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Minas vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 88-70
28-17 22-18 18-17 20-18
Position#1
Record22-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game71.5
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#15
Record10-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Caxias do Sul
19 Mar 2026
MINA81
CAXI75
26 Mar 2025
MINA88
CAXI70
27 Dec 2023
MINA84
CAXI55
28 Oct 2022
MINA87
CAXI81
27 Jan 2022
MINA83
CAXI62
12 Mar 2021
MINA74
CAXI70
28 Nov 2017
MINA86
CAXI84
08 Nov 2016
MINA83
CAXI63
14 Jan 2016
MINA77
CAXI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
84avg 77
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 77
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 77
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
70-59
70
59
+11
71avg 77
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 77
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
47avg 77
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 77
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 77
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 77
H19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
21-10
18-19
20-15
22-19
19-20
20-21
20-17
13-15
19-30
15-13
16-14
19-13
13-21
18-12
20-13
16-21
23-18
27-21
26-26
22-29
16-13
25-14
16-21
17-17
16-20
19-14
8-16
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
149.9Avg total
77.8Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.671.5154.2+11.185%
Season at home (13)83.268.7151.9+14.592%
Season away (13)82.074.4156.4+7.677%
Last 10 (10)77.872.1149.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)77.272.6149.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (4)82.067.8149.8+14.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.072.4152.4+7.679%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
63avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 67
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 67
H04/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
78-67
78
67
+11
76avg 67
H06/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 67
A12/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
73avg 67
H05/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
76-65
76
65
+11
74avg 67
H13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
91avg 67
H15/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-20
20-12
14-20
15-18
10-22
15-20
25-18
15-23
21-20
25-20
16-15
20-16
15-21
17-16
13-25
26-18
11-16
24-27
27-21
24-11
19-21
12-19
23-16
20-21
14-20
21-12
22-30
15-20
22-20
21-19
27-23
20-18
27-16
15-17
14-14
18-17
22-20
18-20
19-20
156.1Avg total
78.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.779.0153.7-4.337%
Season at home (15)77.779.7157.3-2.053%
Season away (12)70.978.2149.1-7.217%
Last 10 (10)78.377.8156.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)83.078.4161.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.881.7156.4-6.928%
vs Similar (5)71.870.0141.8+1.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
MinasCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
77.4Avg total
38.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.076.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.237.377.5+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)38.936.575.5+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.577.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)42.233.275.5+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.838.077.8+1.750%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/03
NBB
74.9Avg total
37.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.375.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.940.077.9-2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)34.138.372.4-4.223%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.674.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.039.875.8-3.832%-
vs Similar (5)37.436.674.0+0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.3
48.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.7
32.0%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
72.7%13.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.6
29.1%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
72.7%16.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWLWWWLWW
Caxias do Sul
WWWLWWLLLW
#1
League position
#15
+9.0
Net rating
+1.8
106.3
Offensive rating
106.0
97.4
Defensive rating
104.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.0%
3-point %
29.1%
63.0%
Assist %
56.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 106.0Defence97.4 · 104.3Shooting48.5% · 49.4%3-point %32.0% · 29.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds35.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Caxias do Sul v Minas58-78
10/04/24Caxias do Sul v Minas88-99
27/12/23Minas v Caxias do Sul84-55
10/02/23Caxias do Sul v Minas80-63
28/10/22Minas v Caxias do Sul87-81
27/01/22Minas v Caxias do Sul83-62
27/10/21Caxias do Sul v Minas75-83
12/03/21Minas v Caxias do Sul74-70
04/12/20Caxias do Sul v Minas63-94
06/02/18Caxias do Sul v Minas71-91
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70
08/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba60-67
03/03/25AUnifacisa79-77
28/02/25ACearense92-86
15/02/25HPinheiros70-59
13/02/25HCorinthians Paulista63-72
10/02/25HBigua81-77
08/02/25HQuimsa86-64
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HPaulistano99-95 OT
13/03/25HSao Paulo76-65
05/03/25HFlamengo85-82
12/02/25ABrasilia77-83
06/02/25HBotafogo78-67
04/02/25HVasco88-82
20/01/25APato65-78
13/01/25AUniao Corinthians77-78
29/12/24HUnifacisa65-78
27/12/24HCearense73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%92%77%
Points / game82.683.282.0
Allowed / game71.568.774.4
Point differential+11.1+14.5+7.6
Avg total154.2151.9156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW37%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %37%53%17%
Points / game74.777.770.9
Allowed / game79.079.778.2
Point differential-4.3-2.0-7.2
Avg total153.7157.3149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%13%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)71% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2622485%82.671.5+11.1
2 Flamengo2720774%83.774.6+9.1
3 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
4 Franca2617965%83.778.0+5.7
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Unifacisa28141450%75.575.3+0.2
10 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano28131546%78.876.5+2.4
13 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
14 Caxias do Sul27101737%74.779.0-4.3
15 Pato28101836%82.384.8-2.5
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
18 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2822182088
Caxias do Sul1718171870
← all games of the day
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