Record4-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game76.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Bauru
09 Nov 2026
PATO v BAUR
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
PATO61
BAUR69
05 Feb 2025
PATO91
BAUR94
21 Apr 2024
PATO74
BAUR93
14 Nov 2023
PATO73
BAUR70
19 Dec 2022
PATO85
BAUR96
19 Apr 2022
PATO72
BAUR63
18 Dec 2021
PATO87
BAUR53
10 Dec 2020
PATO80
BAUR79
17 Dec 2019
PATO76
BAUR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 69
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 69
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 69
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 69
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 69
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 69
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 69
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 69
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 69
A09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
154.8Avg total
72.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.980.9153.7-8.029%
Season at home (5)71.072.4143.4-1.440%
Season away (9)73.985.6159.4-11.722%
Last 10 (10)72.582.3154.8-9.840%
Last 5 (5)74.683.8158.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.884.4157.2-11.76%
vs Similar (11)83.879.0162.8+4.873%
vs Weaker (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
78avg 70
H30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 70
A03/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 70
H13/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
77-54
77
54
+23
80avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
51avg 70
A18/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
72-91
72
91
-19
65avg 70
A20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 70
A23/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 70
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
89avg 70
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
13-13
21-20
19-16
30-23
17-18
16-25
12-10
19-25
18-15
14-17
22-14
20-15
20-15
19-11
18-13
9-24
21-15
10-29
26-18
22-21
23-20
12-26
15-24
14-24
18-30
33-23
23-17
17-32
25-17
20-22
22-20
23-36
18-20
33-17
20-11
25-19
9-18
13-9
15-12
153.5Avg total
76.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.276.1150.3-1.947%
Season at home (8)76.472.0148.4+4.475%
Season away (7)71.780.7152.4-9.014%
Last 10 (10)76.676.9153.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.083.6163.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.083.4156.4-10.40%
vs Similar (14)75.170.8145.9+4.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.375.9157.2+5.467%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
PatoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
74.7Avg total
34.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.980.3-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)38.144.682.7-6.428%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.374.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.074.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.141.677.7-5.625%-
vs Similar (11)40.641.281.8-0.545%-
vs Weaker (3)42.746.389.0-3.767%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A23/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H03/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
NBB
79.8Avg total
38.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.077.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.338.777.9+0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)37.839.677.4-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.579.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.486.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.945.478.3-12.60%-
vs Similar (14)38.035.673.6+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.339.483.8+4.967%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.2
45.3%
52.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.1
27.6%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
72.8%14.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.7
29.5%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.710.5
71.4%
72.8%10.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLLLWLLLW
Bauru
WWLLLLWWLW
#17
League position
#10
-13.9
Net rating
+2.0
93.0
Offensive rating
98.7
106.9
Defensive rating
96.7
43.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.6%
3-point %
29.5%
54.7%
Assist %
72.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 98.7Defence106.9 · 96.7Shooting43.5% · 47.3%3-point %27.6% · 29.5%Ball care19.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Pato v Bauru91-94
13/12/24Bauru v Pato97-91
27/04/24Bauru v Pato71-62
21/04/24Pato v Bauru74-93
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HMogi62-58
10/12/25HCorinthians Paulista94-84
03/12/25HSao Jose84-91
23/11/25AMinas88-94
20/11/25ACearense72-91
18/11/25AUnifacisa66-86
15/11/25HVasco77-54
13/11/25HBotafogo73-71
03/11/25ACruzeiro75-76
30/10/25HCaxias do Sul75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%40%22%
Points / game72.971.073.9
Allowed / game80.972.485.6
Point differential-8.0-1.4-11.7
Avg total153.7143.4159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%75%14%
Points / game74.276.471.7
Allowed / game76.172.080.7
Point differential-1.9+4.4-9.0
Avg total150.3148.4152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Pinheiros1311285%84.274.7+9.5
4 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
5 Brasilia1511473%82.973.7+9.2
6 Corinthians Paulista139469%83.275.8+7.4
7 Mogi149564%80.767.2+13.5
8 Sao Jose149564%80.976.8+4.1
9 Unifacisa137654%80.578.6+1.8
10 Paulistano158753%78.974.9+3.9
11 Bauru157847%74.276.1-1.9
12 Uniao Corinthians136746%76.881.7-4.8
13 Caxias do Sul136746%72.378.0-5.7
14 Cearense134931%81.986.9-5.0
15 Pato1441029%72.980.9-8.0
16 Osasco1641225%75.686.2-10.7
17 Rio Claro1641225%78.890.7-11.9
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1531220%70.881.7-10.9
20 Vasco141137%66.579.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1315151861
Bauru1516172169
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